Football · Uruguay Segunda · 05/07, 19:00

Prediction: Atletico Fenix Montevideo vs Huracan DPA

Expected goals: 2.51 (Atletico Fenix Montevideo 1.51 · Huracan DPA 1). The model gives 48% home, 28% draw, 24% away. Over 2.25 goals (53%) and both teams to score (52%). Most likely score: 1-1.

On recent form, Atletico Fenix Montevideo is 4-4-2 (wins-draws-losses) over its last 10 matches and Huracan DPA 4-4-2 over its own. In their only recent head-to-head meeting the record reads 0 wins for Atletico Fenix Montevideo and 1 for Huracan DPA.

48%1
48% 28% 24%
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Atletico Fenix Montevideo 1513 · Huracan DPA 1516
Atletico Fenix MontevideoDrawHuracan DPA
Our model48%28%24%
Market48%27%25%
Estimated total (ours) 2.51 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
Expected goals2.51Atletico Fenix Montevideo 1.51 · Huracan DPA 1
Over / Under 2.25Over 2.25 · 53%
BTTSYes · 52%
Most likely total2 goals
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 73%model estimate

Match keys

  • Cards-heavy: 12.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Atletico Fenix MontevideoHuracan DPA
Goals for / against (FT)1.7 / 1.21.1 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)0.6 / 0.40.2 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)30/50/20%20/50/30%
Corners (HT / FT)2.4 / 5.71.8 / 4.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)6.3 / 0.66.5 / 0.1

Head-to-head (H2H) · Atletico Fenix Montevideo 001 Huracan DPA

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DateHomeScoreAway
19/04/26
Uruguay Segunda
Huracan DPA2-1
HT 1-0
Atletico Fenix Montevideo

Standings · Uruguay Segunda · Segunda Division 2026, Group A

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Atletico Fenix Montevideo 6321 13711
2 Huracan DPA 6240 9610
3 Uruguay Montevideo 6231 759
4 Cerrito 6231 889
5 La Luz 6141 567
6 CA Atenas 6114 5114
7 Tacuarembo 6033 593

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentAtletico Fenix MontevideoHuracan DPA
Rentistas 1-1 D 1-2 L
Miramar Misiones 1-1 D 1-0 W
Tacuarembo 1-2 L 2-1 W
Plaza Colonia 1-0 W 0-0 D
CA Atenas 4-1 W 1-0 W
Record vs common 2 W 2 D 1 L 3 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Atletico Fenix Montevideo (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Atletico Fenix Montevideo

WWWLDDWDDL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
27/06 Uruguay Montevideo
Uruguay Segunda
2-1 2-3 911 L
20/06 Club Oriental
Uruguay Segunda
0-1 2-2 83 D
13/06 Colon FC
Uruguay Segunda
1-0 1-1 65 D
06/06 CA River Plate
Uruguay Segunda
1-1 3-1 38 W
31/05 Rentistas
Uruguay Segunda
0-0 1-1 54 D
25/05 Miramar Misiones
Uruguay Segunda
0-1 1-1 77 D
17/05 Tacuarembo
Uruguay Segunda
0-0 1-2 56 L
10/05 Plaza Colonia
Uruguay Segunda
0-0 1-0 711 W
03/05 Club Oriental
Uruguay Segunda
0-0 1-0 67 W
28/04 CA Atenas
Uruguay Segunda
2-0 4-1 17 W

Huracan DPA

WDDWLDDWWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
27/06 Rentistas
Uruguay Segunda
0-1 1-2 106 L
19/06 Miramar Misiones
Uruguay Segunda
1-0 1-0 25 W
13/06 Tacuarembo
Uruguay Segunda
0-1 2-1 56 W
06/06 Plaza Colonia
Uruguay Segunda
0-0 0-0 17 D
31/05 La Luz
Uruguay Segunda
0-0 1-1 69 D
24/05 Cerrito
Uruguay Segunda
0-2 0-2 27 L
17/05 CA Atenas
Uruguay Segunda
0-0 1-0 34 W
09/05 Paysandu FC
Uruguay Segunda
0-0 2-2 49 D
25/04 Cerrito
Uruguay Segunda
0-0 1-1 67 D
19/04 Atletico Fenix Montevideo
Uruguay Segunda
1-0 2-1 66 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Atletico Fenix Montevideo vs Huracan DPA?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Atletico Fenix Montevideo win (48%). Probabilities: Atletico Fenix Montevideo 48%, draw 28%, Huracan DPA 24%.

How many goals are expected in Atletico Fenix Montevideo vs Huracan DPA?

The model expects 2.51 goals (Atletico Fenix Montevideo 1.51 · Huracan DPA 1), with a 53% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Atletico Fenix Montevideo vs Huracan DPA?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.