Football · Bolivia Primera Division · 03/08, 01:30

Prediction: Oriente Petrolero vs Nacional Potosi

Team pages: Oriente Petrolero · Nacional Potosi

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.06Total

Oriente Petrolero1.79

Nacional Potosi1.27

1X2

49% 25% 26%

Oriente Petrolero Draw Nacional Potosi

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 63% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Oriente Petrolero 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

WLWWLDLLDW

Nacional Potosi 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

WLDLDLWDLW

Head-to-head

Oriente Petrolero 0–3–3 Nacional Potosi (6 last)

Oriente Petrolero1-1Nacional Potosi
Nacional Potosi3-1Oriente Petrolero
Oriente Petrolero2-2Nacional Potosi
Nacional Potosi4-1Oriente Petrolero
Nacional Potosi4-1Oriente Petrolero
Oriente Petrolero2-2Nacional Potosi

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Oriente Petrolero 1487 · Nacional Potosi 1495

	Oriente Petrolero	Draw	Nacional Potosi
Our model	49%	25%	26%
Market	49%	24%	27%

Estimated total (ours) 3.06 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 59%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Nacional Potosi: 3-3-0.
Cards-heavy: 10.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Oriente Petrolero	Nacional Potosi
Goals for / against (FT)	1.5 / 1.4	1.4 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.6	0.6 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/60/20%	40/40/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 3.6	1.7 / 3.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	6.1 / 0.3	4.6 / 0.7

Odds Bet365

11.90

X3.90

23.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.90

2 (+0.5)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 3.252.00

Under 3.251.80

Diff.: 0.35 · xG: 2.9

Market movement

Match winner · 4 moves · last 19:30

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.25 → 1.90▼	Bet365 1.90
X	3.60 → 3.90▲	Bet365 3.90
2	2.70 → 3.50▲	Bet365 3.50

See the full journey (4)

Bet365 margin 6.8%

Time*	1	X	2
23:54 +4’	2.25	3.60	2.70
00:44 +8’	2.00▼	3.70▲	3.10▲
13:33 +4’	1.83▼	3.80▲	3.50▲
19:28 +2’	1.90▲	3.90▲	3.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Oriente Petrolero 0–3–3 Nacional Potosi

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
15/11/25 Bolivia Copa Division Profesional	Oriente Petrolero	1-1 HT 1-0	Nacional Potosi
12/11/25 Bolivia Copa Division Profesional	Nacional Potosi	3-1 HT 1-1	Oriente Petrolero
20/09/25 Bolivia Primera Division	Oriente Petrolero	2-2 HT 1-0	Nacional Potosi
30/07/25 Bolivia Primera Division	Nacional Potosi	4-1 HT 2-0	Oriente Petrolero
14/12/24 Bolivia Clausura	Nacional Potosi	4-1 HT 1-1	Oriente Petrolero
26/08/24 Bolivia Clausura	Oriente Petrolero	2-2 HT 2-2	Nacional Potosi

Standings · Bolivia Primera Division

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Always Ready	11	8	2	1	27	6	26
2	The Strongest	12	6	6	0	17	10	24
3	Bolivar	11	6	3	2	26	11	21
4	Club Aurora	12	5	6	1	20	14	21
5	Blooming	11	4	5	2	17	12	17
6	Real Potosi	11	4	4	3	17	10	16
7	Nacional Potosi	11	4	3	4	17	15	15
8	Guabira	12	4	3	5	19	26	15
9	Oriente Petrolero	11	4	2	5	15	16	14
10	Real Oruro	11	4	2	5	22	27	14
11	Academia de Balompie Boliviano	12	4	1	7	20	27	13
12	Independiente Petrolero	11	3	3	5	15	19	12
13	Universitario De Vinto	12	3	2	7	17	23	11
14	GV San Jose	11	2	4	5	12	18	10
15	San Antonio Bulo Bulo	11	3	1	7	13	23	10
16	Real Tomayapo	12	2	3	7	9	26	9

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Oriente Petrolero	Nacional Potosi
Club Aurora	2-2 D	2-0 W
Blooming	0-1 L	1-2 L
Guabira	2-2 D	1-2 L
Real Tomayapo	3-1 W	4-1 W
Real Potosi	2-0 W	1-1 D
Always Ready	0-1 L	1-3 L
GV San Jose	2-1 W	1-1 D
Record vs common	3 W 2 D 2 L	2 W 2 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Oriente Petrolero (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Oriente Petrolero

WLWWLDLLDW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/07	Independiente Petrolero Bolivia Primera Division	1-0	2-1	3	5	W
19/07	Club Aurora Bolivia Primera Division	1-1	2-2	1	5	D
16/07	The Strongest Bolivia Primera Division	1-1	1-2	3	7	L
31/05	Blooming Bolivia Primera Division	0-0	0-1	7	8	L
15/05	Guabira Bolivia Primera Division	1-1	2-2	2	10	D
11/05	Academia de Balompie Boliviano Bolivia Primera Division	1-1	1-3	4	4	L
03/05	Real Tomayapo Bolivia Primera Division	3-0	3-1	2	3	W
27/04	Real Potosi Bolivia Primera Division	0-0	2-0	1	6	W
22/04	Always Ready Bolivia Primera Division	0-1	0-1	3	7	L
13/04	GV San Jose Bolivia Primera Division	0-1	2-1	10	9	W

Nacional Potosi

WLDLDLWDLW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
27/07	Real Tomayapo Bolivia Primera Division	3-1	4-1	4	3	W
21/07	Real Oruro Bolivia Primera Division	0-2	1-4	4	4	L
12/07	Real Potosi Bolivia Primera Division	1-0	1-1	3	7	D
10/07	Club Aurora Bolivia Primera Division	0-0	2-0	2	3	W
18/05	Guabira Bolivia Primera Division	1-0	1-2	0	10	L
14/05	Bolivar Bolivia Primera Division	1-0	1-1	1	4	D
02/05	Always Ready Bolivia Primera Division	0-0	1-3	8	1	L
25/04	GV San Jose Bolivia Primera Division	0-0	1-1	5	8	D
23/04	Blooming Bolivia Primera Division	0-2	1-2	2	9	L
11/04	Universitario De Vinto Bolivia Primera Division	0-0	1-0	4	4	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Oriente Petrolero vs Nacional Potosi?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Oriente Petrolero win (49%). Probabilities: Oriente Petrolero 49%, draw 25%, Nacional Potosi 26%.

How many goals are expected in Oriente Petrolero vs Nacional Potosi?

The model expects 3.06 goals (Oriente Petrolero 1.79 · Nacional Potosi 1.27), with a 55% chance of under 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Oriente Petrolero vs Nacional Potosi?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.