Football · Bolivia Primera Division · 02/08, 23:15

Prediction: Always Ready vs Bolivar

Team pages: Always Ready · Bolivar

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.33Total

Always Ready1.92

Bolivar1.4

1X2

49% 24% 27%

Always Ready Draw Bolivar

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Always Ready 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

WWDLLLWWWW

Bolivar 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

DDLLLDWWWW

Head-to-head

Always Ready 1–3–2 Bolivar (6 last)

Bolivar2-1Always Ready
Always Ready3-2Bolivar
Always Ready1-1Bolivar
Bolivar2-2Always Ready
Always Ready1-5Bolivar
Bolivar0-0Always Ready

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Always Ready 1555 · Bolivar 1537

	Always Ready	Draw	Bolivar
Our model	49%	24%	27%
Market	49%	24%	27%

Estimated total (ours) 3.33 goals · Bet365 line 3.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 66%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Bolivar: 2-3-1.
High corners: 12 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 7.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Always Ready	Bolivar
Goals for / against (FT)	2.6 / 0.9	1.6 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 0.3	0.8 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/30/20%	20/50/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.9 / 7.4	2.1 / 4.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.9 / 0.4	4 / 0.4

Odds Bet365

11.90

X3.90

23.40

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.90

2 (+0.5)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.88

Under 3.251.93

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 3.2

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 23:57

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.90 → 1.90	Bet365 1.90
X	3.90 → 3.90	Bet365 3.90
2	3.40 → 3.40	Bet365 3.40

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 7.7%

Time*	1	X	2
23:56 +1’	1.90	3.90	3.40

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Always Ready 1–3–2 Bolivar

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Date	Home	Score	Away
08/03/26 America Friendlies	Bolivar	2-1 HT 2-0	Always Ready
05/03/26 America Friendlies	Always Ready	3-2 HT 1-2	Bolivar
23/11/25 Bolivia Primera Division	Always Ready	1-1 HT 0-0	Bolivar
15/06/25 Bolivia Primera Division	Bolivar	2-2 HT 1-0	Always Ready
30/10/24 Bolivia Clausura	Always Ready	1-5 HT 0-3	Bolivar
21/07/24 Bolivia Clausura	Bolivar	0-0 HT 0-0	Always Ready

Standings · Bolivia Primera Division

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Always Ready	11	8	2	1	27	6	26
2	The Strongest	12	6	6	0	17	10	24
3	Bolivar	11	6	3	2	26	11	21
4	Club Aurora	12	5	6	1	20	14	21
5	Blooming	11	4	5	2	17	12	17
6	Real Potosi	11	4	4	3	17	10	16
7	Nacional Potosi	11	4	3	4	17	15	15
8	Guabira	12	4	3	5	19	26	15
9	Oriente Petrolero	11	4	2	5	15	16	14
10	Real Oruro	11	4	2	5	22	27	14
11	Academia de Balompie Boliviano	12	4	1	7	20	27	13
12	Independiente Petrolero	11	3	3	5	15	19	12
13	Universitario De Vinto	12	3	2	7	17	23	11
14	GV San Jose	11	2	4	5	12	18	10
15	San Antonio Bulo Bulo	11	3	1	7	13	23	10
16	Real Tomayapo	12	2	3	7	9	26	9

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Always Ready	Bolivar
Universitario De Vinto	4-0 W	2-3 L
The Strongest	0-1 L	1-1 D
Nacional Potosi	3-1 W	1-1 D
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 1 L	0 W 2 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Always Ready (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Always Ready

WWDLLLWWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/07	San Antonio Bulo Bulo Bolivia Primera Division	1-0	3-1	9	4	W
18/07	Universitario De Vinto Bolivia Primera Division	0-0	4-0	9	0	W
15/07	Real Oruro Bolivia Primera Division	3-0	6-0	5	4	W
30/05	Academia de Balompie Boliviano Bolivia Primera Division	1-0	3-1	8	7	W
27/05	LDU Quito Copa Libertadores	2-1	2-3	11	3	L
20/05	Mirassol Copa Libertadores	0-1	1-2	3	8	L
14/05	The Strongest Bolivia Primera Division	0-1	0-1	14	7	L
10/05	Independiente Petrolero Bolivia Primera Division	0-0	0-0	7	6	D
06/05	Lanus Copa Libertadores	2-0	4-0	2	3	W
02/05	Nacional Potosi Bolivia Primera Division	0-0	3-1	6	1	W

Bolivar

DDLLLDWWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/07	Gremio Copa Sudamericana	1-0	1-0	1	7	W
26/07	Real Potosi Bolivia Primera Division	1-1	2-1	6	3	W
24/07	Gremio Copa Sudamericana	2-2	3-2	6	2	W
18/07	Guabira Bolivia Primera Division	1-0	4-0	5	2	W
12/07	The Strongest Bolivia Primera Division	1-1	1-1	4	4	D
28/05	Independiente Rivadavia Copa Libertadores	0-1	1-3	8	6	L
20/05	Fluminense Copa Libertadores	1-1	1-2	1	6	L
16/05	Universitario De Vinto Bolivia Primera Division	1-2	2-3	5	4	L
14/05	Nacional Potosi Bolivia Primera Division	0-1	1-1	7	4	D
11/05	Blooming Bolivia Primera Division	0-0	0-0	3	6	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Always Ready vs Bolivar?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Always Ready win (49%). Probabilities: Always Ready 49%, draw 24%, Bolivar 27%.

How many goals are expected in Always Ready vs Bolivar?

The model expects 3.33 goals (Always Ready 1.92 · Bolivar 1.4), with a 50% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Always Ready vs Bolivar?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.