Prediction: Universitario De Vinto vs Real Potosi

Team pages: Universitario De Vinto · Real Potosi

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.85Total
Universitario De Vinto1.51
Real Potosi1.34
1X2
40% 27% 33%
Universitario De Vinto Draw Real Potosi
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Universitario De Vinto 3-2-5 (W-D-L)
WLDWWLLLLD
Real Potosi 4-3-3 (W-D-L)
WLLDWDWWLD
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Universitario De Vinto 1474 · Real Potosi 1510
Universitario De VintoDrawReal Potosi
Our model40%27%33%
Market40%27%33%
Estimated total (ours) 2.85 goals · Bet365 line 2.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 58%model estimate

Match keys

  • High corners: 12 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 8.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Universitario De VintoReal Potosi
Goals for / against (FT)1.6 / 21.6 / 0.9
Goals for / against (HT)1 / 0.60.8 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)40/40/20%30/60/10%
Corners (HT / FT)2.4 / 6.93 / 5.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4 / 0.34.3 / 1

Standings · Bolivia Primera Division

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Always Ready 12921 28629
2 The Strongest 12660 171024
3 Bolivar 12633 261221
4 Club Aurora 12561 201421
5 Real Potosi 12453 171017
6 Blooming 12453 171417
7 Oriente Petrolero 12525 161617
8 Academia de Balompie Boliviano 13517 242816
9 Nacional Potosi 12435 171615
10 Independiente Petrolero 12435 181915
11 Guabira 12435 192615
12 Real Oruro 13427 233414
13 San Antonio Bulo Bulo 12417 152313
14 Universitario De Vinto 12327 172311
15 GV San Jose 12255 121811
16 Real Tomayapo 12237 9269

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentUniversitario De VintoReal Potosi
Guabira 1-1 D 3-0 W
GV San Jose 1-2 L 0-0 D
Real Oruro 1-4 L 1-2 L
Bolivar 3-2 W 1-2 L
San Antonio Bulo Bulo 2-0 W 5-0 W
Independiente Petrolero 1-2 L 2-1 W
Academia de Balompie Boliviano 5-2 W 3-1 W
Record vs common 3 W 1 D 3 L 4 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Real Potosi (5 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Universitario De Vinto

WLDWWLLLLD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
31/07 Guabira
Bolivia Primera Division
1-1 1-1 132 D
27/07 GV San Jose
Bolivia Primera Division
1-0 1-2 44 L
18/07 Always Ready
Bolivia Primera Division
0-0 0-4 10 L
09/07 Real Oruro
Bolivia Primera Division
1-1 1-4 66 L
02/06 Club Aurora
Bolivia Primera Division
1-1 1-2 97 L
16/05 Bolivar
Bolivia Primera Division
2-1 3-2 74 W
12/05 San Antonio Bulo Bulo
Bolivia Primera Division
1-0 2-0 78 W
05/05 Blooming
Bolivia Primera Division
0-1 1-1 145 D
25/04 Independiente Petrolero
Bolivia Primera Division
0-1 1-2 63 L
21/04 Academia de Balompie Boliviano
Bolivia Primera Division
3-0 5-2 24 W

Real Potosi

WLLDWDWWLD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
02/08 GV San Jose
Bolivia Primera Division
0-0 0-0 73 D
26/07 Bolivar
Bolivia Primera Division
1-1 1-2 33 L
22/07 Independiente Petrolero
Bolivia Primera Division
1-1 2-1 32 W
16/07 San Antonio Bulo Bulo
Bolivia Primera Division
2-0 5-0 63 W
12/07 Nacional Potosi
Bolivia Primera Division
0-1 1-1 87 D
09/07 Academia de Balompie Boliviano
Bolivia Primera Division
2-1 3-1 47 W
10/05 The Strongest
Bolivia Primera Division
0-0 0-0 29 D
01/05 Real Oruro
Bolivia Primera Division
0-0 1-2 86 L
27/04 Oriente Petrolero
Bolivia Primera Division
0-0 0-2 46 L
23/04 Guabira
Bolivia Primera Division
2-0 3-0 67 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Universitario De Vinto vs Real Potosi?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Universitario De Vinto win (40%). Probabilities: Universitario De Vinto 40%, draw 27%, Real Potosi 33%.

How many goals are expected in Universitario De Vinto vs Real Potosi?

The model expects 2.85 goals (Universitario De Vinto 1.51 · Real Potosi 1.34), with a 50% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Universitario De Vinto vs Real Potosi?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.