Prediction: Rentistas vs Paysandu FC
Expected goals: 2.26 (Rentistas 1.39 · Paysandu FC 0.87). The model gives 48% home, 29% draw, 23% away. Under 2.25 goals (53%) and both teams to score (50%). Most likely score: 1-1.
On recent form, Rentistas is 3-3-4 (wins-draws-losses) over its last 10 matches and Paysandu FC 1-2-7 over its own. In their only recent head-to-head meeting the record reads 1 wins for Rentistas and 0 for Paysandu FC.
| Rentistas | Draw | Paysandu FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 48% | 30% | 22% |
| Market | 49% | 28% | 24% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Rentistas (rating 1496 vs 1422).
- Cards-heavy: 13.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Rentistas | Paysandu FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.9 / 1.3 | 1.1 / 1.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.4 | 0.5 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 22/56/22% | 20/60/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.1 / 5.9 | 1.8 / 3.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 6 / 0.2 | 7.8 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Rentistas 1–0–0 Paysandu FC
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/04/26 Uruguay Segunda | Paysandu FC | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Rentistas |
Standings · Uruguay Segunda · Segunda Division 2026, Group B
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Club Oriental | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 13 |
| 2 | Plaza Colonia | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 9 | 2 | 12 |
| 3 | Colon FC | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 9 |
| 4 | Rentistas | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 9 |
| 5 | Miramar Misiones | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 5 |
| 6 | Paysandu FC | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 4 |
| 7 | CA River Plate | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 13 | 4 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Rentistas | Paysandu FC |
|---|---|---|
| Huracan DPA | 2-1 W | 2-2 D |
| CA River Plate | 1-2 L | 0-1 L |
| Miramar Misiones | 1-0 W | 2-3 L |
| Tacuarembo | 1-1 D | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 1 L | 0 W 1 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Rentistas (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Rentistas
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/06 | Huracan DPA Uruguay Segunda |
1-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 21/06 | Uruguay Montevideo Uruguay Segunda |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 10 | W |
| 14/06 | Club Oriental Uruguay Segunda |
0-0 | 0-3 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 07/06 | Colon FC Uruguay Segunda |
0-1 | 0-2 | 11 | 10 | L |
| 31/05 | Atletico Fenix Montevideo Uruguay Segunda |
0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 23/05 | CA River Plate Uruguay Segunda |
1-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 17/05 | Miramar Misiones Uruguay Segunda |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 8 | W |
| 10/05 | Tacuarembo Uruguay Segunda |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 30/04 | Miramar Misiones Uruguay Segunda |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 20/04 | Club Oriental Uruguay Segunda |
1-1 | 1-2 | 10 | 5 | L |
Paysandu FC
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/06 | Miramar Misiones Uruguay Segunda |
1-0 | 2-3 | 1 | 8 | L |
| 20/06 | Tacuarembo Uruguay Segunda |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 14 | L |
| 14/06 | Plaza Colonia Uruguay Segunda |
1-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 9 | L |
| 06/06 | La Luz Uruguay Segunda |
1-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 30/05 | Cerrito Uruguay Segunda |
0-0 | 0-1 | 8 | 7 | L |
| 23/05 | CA Atenas Uruguay Segunda |
1-1 | 2-3 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 16/05 | CA River Plate Uruguay Segunda |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 09/05 | Huracan DPA Uruguay Segunda |
0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 9 | D |
| 26/04 | CA River Plate Uruguay Segunda |
0-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 7 | L |
| 17/04 | Plaza Colonia Uruguay Segunda |
1-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 10 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Rentistas vs Paysandu FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Rentistas win (48%). Probabilities: Rentistas 48%, draw 29%, Paysandu FC 23%.
How many goals are expected in Rentistas vs Paysandu FC?
The model expects 2.26 goals (Rentistas 1.39 · Paysandu FC 0.87), with a 53% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Rentistas vs Paysandu FC?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.