Football · Bolivia Primera Division · 14/08, 21:00

Prediction: Universitario De Vinto vs Real Tomayapo

Team pages: Universitario De Vinto · Real Tomayapo

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.96Total

Universitario De Vinto1.9

Real Tomayapo1.06

1X2

56% 24% 20%

Universitario De Vinto Draw Real Tomayapo

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Universitario De Vinto 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

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Real Tomayapo 2-1-7 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Universitario De Vinto 4–1–1 Real Tomayapo (6 last)

Universitario De Vinto1-0Real Tomayapo
Real Tomayapo1-1Universitario De Vinto
Universitario De Vinto2-1Real Tomayapo
Real Tomayapo0-1Universitario De Vinto
Universitario De Vinto0-1Real Tomayapo
Real Tomayapo0-2Universitario De Vinto

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Universitario De Vinto 1449 · Real Tomayapo 1421

	Universitario De Vinto	Draw	Real Tomayapo
Our model	56%	24%	20%
Market	57%	23%	20%

Estimated total (ours) 2.96 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 61%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Universitario De Vinto: 4-1-1.
High corners: 12 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 7.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Universitario De Vinto	Real Tomayapo
Goals for / against (FT)	1 / 2.3	0.9 / 2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.8	0.3 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/40/30%	10/40/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.4 / 6.9	2.5 / 5.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.1 / 0.4	3.1 / 0.5

Odds Bet365

11.61

X4.00

24.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.77

2 (+0.75)2.02

Line ⓘ

Over 31.80

Under 32.00

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 3.1

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 00:13

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.61 → 1.61	Bet365 1.61
X	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00
2	4.50 → 4.50	Bet365 4.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 9.1%

Time*	1	X	2
00:08 +4’	1.61	4.00	4.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Universitario De Vinto 4–1–1 Real Tomayapo

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Date	Home	Score	Away
12/09/25 Bolivia Primera Division	Universitario De Vinto	1-0 HT 0-0	Real Tomayapo
19/04/25 Bolivia Primera Division	Real Tomayapo	1-1 HT 1-0	Universitario De Vinto
18/10/24 Bolivia Clausura	Universitario De Vinto	2-1 HT 1-0	Real Tomayapo
22/05/24 Bolivia Clausura	Real Tomayapo	0-1 HT 0-0	Universitario De Vinto
18/11/23 Bolivia Clausura	Universitario De Vinto	0-1 HT 0-1	Real Tomayapo
20/05/23 Bolivia Apertura	Real Tomayapo	0-2 HT 0-1	Universitario De Vinto

Standings · Bolivia Primera Division

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Always Ready	14	10	3	1	31	8	33
2	Bolivar	14	8	3	3	32	15	27
3	The Strongest	14	7	6	1	21	14	27
4	Real Potosi	14	6	5	3	21	10	23
5	Club Aurora	14	5	7	2	23	19	22
6	Guabira	14	6	3	5	23	26	21
7	Oriente Petrolero	14	6	2	6	22	18	20
8	Independiente Petrolero	14	5	4	5	21	21	19
9	Blooming	14	4	6	4	17	16	18
10	San Antonio Bulo Bulo	14	5	2	7	17	24	17
11	Real Oruro	14	5	2	7	25	35	17
12	Academia de Balompie Boliviano	14	5	1	8	24	29	16
13	Nacional Potosi	14	4	3	7	20	21	15
14	GV San Jose	14	2	6	6	14	21	12
15	Universitario De Vinto	14	3	2	9	17	30	11
16	Real Tomayapo	14	2	3	9	10	31	9

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Universitario De Vinto	Real Tomayapo
Oriente Petrolero	0-5 L	1-3 L
Guabira	1-1 D	0-3 L
GV San Jose	1-2 L	2-3 L
Real Oruro	1-4 L	1-2 L
Club Aurora	1-2 L	0-2 L
San Antonio Bulo Bulo	2-0 W	1-0 W
Blooming	1-1 D	0-1 L
Record vs common	1 W 2 D 4 L	1 W 0 D 6 L

Better against common opponents: Universitario De Vinto (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Universitario De Vinto

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/08	Oriente Petrolero Bolivia Primera Division	0-2	0-5	1	3	L
06/08	Real Potosi Bolivia Primera Division	0-1	0-2	7	6	L
31/07	Guabira Bolivia Primera Division	1-1	1-1	13	2	D
27/07	GV San Jose Bolivia Primera Division	1-0	1-2	4	4	L
18/07	Always Ready Bolivia Primera Division	0-0	0-4	1	0	L
09/07	Real Oruro Bolivia Primera Division	1-1	1-4	6	6	L
02/06	Club Aurora Bolivia Primera Division	1-1	1-2	9	7	L
16/05	Bolivar Bolivia Primera Division	2-1	3-2	7	4	W
12/05	San Antonio Bulo Bulo Bolivia Primera Division	1-0	2-0	7	8	W
05/05	Blooming Bolivia Primera Division	0-1	1-1	14	5	D

Real Tomayapo

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/08	Real Oruro Bolivia Primera Division	1-1	1-2	9	2	L
05/08	Guabira Bolivia Primera Division	0-1	0-3	4	8	L
01/08	Academia de Balompie Boliviano Bolivia Primera Division	0-1	1-1	8	5	D
27/07	Nacional Potosi Bolivia Primera Division	1-3	1-4	2	3	L
20/07	Blooming Bolivia Primera Division	0-1	0-1	6	4	L
13/07	Independiente Petrolero Bolivia Primera Division	0-0	2-1	2	5	W
08/07	GV San Jose Bolivia Primera Division	1-0	2-3	4	2	L
16/05	Club Aurora Bolivia Primera Division	0-0	0-2	3	3	L
10/05	San Antonio Bulo Bulo Bolivia Primera Division	0-0	1-0	3	1	W
03/05	Oriente Petrolero Bolivia Primera Division	0-3	1-3	10	3	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Universitario De Vinto vs Real Tomayapo?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Universitario De Vinto win (56%). Probabilities: Universitario De Vinto 56%, draw 24%, Real Tomayapo 20%.

How many goals are expected in Universitario De Vinto vs Real Tomayapo?

The model expects 2.96 goals (Universitario De Vinto 1.9 · Real Tomayapo 1.06), with a 51% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Universitario De Vinto vs Real Tomayapo?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.