Football · Bolivia Primera Division · 05/08, 02:00

Prediction: Guabira vs Real Tomayapo

Team pages: Guabira · Real Tomayapo

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.71Total

Guabira2.62

Real Tomayapo1.1

1X2

69% 18% 13%

Guabira Draw Real Tomayapo

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

2-1

Recent form · 10 last

Guabira 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

LLLWDWWLWD

Real Tomayapo 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

DLLWLLWLLD

Head-to-head

Guabira 3–1–2 Real Tomayapo (6 last)

Guabira2-2Real Tomayapo
Real Tomayapo3-2Guabira
Real Tomayapo1-2Guabira
Guabira1-0Real Tomayapo
Guabira2-1Real Tomayapo
Real Tomayapo2-1Guabira

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Guabira 1505 · Real Tomayapo 1439

	Guabira	Draw	Real Tomayapo
Our model	69%	18%	13%
Market	69%	18%	13%

Estimated total (ours) 3.71 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 70%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Guabira (rating 1505 vs 1439).
H2H favours Guabira: 3-1-2.
Cards-heavy: 8.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Guabira	Real Tomayapo
Goals for / against (FT)	1.7 / 1.9	0.8 / 2.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.7	0.2 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/40/30%	10/40/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.8 / 3.9	2 / 4.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.2 / 0.9	3.2 / 0.4

Odds Bet365

11.33

X5.25

27.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.5)1.88

2 (+1.5)1.93

Line ⓘ

Over 3.51.82

Under 3.51.98

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 3.25

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 17:29

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.33 → 1.33	Bet365 1.33
X	5.25 → 5.25	Bet365 5.25
2	7.00 → 7.00	Bet365 7.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 8.4%

Time*	1	X	2
17:14 +15’	1.33	5.25	7.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Guabira 3–1–2 Real Tomayapo

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Date	Home	Score	Away
08/11/25 Bolivia Copa Division Profesional	Guabira	2-2 HT 1-1	Real Tomayapo
17/10/25 Bolivia Primera Division	Real Tomayapo	3-2 HT 1-0	Guabira
07/09/25 Bolivia Copa Division Profesional	Real Tomayapo	1-2 HT 1-0	Guabira
26/04/25 Bolivia Primera Division	Guabira	1-0 HT 1-0	Real Tomayapo
27/11/24 Bolivia Clausura	Guabira	2-1 HT 2-0	Real Tomayapo
31/07/24 Bolivia Clausura	Real Tomayapo	2-1 HT 0-1	Guabira

Standings · Bolivia Primera Division

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Always Ready	11	8	2	1	27	6	26
2	The Strongest	12	6	6	0	17	10	24
3	Bolivar	11	6	3	2	26	11	21
4	Club Aurora	12	5	6	1	20	14	21
5	Blooming	12	4	5	3	17	14	17
6	Real Potosi	11	4	4	3	17	10	16
7	Nacional Potosi	11	4	3	4	17	15	15
8	Independiente Petrolero	12	4	3	5	18	19	15
9	Guabira	12	4	3	5	19	26	15
10	Oriente Petrolero	11	4	2	5	15	16	14
11	Real Oruro	12	4	2	6	22	30	14
12	Academia de Balompie Boliviano	12	4	1	7	20	27	13
13	San Antonio Bulo Bulo	12	4	1	7	15	23	13
14	Universitario De Vinto	12	3	2	7	17	23	11
15	GV San Jose	11	2	4	5	12	18	10
16	Real Tomayapo	12	2	3	7	9	26	9

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Guabira	Real Tomayapo
Bolivar	0-4 L	0-6 L
San Antonio Bulo Bulo	2-1 W	1-0 W
Nacional Potosi	2-1 W	1-4 L
Oriente Petrolero	2-2 D	1-3 L
GV San Jose	3-0 W	2-3 L
Club Aurora	2-4 L	0-2 L
Record vs common	3 W 1 D 2 L	1 W 0 D 5 L

Better against common opponents: Guabira (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Guabira

LLLWDWWLWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/07	Universitario De Vinto Bolivia Primera Division	1-1	1-1	2	2	D
25/07	Real Oruro Bolivia Primera Division	3-1	4-1	4	5	W
18/07	Bolivar Bolivia Primera Division	0-1	0-4	1	2	L
29/05	San Antonio Bulo Bulo Bolivia Primera Division	0-0	2-1	2	6	W
18/05	Nacional Potosi Bolivia Primera Division	0-1	2-1	5	10	W
15/05	Oriente Petrolero Bolivia Primera Division	1-1	2-2	5	10	D
09/05	GV San Jose Bolivia Primera Division	2-0	3-0	6	4	W
02/05	Club Aurora Bolivia Primera Division	1-0	2-4	1	7	L
26/04	Always Ready Bolivia Primera Division	0-0	1-2	6	8	L
23/04	Real Potosi Bolivia Primera Division	0-2	0-3	7	7	L

Real Tomayapo

DLLWLLWLLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/08	Academia de Balompie Boliviano Bolivia Primera Division	0-1	1-1	8	5	D
27/07	Nacional Potosi Bolivia Primera Division	1-3	1-4	2	3	L
20/07	Blooming Bolivia Primera Division	0-1	0-1	6	4	L
13/07	Independiente Petrolero Bolivia Primera Division	0-0	2-1	2	5	W
08/07	GV San Jose Bolivia Primera Division	1-0	2-3	4	2	L
16/05	Club Aurora Bolivia Primera Division	0-0	0-2	3	3	L
10/05	San Antonio Bulo Bulo Bolivia Primera Division	0-0	1-0	3	1	W
03/05	Oriente Petrolero Bolivia Primera Division	0-3	1-3	10	3	L
26/04	Bolivar Bolivia Primera Division	0-2	0-6	0	3	L
24/04	The Strongest Bolivia Primera Division	0-0	0-0	5	7	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Guabira vs Real Tomayapo?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Guabira win (69%). Probabilities: Guabira 69%, draw 18%, Real Tomayapo 13%.

How many goals are expected in Guabira vs Real Tomayapo?

The model expects 3.71 goals (Guabira 2.62 · Real Tomayapo 1.1), with a 51% chance of over 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Guabira vs Real Tomayapo?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.