Football · Russia Premier League · 11/10, 13:00
Prediction: FC Akhmat Grozny vs Baltika Kaliningrad
Team pages: FC Akhmat Grozny · Baltika Kaliningrad
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.55Total
FC Akhmat Grozny1.48
Baltika Kaliningrad1.07
1X2
FC Akhmat Grozny
Draw
Baltika Kaliningrad
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 53%
Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
FC Akhmat Grozny
2-5-3 (W-D-L)
Baltika Kaliningrad
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
FC Akhmat Grozny
0–1–5
Baltika Kaliningrad
(6 last)
- FC Akhmat Grozny1-1Baltika Kaliningrad
- Baltika Kaliningrad2-0FC Akhmat Grozny
- FC Akhmat Grozny1-7Baltika Kaliningrad
- Baltika Kaliningrad4-1FC Akhmat Grozny
- Baltika Kaliningrad1-0FC Akhmat Grozny
- FC Akhmat Grozny0-2Baltika Kaliningrad
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 51%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Baltika Kaliningrad: 5-1-0.
- Cards-heavy: 8.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| FC Akhmat Grozny | Baltika Kaliningrad | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 1.4 | 1.5 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.8 | 0.5 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 0/60/40% | 20/30/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | – / 4.9 | – / 5.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.1 / 0.2 | 4 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Akhmat Grozny 0–1–5 Baltika Kaliningrad
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23/04/26 Russia Premier League | FC Akhmat Grozny | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Baltika Kaliningrad |
| 02/11/25 Russia Premier League | Baltika Kaliningrad | 2-0 HT 1-0 | FC Akhmat Grozny |
| 13/04/24 Russia Premier League | FC Akhmat Grozny | 1-7 HT 0-5 | Baltika Kaliningrad |
| 31/10/23 Russia Cup | Baltika Kaliningrad | 4-1 HT 1-1 | FC Akhmat Grozny |
| 23/09/23 Russia Premier League | Baltika Kaliningrad | 1-0 HT 1-0 | FC Akhmat Grozny |
| 10/08/23 Russia Cup | FC Akhmat Grozny | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Baltika Kaliningrad |
Standings · Russia Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Krasnodar | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 14 | 7 | 21 |
| 2 | Dinamo Moscow | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 8 | 19 |
| 3 | Spartak Moscow | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 7 | 19 |
| 4 | CSKA Moscow | 9 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 15 | 9 | 19 |
| 5 | Zenit St Petersburg | 9 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 9 | 18 |
| 6 | Rubin Kazan | 9 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 12 | 11 | 12 |
| 7 | Dynamo Makhachkala | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 15 | 16 | 12 |
| 8 | Baltika Kaliningrad | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 14 | 12 | 11 |
| 9 | Krylia Sovetov | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 13 | 14 | 11 |
| 10 | FC Akhmat Grozny | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 13 | 13 | 10 |
| 11 | FC Orenburg | 9 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 10 | 9 |
| 12 | Rostov | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 17 | 8 |
| 13 | Akron Tolyatti | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 18 | 8 |
| 14 | Lokomotiv Moscow | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 11 | 7 |
| 15 | Rodina Moscow | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 22 | 5 |
| 16 | Fakel Voronezh | 9 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 13 | 3 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | FC Akhmat Grozny | Baltika Kaliningrad |
|---|---|---|
| Rubin Kazan | 1-1 D | 1-1 D |
| Krylia Sovetov | 3-3 D | 2-0 W |
| Fakel Voronezh | 0-0 D | 2-2 D |
| Spartak Moscow | 1-2 L | 1-2 L |
| Lokomotiv Moscow | 1-1 D | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 0 W 4 D 1 L | 1 W 2 D 2 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
FC Akhmat Grozny
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/09 | Akron Tolyatti Russia Premier League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 9 | L |
| 13/09 | Dynamo Makhachkala Russia Premier League |
0-0 | 3-2 | 3 | 10 | W |
| 07/09 | Rubin Kazan Russia Premier League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 0 | D |
| 29/08 | Krylia Sovetov Russia Premier League |
2-2 | 3-3 | 6 | 6 | D |
| 22/08 | Rostov Russia Premier League |
1-1 | 4-1 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 15/08 | Krasnodar Russia Premier League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 10/08 | Fakel Voronezh Russia Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 02/08 | Spartak Moscow Russia Premier League |
1-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 26/07 | Lokomotiv Moscow Russia Premier League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 17/05 | PFC Sochi Russia Premier League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 1 | D |
Baltika Kaliningrad
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/09 | Zenit St Petersburg Russia Premier League |
1-2 | 2-3 | 9 | 3 | L |
| 12/09 | Fakel Voronezh Russia Premier League |
0-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 4 | D |
| 06/09 | Lokomotiv Moscow Russia Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 30/08 | Rodina Moscow Russia Premier League |
1-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 8 | W |
| 24/08 | Rubin Kazan Russia Premier League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 1 | D |
| 16/08 | Spartak Moscow Russia Premier League |
1-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 7 | L |
| 08/08 | Krylia Sovetov Russia Premier League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 01/08 | Dinamo Moscow Russia Premier League |
0-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 24/07 | CSKA Moscow Russia Premier League |
1-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 17/05 | Dinamo Moscow Russia Premier League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 7 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in FC Akhmat Grozny vs Baltika Kaliningrad?
According to our model, the most likely result is a FC Akhmat Grozny win (45%). Probabilities: FC Akhmat Grozny 45%, draw 28%, Baltika Kaliningrad 26%.
How many goals are expected in FC Akhmat Grozny vs Baltika Kaliningrad?
The model expects 2.55 goals (FC Akhmat Grozny 1.48 · Baltika Kaliningrad 1.07), with a 52% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in FC Akhmat Grozny vs Baltika Kaliningrad?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.