Football · Uruguay Segunda · 06/07, 23:00

Prediction: Miramar Misiones vs CA Atenas

Expected goals: 2.53 (Miramar Misiones 1.33 · CA Atenas 1.2). The model gives 39% home, 29% draw, 32% away. Over 2.25 goals (51%) and both teams to score (53%). Most likely score: 1-1.

On recent form, Miramar Misiones is 3-5-2 (wins-draws-losses) over its last 10 matches and CA Atenas 7-0-3 over its own. In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, Miramar Misiones won 1 and CA Atenas 2, with 3 draws.

39%1
39% 29% 32%
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Miramar Misiones 1519 · CA Atenas 1549
Miramar MisionesDrawCA Atenas
Our model39%29%32%
Market39%29%32%
Estimated total (ours) 2.53 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
Expected goals2.53Miramar Misiones 1.33 · CA Atenas 1.2
Over / Under 2.25Over 2.25 · 51%
BTTSYes · 53%
Most likely total2 goals
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 67%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours CA Atenas: 2-3-1.
  • Cards-heavy: 12.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Miramar MisionesCA Atenas
Goals for / against (FT)1.4 / 1.11.8 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)0.6 / 0.50.7 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)30/30/40%30/40/30%
Corners (HT / FT)1.5 / 3.41.3 / 3.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)6.7 / 0.35.5 / 0.3

Head-to-head (H2H) · Miramar Misiones 132 CA Atenas

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DateHomeScoreAway
21/11/23
Uruguay Segunda
Miramar Misiones0-1
HT 0-0
CA Atenas
08/07/23
Uruguay Segunda
CA Atenas0-0Miramar Misiones
05/08/22
Uruguay Segunda
CA Atenas0-1
HT 0-0
Miramar Misiones
15/05/22
Uruguay Segunda
Miramar Misiones1-2
HT 0-1
CA Atenas
11/11/17
Uruguay Segunda
Miramar Misiones1-1CA Atenas
24/06/17
Uruguay Segunda
CA Atenas1-1Miramar Misiones

Standings · Uruguay Segunda · Segunda Division 2026, Group B

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Club Oriental 6411 8513
2 Plaza Colonia 6330 9212
3 Colon FC 6231 859
4 Rentistas 6231 659
5 Miramar Misiones 6123 375
6 Paysandu FC 6114 474
7 CA River Plate 6114 6134

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentMiramar MisionesCA Atenas
Paysandu FC 3-2 W 3-2 W
Huracan DPA 0-1 L 0-1 L
Uruguay Montevideo 3-1 W 2-1 W
Atletico Fenix Montevideo 1-1 D 1-4 L
CA River Plate 1-1 D 2-0 W
Record vs common 2 W 2 D 1 L 3 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Miramar Misiones (2 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Miramar Misiones

DDDLDWDWLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
28/06 Paysandu FC
Uruguay Segunda
0-1 3-2 48 W
19/06 Huracan DPA
Uruguay Segunda
0-1 0-1 65 L
13/06 Uruguay Montevideo
Uruguay Segunda
2-0 3-1 28 W
08/06 Club Oriental
Uruguay Segunda
1-1 2-2 78 D
31/05 Colon FC
Uruguay Segunda
2-0 3-1 38 W
25/05 Atletico Fenix Montevideo
Uruguay Segunda
1-0 1-1 27 D
17/05 Rentistas
Uruguay Segunda
0-1 0-1 48 L
10/05 CA River Plate
Uruguay Segunda
0-1 1-1 17 D
30/04 Rentistas
Uruguay Segunda
0-0 1-1 55 D
18/04 Colon FC
Uruguay Segunda
0-0 0-0 06 D

CA Atenas

WLWLWWLWWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
27/06 Tacuarembo
Uruguay Segunda
2-0 2-0 36 W
21/06 Plaza Colonia
Uruguay Segunda
1-1 2-1 46 W
14/06 La Luz
Uruguay Segunda
2-0 4-0 02 W
07/06 Cerrito
Uruguay Segunda
0-1 1-2 26 L
31/05 CA River Plate
Uruguay Segunda
1-0 2-0 28 W
23/05 Paysandu FC
Uruguay Segunda
1-1 3-2 36 W
17/05 Huracan DPA
Uruguay Segunda
0-0 0-1 14 L
09/05 Uruguay Montevideo
Uruguay Segunda
0-1 2-1 48 W
28/04 Atletico Fenix Montevideo
Uruguay Segunda
0-2 1-4 87 L
18/04 Tacuarembo
Uruguay Segunda
0-0 1-0 65 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Miramar Misiones vs CA Atenas?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Miramar Misiones win (39%). Probabilities: Miramar Misiones 39%, draw 29%, CA Atenas 32%.

How many goals are expected in Miramar Misiones vs CA Atenas?

The model expects 2.53 goals (Miramar Misiones 1.33 · CA Atenas 1.2), with a 51% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Miramar Misiones vs CA Atenas?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.