Football · Bolivia Primera Division · 25/07, 01:00

Prediction: Club Aurora vs Academia de Balompie Boliviano

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.47Total

Club Aurora2.28

Academia de Balompie Boliviano1.19

1X2

61% 21% 18%

Club Aurora Draw Academia de Balompie Boliviano

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

2-1

Recent form · 10 last

Club Aurora 4-5-1 (W-D-L)

DDDWWDWWLD

Academia de Balompie Boliviano 4-0-6 (W-D-L)

WLLWLWLLWL

Head-to-head

Club Aurora 3–1 Academia de Balompie Boliviano (4 last)

Club Aurora3-2Academia de Balompie Boliviano
Academia de Balompie Boliviano1-2Club Aurora
Academia de Balompie Boliviano2-1Club Aurora

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Club Aurora 1554 · Academia de Balompie Boliviano 1452

	Club Aurora	Draw	Academia de Balompie Boliviano
Our model	61%	21%	18%
Market	62%	20%	18%

Estimated total (ours) 3.47 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 65%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Club Aurora (rating 1554 vs 1452).
H2H favours Club Aurora: 3-0-1.
Cards-heavy: 10.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Club Aurora	Academia de Balompie Boliviano
Goals for / against (FT)	1.6 / 1.1	1.7 / 2.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.4	0.7 / 1.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/70/10%	20/40/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.4 / 4.4	1.6 / 5.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.6 / 0.5	4.7 / 0.5

Odds Bet365

11.48

X4.50

25.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1)1.77

2 (+1)2.02

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.98

Under 3.251.82

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 3.35

View on Bet365 ↗

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 17:08

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.48 → 1.48	Bet365 1.48
X	4.50 → 4.50	Bet365 4.50
2	5.00 → 5.00	Bet365 5.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 9.8%

Time*	1	X	2
17:02 +6’	1.48	4.50	5.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Club Aurora 3–0–1 Academia de Balompie Boliviano

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
16/12/25 Bolivia Primera Division	Club Aurora	3-2 HT 2-0	Academia de Balompie Boliviano
25/07/25 Bolivia Copa Division Profesional	Academia de Balompie Boliviano	1-2 HT 0-0	Club Aurora
19/07/25 Bolivia Primera Division	Academia de Balompie Boliviano	2-1 HT 2-1	Club Aurora
30/04/25 Bolivia Copa Division Profesional	Club Aurora	2-1 HT 1-0	Academia de Balompie Boliviano

Standings · Bolivia Primera Division

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Always Ready	10	7	2	1	24	5	23
2	The Strongest	10	6	4	0	15	8	22
3	Bolivar	10	5	3	2	24	10	18
4	Club Aurora	10	4	5	1	16	11	17
5	Real Potosi	10	4	4	2	16	8	16
6	Blooming	10	4	4	2	16	11	16
7	Real Oruro	10	4	2	4	21	23	14
8	Nacional Potosi	10	3	3	4	13	14	12
9	Independiente Petrolero	10	3	3	4	14	17	12
10	Academia de Balompie Boliviano	10	4	0	6	17	23	12
11	Oriente Petrolero	10	3	2	5	13	15	11
12	Guabira	10	3	2	5	14	24	11
13	Universitario De Vinto	10	3	1	6	15	20	10
14	San Antonio Bulo Bulo	10	3	1	6	12	20	10
15	Real Tomayapo	10	2	2	6	7	21	8
16	GV San Jose	10	1	4	5	10	17	7

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Club Aurora	Academia de Balompie Boliviano
Oriente Petrolero	2-2 D	3-1 W
Universitario De Vinto	2-1 W	2-5 L
San Antonio Bulo Bulo	3-1 W	1-2 L
GV San Jose	1-1 D	2-1 W
Always Ready	1-1 D	1-3 L
Real Potosi	0-0 D	1-3 L
Record vs common	2 W 4 D 0 L	2 W 0 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Club Aurora (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Club Aurora

DDDWWDWWLD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/07	Oriente Petrolero Bolivia Primera Division	1-1	2-2	11	5	D
10/07	Nacional Potosi Bolivia Primera Division	0-0	0-2	2	3	L
02/06	Universitario De Vinto Bolivia Primera Division	1-1	2-1	3	7	W
16/05	Real Tomayapo Bolivia Primera Division	0-0	2-0	3	3	W
13/05	Real Oruro Bolivia Primera Division	1-1	1-1	5	5	D
02/05	Guabira Bolivia Primera Division	0-1	4-2	4	7	W
28/04	San Antonio Bulo Bulo Bolivia Primera Division	2-0	3-1	3	7	W
22/04	GV San Jose Bolivia Primera Division	1-0	1-1	0	9	D
12/04	Always Ready Bolivia Primera Division	0-0	1-1	8	9	D
04/04	Real Potosi Bolivia Primera Division	0-0	0-0	5	6	D

Academia de Balompie Boliviano

WLLWLWLLWL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
20/07	San Antonio Bulo Bulo Bolivia Primera Division	1-1	1-2	6	4	L
16/07	Independiente Petrolero Bolivia Primera Division	1-0	3-1	2	9	W
09/07	Real Potosi Bolivia Primera Division	1-2	1-3	8	7	L
30/05	Always Ready Bolivia Primera Division	0-1	1-3	1	7	L
11/05	Oriente Petrolero Bolivia Primera Division	1-1	3-1	9	4	W
03/05	The Strongest Bolivia Primera Division	1-1	1-3	0	2	L
25/04	Blooming Bolivia Primera Division	1-1	3-2	10	9	W
21/04	Universitario De Vinto Bolivia Primera Division	0-3	2-5	8	4	L
11/04	Bolivar Bolivia Primera Division	0-1	0-2	5	3	L
05/04	GV San Jose Bolivia Primera Division	1-0	2-1	4	3	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Club Aurora vs Academia de Balompie Boliviano?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Club Aurora win (61%). Probabilities: Club Aurora 61%, draw 21%, Academia de Balompie Boliviano 18%.

How many goals are expected in Club Aurora vs Academia de Balompie Boliviano?

The model expects 3.47 goals (Club Aurora 2.28 · Academia de Balompie Boliviano 1.19), with a 50% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Club Aurora vs Academia de Balompie Boliviano?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.