Prediction: Academia de Balompie Boliviano vs Independiente Petrolero

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.33Total
Academia de Balompie Boliviano1.85
Independiente Petrolero1.48
1X2
45% 25% 30%
Academia de Balompie Boliviano Draw Independiente Petrolero
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 58%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Academia de Balompie Boliviano 4-0-6 (W-D-L)
WLWLLWLWLL
Independiente Petrolero 3-2-5 (W-D-L)
WWLDLDWLLL
Head-to-head
Academia de Balompie Boliviano 0–2 Independiente Petrolero (2 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Academia de Balompie Boliviano 1449 · Independiente Petrolero 1482
Academia de Balompie BolivianoDrawIndependiente Petrolero
Our model45%24%30%
Market45%25%30%
Estimated total (ours) 3.33 goals · Bet365 line 3.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 62%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours Independiente Petrolero: 2-0-0.
  • Cards-heavy: 9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Academia de Balompie BolivianoIndependiente Petrolero
Goals for / against (FT)1.6 / 2.41.2 / 1.8
Goals for / against (HT)0.6 / 1.30.3 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)10/40/50%10/40/50%
Corners (HT / FT)1.9 / 5.51.5 / 2.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.9 / 0.44.1 / 0.5

Head-to-head (H2H) · Academia de Balompie Boliviano 002 Independiente Petrolero

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DateHomeScoreAway
22/11/25
Bolivia Primera Division
Independiente Petrolero2-0
HT 1-0
Academia de Balompie Boliviano
29/07/25
Bolivia Primera Division
Academia de Balompie Boliviano1-2
HT 0-2
Independiente Petrolero

Standings · Bolivia Primera Division

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 The Strongest 8530 13718
2 Always Ready 8521 14517
3 Club Aurora 9441 14916
4 Bolivar 9432 201015
5 Blooming 8332 141012
6 Nacional Potosi 9333 121012
7 Independiente Petrolero 8332 121212
8 Real Oruro 8323 171611
9 Guabira 9324 142011
10 Real Potosi 8242 9710
11 Universitario De Vinto 9315 151610
12 Oriente Petrolero 8314 101110
13 Academia de Balompie Boliviano 8305 13209
14 Real Tomayapo 9225 7208
15 San Antonio Bulo Bulo 8215 10147
16 GV San Jose 8125 9165

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentAcademia de Balompie BolivianoIndependiente Petrolero
Always Ready 1-3 L 0-0 D
Blooming 3-2 W 3-1 W
Universitario De Vinto 2-5 L 2-1 W
Bolivar 0-2 L 2-1 W
Record vs common 1 W 0 D 3 L 3 W 1 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Independiente Petrolero (4 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Academia de Balompie Boliviano

WLWLLWLWLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
09/07 Real Potosi
Bolivia Primera Division
1-2 1-3 87 L
30/05 Always Ready
Bolivia Primera Division
0-1 1-3 17 L
11/05 Oriente Petrolero
Bolivia Primera Division
1-1 3-1 94 W
03/05 The Strongest
Bolivia Primera Division
1-1 1-3 02 L
25/04 Blooming
Bolivia Primera Division
1-1 3-2 109 W
21/04 Universitario De Vinto
Bolivia Primera Division
0-3 2-5 84 L
11/04 Bolivar
Bolivia Primera Division
0-1 0-2 53 L
05/04 GV San Jose
Bolivia Primera Division
1-0 2-1 43 W
27/02 Real Oruro
America Friendlies
0-2 1-3 55 L
21/02 Real Oruro
America Friendlies
1-1 2-1 59 W

Independiente Petrolero

WWLDLDWLLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
13/07 Real Tomayapo
Bolivia Primera Division
0-0 1-2 15 L
28/05 Racing Club
Copa Sudamericana
0-1 0-2 23 L
21/05 Botafogo
Copa Sudamericana
0-1 0-3 13 L
14/05 Blooming
Bolivia Primera Division
0-1 3-1 54 W
10/05 Always Ready
Bolivia Primera Division
0-0 0-0 36 D
06/05 Caracas
Copa Sudamericana
0-2 2-3 43 L
01/05 San Antonio Bulo Bulo
Bolivia Primera Division
1-1 2-2 76 D
29/04 Botafogo
Copa Sudamericana
0-1 0-3 14 L
25/04 Universitario De Vinto
Bolivia Primera Division
1-0 2-1 43 W
22/04 Bolivar
Bolivia Primera Division
1-1 2-1 19 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Academia de Balompie Boliviano vs Independiente Petrolero?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Academia de Balompie Boliviano win (45%). Probabilities: Academia de Balompie Boliviano 45%, draw 25%, Independiente Petrolero 30%.

How many goals are expected in Academia de Balompie Boliviano vs Independiente Petrolero?

The model expects 3.33 goals (Academia de Balompie Boliviano 1.85 · Independiente Petrolero 1.48), with a 51% chance of under 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Academia de Balompie Boliviano vs Independiente Petrolero?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.