Football · Bolivia Primera Division · 06/08, 02:00
Prediction: Bolivar vs Oriente Petrolero
Team pages: Bolivar · Oriente Petrolero
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.73Total
Bolivar2.83
Oriente Petrolero0.9
1X2
Bolivar
Draw
Oriente Petrolero
Markets
Over 3.5 goals 51%
Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
2-0
Recent form · 10 last
Bolivar
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
Oriente Petrolero
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Bolivar
6–0
Oriente Petrolero
(6 last)
- Oriente Petrolero1-3Bolivar
- Bolivar1-0Oriente Petrolero
- Oriente Petrolero1-4Bolivar
- Bolivar2-0Oriente Petrolero
- Bolivar4-2Oriente Petrolero
- Oriente Petrolero0-2Bolivar
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Bolivar 1545 · Oriente Petrolero 1489
| Bolivar | Draw | Oriente Petrolero | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 76% | 15% | 9% |
| Market | 78% | 12% | 10% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.73 goals · Bet365 line 4 · -0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 74%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Bolivar (rating 1545 vs 1489).
- H2H favours Bolivar: 6-0-0.
- Cards-heavy: 9.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Bolivar | Oriente Petrolero | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.6 / 1.4 | 1.4 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.9 | 0.8 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/50/30% | 20/70/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.2 / 4.7 | 1.7 / 3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.1 / 0.3 | 5.6 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Bolivar 6–0–0 Oriente Petrolero
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/12/25 Bolivia Primera Division | Oriente Petrolero | 1-3 HT 0-2 | Bolivar |
| 19/07/25 Bolivia Primera Division | Bolivar | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Oriente Petrolero |
| 19/12/24 Bolivia Clausura | Oriente Petrolero | 1-4 HT 0-1 | Bolivar |
| 15/09/24 Bolivia Clausura | Bolivar | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Oriente Petrolero |
| 31/03/24 Bolivia Apertura | Bolivar | 4-2 HT 1-2 | Oriente Petrolero |
| 22/02/24 Bolivia Apertura | Oriente Petrolero | 0-2 HT 0-0 | Bolivar |
Standings · Bolivia Primera Division
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Always Ready | 12 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 28 | 6 | 29 |
| 2 | The Strongest | 12 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 17 | 10 | 24 |
| 3 | Bolivar | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 26 | 12 | 21 |
| 4 | Club Aurora | 12 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 20 | 14 | 21 |
| 5 | Real Potosi | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 17 | 10 | 17 |
| 6 | Blooming | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 17 | 14 | 17 |
| 7 | Oriente Petrolero | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 16 | 16 | 17 |
| 8 | Academia de Balompie Boliviano | 13 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 24 | 28 | 16 |
| 9 | Nacional Potosi | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 17 | 16 | 15 |
| 10 | Independiente Petrolero | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 18 | 19 | 15 |
| 11 | Guabira | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 19 | 26 | 15 |
| 12 | Real Oruro | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 23 | 34 | 14 |
| 13 | San Antonio Bulo Bulo | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 15 | 23 | 13 |
| 14 | Universitario De Vinto | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 17 | 23 | 11 |
| 15 | GV San Jose | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 18 | 11 |
| 16 | Real Tomayapo | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 26 | 9 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Bolivar | Oriente Petrolero |
|---|---|---|
| Always Ready | 0-1 L | 0-1 L |
| Real Potosi | 2-1 W | 2-0 W |
| Guabira | 4-0 W | 2-2 D |
| The Strongest | 1-1 D | 1-2 L |
| Nacional Potosi | 1-1 D | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 2 D 1 L | 2 W 1 D 2 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Bolivar
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/08 | Always Ready Bolivia Primera Division |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 31/07 | Gremio Copa Sudamericana |
1-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 7 | W |
| 26/07 | Real Potosi Bolivia Primera Division |
1-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 24/07 | Gremio Copa Sudamericana |
2-2 | 3-2 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 18/07 | Guabira Bolivia Primera Division |
1-0 | 4-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 12/07 | The Strongest Bolivia Primera Division |
1-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 28/05 | Independiente Rivadavia Copa Libertadores |
0-1 | 1-3 | 8 | 6 | L |
| 20/05 | Fluminense Copa Libertadores |
1-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 6 | L |
| 16/05 | Universitario De Vinto Bolivia Primera Division |
1-2 | 2-3 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 14/05 | Nacional Potosi Bolivia Primera Division |
0-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 4 | D |
Oriente Petrolero
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/08 | Nacional Potosi Bolivia Primera Division |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 26/07 | Independiente Petrolero Bolivia Primera Division |
1-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 19/07 | Club Aurora Bolivia Primera Division |
1-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 5 | D |
| 16/07 | The Strongest Bolivia Primera Division |
1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 7 | L |
| 31/05 | Blooming Bolivia Primera Division |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 8 | L |
| 15/05 | Guabira Bolivia Primera Division |
1-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 10 | D |
| 11/05 | Academia de Balompie Boliviano Bolivia Primera Division |
1-1 | 1-3 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 03/05 | Real Tomayapo Bolivia Primera Division |
3-0 | 3-1 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 27/04 | Real Potosi Bolivia Primera Division |
0-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 6 | W |
| 22/04 | Always Ready Bolivia Primera Division |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 7 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Bolivar vs Oriente Petrolero?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Bolivar win (77%). Probabilities: Bolivar 77%, draw 14%, Oriente Petrolero 9%.
How many goals are expected in Bolivar vs Oriente Petrolero?
The model expects 3.73 goals (Bolivar 2.83 · Oriente Petrolero 0.9), with a 54% chance of under 4 goals.
Will both teams score in Bolivar vs Oriente Petrolero?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.