Football · Bolivia Primera Division · 16/07, 02:00
Prediction: The Strongest vs Oriente Petrolero
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.27Total
The Strongest2.43
Oriente Petrolero0.84
1X2
The Strongest
Draw
Oriente Petrolero
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 54%
Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
2-0
Recent form · 10 last
The Strongest
7-3-0 (W-D-L)
Oriente Petrolero
3-1-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
The Strongest
3–1–2
Oriente Petrolero
(6 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · The Strongest 1601 · Oriente Petrolero 1460
| The Strongest | Draw | Oriente Petrolero | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 71% | 18% | 10% |
| Market | 72% | 17% | 11% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.27 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · -0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 65%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours The Strongest (rating 1601 vs 1460).
- H2H favours The Strongest: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 10.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| The Strongest | Oriente Petrolero | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.9 / 0.8 | 1.2 / 1.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.5 | 0.6 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/50/10% | 10/50/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.6 / 5.1 | 2 / 4.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.5 / 0.8 | 5.8 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · The Strongest 3–1–2 Oriente Petrolero
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12/03/26 America Friendlies | The Strongest | 3-0 HT 1-0 | Oriente Petrolero |
| 08/03/26 America Friendlies | Oriente Petrolero | 2-3 HT 1-1 | The Strongest |
| 31/10/25 Bolivia Copa Division Profesional | The Strongest | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Oriente Petrolero |
| 02/10/25 Bolivia Copa Division Profesional | Oriente Petrolero | 2-2 HT 0-1 | The Strongest |
| 29/09/25 Bolivia Primera Division | The Strongest | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Oriente Petrolero |
| 19/05/25 Bolivia Primera Division | Oriente Petrolero | 3-2 HT 2-1 | The Strongest |
Standings · Bolivia Primera Division
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | The Strongest | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 13 | 7 | 18 |
| 2 | Always Ready | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 5 | 17 |
| 3 | Club Aurora | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 14 | 9 | 16 |
| 4 | Bolivar | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 20 | 10 | 15 |
| 5 | Blooming | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 14 | 10 | 12 |
| 6 | Nacional Potosi | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 12 |
| 7 | Independiente Petrolero | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 12 | 12 |
| 8 | Real Oruro | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 17 | 16 | 11 |
| 9 | Guabira | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 14 | 20 | 11 |
| 10 | Real Potosi | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 10 |
| 11 | Universitario De Vinto | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 15 | 16 | 10 |
| 12 | Oriente Petrolero | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 11 | 10 |
| 13 | Academia de Balompie Boliviano | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 13 | 20 | 9 |
| 14 | Real Tomayapo | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 20 | 8 |
| 15 | San Antonio Bulo Bulo | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 10 | 14 | 7 |
| 16 | GV San Jose | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 16 | 5 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | The Strongest | Oriente Petrolero |
|---|---|---|
| Always Ready | 1-0 W | 0-1 L |
| Real Potosi | 0-0 D | 2-0 W |
| Academia de Balompie Boliviano | 3-1 W | 1-3 L |
| Real Tomayapo | 0-0 D | 3-1 W |
| San Antonio Bulo Bulo | 3-2 W | 0-2 L |
| Blooming | 4-0 W | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 4 W 2 D 0 L | 2 W 0 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: The Strongest (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
The Strongest
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/07 | Bolivar Bolivia Primera Division |
1-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 14/05 | Always Ready Bolivia Primera Division |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 10/05 | Real Potosi Bolivia Primera Division |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 9 | D |
| 03/05 | Academia de Balompie Boliviano Bolivia Primera Division |
1-1 | 3-1 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 26/04 | Real Oruro Bolivia Primera Division |
1-2 | 3-2 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 24/04 | Real Tomayapo Bolivia Primera Division |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 7 | D |
| 12/04 | San Antonio Bulo Bulo Bolivia Primera Division |
1-0 | 3-2 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 05/04 | Universitario De Vinto Bolivia Primera Division |
1-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 6 | W |
| 02/04 | Blooming America Friendlies |
1-0 | 4-0 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 28/03 | Blooming America Friendlies |
1-0 | 2-1 | 7 | 6 | W |
Oriente Petrolero
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/05 | Blooming Bolivia Primera Division |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 8 | L |
| 15/05 | Guabira Bolivia Primera Division |
1-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 10 | D |
| 11/05 | Academia de Balompie Boliviano Bolivia Primera Division |
1-1 | 1-3 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 03/05 | Real Tomayapo Bolivia Primera Division |
3-0 | 3-1 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 27/04 | Real Potosi Bolivia Primera Division |
0-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 6 | W |
| 22/04 | Always Ready Bolivia Primera Division |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 7 | L |
| 13/04 | GV San Jose Bolivia Primera Division |
0-1 | 2-1 | 10 | 9 | W |
| 05/04 | San Antonio Bulo Bulo Bolivia Primera Division |
0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 12/03 | The Strongest America Friendlies |
0-1 | 0-3 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 08/03 | The Strongest America Friendlies |
1-1 | 2-3 | 4 | 7 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in The Strongest vs Oriente Petrolero?
According to our model, the most likely result is a The Strongest win (72%). Probabilities: The Strongest 72%, draw 18%, Oriente Petrolero 11%.
How many goals are expected in The Strongest vs Oriente Petrolero?
The model expects 3.27 goals (The Strongest 2.43 · Oriente Petrolero 0.84), with a 54% chance of under 3.5 goals.
Will both teams score in The Strongest vs Oriente Petrolero?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.