Football · Bolivia Primera Division · 04/08, 21:00

Prediction: Academia de Balompie Boliviano vs Real Oruro

Team pages: Academia de Balompie Boliviano · Real Oruro

Prediction summary

Expected goals

4Total

Academia de Balompie Boliviano2.2

Real Oruro1.8

1X2

46% 23% 31%

Academia de Balompie Boliviano Draw Real Oruro

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 62%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Academia de Balompie Boliviano 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

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Real Oruro 4-0-6 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Academia de Balompie Boliviano 2–1–3 Real Oruro (6 last)

Real Oruro3-1Academia de Balompie Boliviano
Academia de Balompie Boliviano2-1Real Oruro
Academia de Balompie Boliviano1-2Real Oruro
Real Oruro1-1Academia de Balompie Boliviano
Academia de Balompie Boliviano1-2Real Oruro
Real Oruro0-1Academia de Balompie Boliviano

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Academia de Balompie Boliviano 1444 · Real Oruro 1469

	Academia de Balompie Boliviano	Draw	Real Oruro
Our model	47%	22%	31%
Market	46%	24%	31%

Estimated total (ours) 4 goals · Bet365 line 3.75 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 73%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Real Oruro: 3-1-2.
Cards-heavy: 10.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Academia de Balompie Boliviano	Real Oruro
Goals for / against (FT)	1.8 / 2.4	1.5 / 2.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 1.2	0.4 / 1.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/40/40%	10/20/70%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.5 / 4.9	0.8 / 3.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.4 / 0.7	4.9 / 0.6

Odds Bet365

12.00

X3.90

23.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.80

2 (+0.25)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 3.751.82

Under 3.751.98

Diff.: 0.55 · xG: 4.3

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 17:28

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.00 → 2.00	Bet365 2.00
X	3.90 → 3.90	Bet365 3.90
2	3.00 → 3.00	Bet365 3.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 9%

Time*	1	X	2
17:14 +15’	2.00	3.90	3.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Academia de Balompie Boliviano 2–1–3 Real Oruro

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Date	Home	Score	Away
27/02/26 America Friendlies	Real Oruro	3-1 HT 2-0	Academia de Balompie Boliviano
21/02/26 America Friendlies	Academia de Balompie Boliviano	2-1 HT 1-1	Real Oruro
22/10/25 Bolivia Copa Division Profesional	Academia de Balompie Boliviano	1-2 HT 1-2	Real Oruro
06/10/25 Bolivia Copa Division Profesional	Real Oruro	1-1 HT 0-0	Academia de Balompie Boliviano
09/08/25 Bolivia Primera Division	Academia de Balompie Boliviano	1-2 HT 0-0	Real Oruro
04/04/25 Bolivia Primera Division	Real Oruro	0-1 HT 0-1	Academia de Balompie Boliviano

Standings · Bolivia Primera Division

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Always Ready	11	8	2	1	27	6	26
2	The Strongest	12	6	6	0	17	10	24
3	Bolivar	11	6	3	2	26	11	21
4	Club Aurora	12	5	6	1	20	14	21
5	Blooming	12	4	5	3	17	14	17
6	Real Potosi	11	4	4	3	17	10	16
7	Nacional Potosi	11	4	3	4	17	15	15
8	Independiente Petrolero	12	4	3	5	18	19	15
9	Guabira	12	4	3	5	19	26	15
10	Oriente Petrolero	11	4	2	5	15	16	14
11	Real Oruro	12	4	2	6	22	30	14
12	Academia de Balompie Boliviano	12	4	1	7	20	27	13
13	San Antonio Bulo Bulo	12	4	1	7	15	23	13
14	Universitario De Vinto	12	3	2	7	17	23	11
15	GV San Jose	11	2	4	5	12	18	10
16	Real Tomayapo	12	2	3	7	9	26	9

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Academia de Balompie Boliviano	Real Oruro
Independiente Petrolero	3-1 W	0-3 L
Always Ready	1-3 L	0-6 L
Universitario De Vinto	2-5 L	4-1 W
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 2 L	1 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Academia de Balompie Boliviano (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Academia de Balompie Boliviano

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/08	Real Tomayapo Bolivia Primera Division	1-0	1-1	1	5	D
25/07	Club Aurora Bolivia Primera Division	1-2	2-3	4	10	L
20/07	San Antonio Bulo Bulo Bolivia Primera Division	1-1	1-2	6	4	L
16/07	Independiente Petrolero Bolivia Primera Division	1-0	3-1	2	9	W
09/07	Real Potosi Bolivia Primera Division	1-2	1-3	8	7	L
30/05	Always Ready Bolivia Primera Division	0-1	1-3	1	7	L
11/05	Oriente Petrolero Bolivia Primera Division	1-1	3-1	9	4	W
03/05	The Strongest Bolivia Primera Division	1-1	1-3	0	2	L
25/04	Blooming Bolivia Primera Division	1-1	3-2	10	9	W
21/04	Universitario De Vinto Bolivia Primera Division	0-3	2-5	8	4	L

Real Oruro

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/08	Independiente Petrolero Bolivia Primera Division	0-0	0-3	3	6	L
25/07	Guabira Bolivia Primera Division	1-3	1-4	5	5	L
21/07	Nacional Potosi Bolivia Primera Division	2-0	4-1	2	4	W
19/07	EM Huanuni Bolivia Copa Simon Bolivar	0-1	0-2	1	4	L
15/07	Always Ready Bolivia Primera Division	0-3	0-6	4	4	L
13/07	Club Ingenieros Bolivia Copa Simon Bolivar	0-1	0-4	–	–	L
11/07	GV San Jose Bolivia Primera Division	0-1	3-1	6	9	W
09/07	Universitario De Vinto Bolivia Primera Division	1-1	4-1	5	6	W
05/07	CD Guadalajara Qaqachaca Bolivia Copa Simon Bolivar	0-1	0-5	–	–	L
21/06	Club Ingenieros Bolivia Copa Simon Bolivar	0-2	3-2	–	–	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Academia de Balompie Boliviano vs Real Oruro?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Academia de Balompie Boliviano win (46%). Probabilities: Academia de Balompie Boliviano 46%, draw 23%, Real Oruro 31%.

How many goals are expected in Academia de Balompie Boliviano vs Real Oruro?

The model expects 4 goals (Academia de Balompie Boliviano 2.2 · Real Oruro 1.8), with a 52% chance of over 3.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Academia de Balompie Boliviano vs Real Oruro?

The model gives a 62% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.