Prediction: Plaza Colonia vs La Luz
Expected goals: 1.74 (Plaza Colonia 1.06 · La Luz 0.68). The model gives 44% home, 32% draw, 23% away. Under 2 goals (58%) and not both to score (55%). Most likely score: 0-0.
Recent form leaves Plaza Colonia with 4 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses over 10 games; La Luz has piled up 2-5-3 in the same span. In the last 4 head-to-head meetings the record reads 1 wins for Plaza Colonia and 1 for La Luz, with 2 draws.
| Plaza Colonia | Draw | La Luz | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 35% | 22% |
| Market | 46% | 30% | 25% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 12.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Plaza Colonia | La Luz | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 0.9 | 0.6 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.4 | 0.2 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/80/0% | 20/50/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.4 / 5.8 | 1.9 / 4.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 7.4 / 0.2 | 5 / 0.5 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Plaza Colonia 1–2–1 La Luz
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25/09/24 Uruguay Segunda | Plaza Colonia | 2-0 HT 2-0 | La Luz |
| 10/06/24 Uruguay Segunda | La Luz | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Plaza Colonia |
| 23/10/23 Uruguay Clausura | La Luz | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Plaza Colonia |
| 17/03/23 Uruguay Apertura | Plaza Colonia | 1-1 HT 1-1 | La Luz |
Standings · Uruguay Segunda · Segunda Division 2026, Group B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Club Oriental | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 13 |
| 2 | Plaza Colonia | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 9 | 2 | 12 |
| 3 | Colon FC | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 9 |
| 4 | Rentistas | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 9 |
| 5 | Miramar Misiones | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 5 |
| 6 | Paysandu FC | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 4 |
| 7 | CA River Plate | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 13 | 4 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Plaza Colonia | La Luz |
|---|---|---|
| Cerrito | 0-1 L | 2-0 W |
| CA Atenas | 1-2 L | 0-4 L |
| Paysandu FC | 2-1 W | 1-2 L |
| Huracan DPA | 0-0 D | 1-1 D |
| Uruguay Montevideo | 0-2 L | 2-0 W |
| Club Oriental | 3-1 W | 0-0 D |
| Colon FC | 1-0 W | 0-0 D |
| Record vs common | 3 W 1 D 3 L | 2 W 3 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Plaza Colonia (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Plaza Colonia
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/06 | Cerrito Uruguay Segunda |
0-0 | 0-1 | 8 | 6 | L |
| 21/06 | CA Atenas Uruguay Segunda |
1-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 6 | L |
| 14/06 | Paysandu FC Uruguay Segunda |
1-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 9 | W |
| 06/06 | Huracan DPA Uruguay Segunda |
0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 7 | D |
| 30/05 | Uruguay Montevideo Uruguay Segunda |
0-0 | 0-2 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 22/05 | Club Oriental Uruguay Segunda |
1-1 | 3-1 | 8 | 6 | W |
| 16/05 | Colon FC Uruguay Segunda |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 11 | W |
| 10/05 | Atletico Fenix Montevideo Uruguay Segunda |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 11 | L |
| 25/04 | Club Oriental Uruguay Segunda |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 17/04 | Paysandu FC Uruguay Segunda |
1-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 10 | D |
La Luz
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/06 | CA River Plate Uruguay Segunda |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 21/06 | Cerrito Uruguay Segunda |
1-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 11 | W |
| 14/06 | CA Atenas Uruguay Segunda |
0-2 | 0-4 | 7 | 2 | L |
| 06/06 | Paysandu FC Uruguay Segunda |
0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 31/05 | Huracan DPA Uruguay Segunda |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 9 | D |
| 24/05 | Uruguay Montevideo Uruguay Segunda |
1-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 9 | W |
| 18/05 | Club Oriental Uruguay Segunda |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 09/05 | Colon FC Uruguay Segunda |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | D |
| 19/04 | Cerrito Uruguay Segunda |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 11/04 | Uruguay Montevideo Uruguay Segunda |
0-1 | 0-2 | 12 | 5 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Plaza Colonia vs La Luz?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Plaza Colonia win (44%). Probabilities: Plaza Colonia 44%, draw 32%, La Luz 23%.
How many goals are expected in Plaza Colonia vs La Luz?
The model expects 1.74 goals (Plaza Colonia 1.06 · La Luz 0.68), with a 58% chance of under 2 goals.
Will both teams score in Plaza Colonia vs La Luz?
The model gives a 55% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.