Prediction: Colon FC vs Uruguay Montevideo
Expected goals: 2.61 (Colon FC 1.48 · Uruguay Montevideo 1.13). The model gives 44% home, 29% draw, 28% away. Over 2.25 goals (51%) and both teams to score (53%). Most likely score: 1-1.
Over its last 10 matches, Colon FC sits at 3-4-3 (W-D-L), while Uruguay Montevideo arrives on a 3-2-5 run. In the last 5 head-to-head meetings the record reads 3 wins for Colon FC and 1 for Uruguay Montevideo, with 1 draw.
| Colon FC | Draw | Uruguay Montevideo | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 28% | 28% |
| Market | 44% | 29% | 28% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Colon FC (rating 1519 vs 1458).
- H2H favours Colon FC: 3-1-1.
- High corners: 10.9 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 12.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Colon FC | Uruguay Montevideo | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 1.1 | 1.2 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.9 | 0.4 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/30/50% | 20/40/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.2 / 4.8 | 2.8 / 6.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.4 / 0.5 | 6.8 / 0.7 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Colon FC 3–1–1 Uruguay Montevideo
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27/09/25 Uruguay Segunda | Uruguay Montevideo | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Colon FC |
| 05/07/25 Uruguay Segunda | Colon FC | 5-1 HT 4-0 | Uruguay Montevideo |
| 10/11/24 Uruguay Segunda | Uruguay Montevideo | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Colon FC |
| 22/07/24 Uruguay Segunda | Colon FC | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Uruguay Montevideo |
| 01/07/18 Uruguay Division 3 | Colon FC | 0-2 HT 0-2 | Uruguay Montevideo |
Standings · Uruguay Segunda · Segunda Division 2026, Group B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Club Oriental | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 13 |
| 2 | Plaza Colonia | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 9 | 2 | 12 |
| 3 | Colon FC | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 9 |
| 4 | Rentistas | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 9 |
| 5 | Miramar Misiones | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 5 |
| 6 | Paysandu FC | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 4 |
| 7 | CA River Plate | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 13 | 4 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Colon FC | Uruguay Montevideo |
|---|---|---|
| Atletico Fenix Montevideo | 1-1 D | 3-2 W |
| Rentistas | 2-0 W | 0-1 L |
| Miramar Misiones | 1-3 L | 1-3 L |
| Tacuarembo | 0-2 L | 0-1 L |
| Plaza Colonia | 0-1 L | 2-0 W |
| La Luz | 0-0 D | 0-2 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 2 D 3 L | 2 W 0 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: Uruguay Montevideo (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Colon FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/06 | Club Oriental Uruguay Segunda |
0-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 4 | D |
| 20/06 | CA River Plate Uruguay Segunda |
1-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 13/06 | Atletico Fenix Montevideo Uruguay Segunda |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 07/06 | Rentistas Uruguay Segunda |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 10 | W |
| 31/05 | Miramar Misiones Uruguay Segunda |
0-2 | 1-3 | 5 | 8 | L |
| 24/05 | Tacuarembo Uruguay Segunda |
0-2 | 0-2 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 16/05 | Plaza Colonia Uruguay Segunda |
0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 11 | L |
| 09/05 | La Luz Uruguay Segunda |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 18/04 | Miramar Misiones Uruguay Segunda |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 6 | D |
| 12/04 | CA River Plate Uruguay Segunda |
2-1 | 4-2 | 2 | 4 | W |
Uruguay Montevideo
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/06 | Atletico Fenix Montevideo Uruguay Segunda |
1-2 | 3-2 | 10 | 11 | W |
| 21/06 | Rentistas Uruguay Segunda |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 10 | L |
| 13/06 | Miramar Misiones Uruguay Segunda |
0-2 | 1-3 | 7 | 8 | L |
| 07/06 | Tacuarembo Uruguay Segunda |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 30/05 | Plaza Colonia Uruguay Segunda |
0-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 24/05 | La Luz Uruguay Segunda |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 9 | L |
| 16/05 | Cerrito Uruguay Segunda |
0-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 9 | D |
| 09/05 | CA Atenas Uruguay Segunda |
1-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 8 | L |
| 26/04 | Tacuarembo Uruguay Segunda |
1-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 7 | D |
| 11/04 | La Luz Uruguay Segunda |
1-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Colon FC vs Uruguay Montevideo?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Colon FC win (44%). Probabilities: Colon FC 44%, draw 29%, Uruguay Montevideo 28%.
How many goals are expected in Colon FC vs Uruguay Montevideo?
The model expects 2.61 goals (Colon FC 1.48 · Uruguay Montevideo 1.13), with a 51% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Colon FC vs Uruguay Montevideo?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.