Football · Slovakia 2. Liga · 31/07, 17:00
Prediction: FK Pohronie vs MSK Povazska Bystrica
Team pages: FK Pohronie · MSK Povazska Bystrica
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.85Total
FK Pohronie1.51
MSK Povazska Bystrica1.34
1X2
FK Pohronie
Draw
MSK Povazska Bystrica
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 53%
Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
FK Pohronie
4-4-2 (W-D-L)
MSK Povazska Bystrica
2-5-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
FK Pohronie
2–2–2
MSK Povazska Bystrica
(6 last)
- MSK Povazska Bystrica0-2FK Pohronie
- MSK Povazska Bystrica1-1FK Pohronie
- FK Pohronie4-0MSK Povazska Bystrica
- MSK Povazska Bystrica3-1FK Pohronie
- FK Pohronie1-2MSK Povazska Bystrica
- MSK Povazska Bystrica1-1FK Pohronie
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · FK Pohronie 1515 · MSK Povazska Bystrica 1474
| FK Pohronie | Draw | MSK Povazska Bystrica | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 40% | 27% | 33% |
| Market | 39% | 29% | 32% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.85 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 55%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FK Pohronie (rating 1515 vs 1474).
- Cards-heavy: 5.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| FK Pohronie | MSK Povazska Bystrica | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 1.4 | 1.2 / 1.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.4 | 0.7 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/60/20% | 30/30/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.3 / 5.1 | 1.6 / 4.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.7 / 0.1 | 2.7 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · FK Pohronie 2–2–2 MSK Povazska Bystrica
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19/06/26 Club Friendly List | MSK Povazska Bystrica | 0-2 HT 0-2 | FK Pohronie |
| 08/05/26 Slovakia 2. Liga | MSK Povazska Bystrica | 1-1 HT 0-0 | FK Pohronie |
| 24/10/25 Slovakia 2. Liga | FK Pohronie | 4-0 HT 3-0 | MSK Povazska Bystrica |
| 09/05/25 Slovakia 2. Liga | MSK Povazska Bystrica | 3-1 HT 1-0 | FK Pohronie |
| 25/10/24 Slovakia 2. Liga | FK Pohronie | 1-2 HT 1-0 | MSK Povazska Bystrica |
| 04/05/24 Slovakia 2. Liga | MSK Povazska Bystrica | 1-1 HT 1-0 | FK Pohronie |
Standings · Slovakia 2. Liga
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FK Tatran Liptovsky Mikulas | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 3 |
| 2 | MSK Povazska Bystrica | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| 3 | FC Petrzalka | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | STK Samorin | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 5 | FC Tatran Presov | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 6 | FC Vion Zlate Moravce | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 7 | FK Pohronie | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 1 |
| 7 | OFK Banik Lehota | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 1 |
| 9 | Slovan Galanta | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 9 | MFK Zvolen | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 11 | FK Humenne | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 | Slovan Bratislava B | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 | Inter Bratislava | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 | MSK Zilina B | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 | OFK Malzenice | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 | MFK Bytca | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
FK Pohronie
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/07 | OFK Banik Lehota Slovakia 2. Liga |
1-1 | 3-3 | 3 | 8 | D |
| 18/07 | Dukla Banska Bystrica Club Friendly List |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 11/07 | KFC Komarno Europe Friendlies |
0-1 | 0-5 | 2 | 0 | L |
| 04/07 | FK Podkonice Club Friendly List |
3-1 | 4-1 | 7 | 0 | W |
| 19/06 | MSK Povazska Bystrica Club Friendly List |
2-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 15/05 | Slovan Bratislava B Slovakia 2. Liga |
0-0 | 2-1 | 8 | 0 | W |
| 08/05 | MSK Povazska Bystrica Slovakia 2. Liga |
0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 3 | D |
| 02/05 | FK Tatran Liptovsky Mikulas Slovakia 2. Liga |
0-1 | 2-2 | 8 | 6 | D |
| 26/04 | FC Vion Zlate Moravce Slovakia 2. Liga |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 22/04 | Dukla Banska Bystrica Slovakia 2. Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
MSK Povazska Bystrica
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/07 | Inter Bratislava Slovakia 2. Liga |
3-0 | 3-1 | 9 | 4 | W |
| 18/07 | GKS Tychy 71 Europe Friendlies |
1-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | D |
| 10/07 | MFK Karvina Club Friendly List |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 0 | L |
| 27/06 | Banik Ostrava B Europe Friendlies |
1-2 | 1-4 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 19/06 | FK Pohronie Club Friendly List |
0-2 | 0-2 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 15/05 | Puchov Slovakia 2. Liga |
1-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 6 | W |
| 08/05 | FK Pohronie Slovakia 2. Liga |
0-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 3 | D |
| 02/05 | MFK Stara Lubovna Slovakia 2. Liga |
0-1 | 1-1 | 0 | 5 | D |
| 25/04 | STK Samorin Slovakia 2. Liga |
0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 22/04 | MSK Zilina B Slovakia 2. Liga |
1-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in FK Pohronie vs MSK Povazska Bystrica?
According to our model, the most likely result is a FK Pohronie win (40%). Probabilities: FK Pohronie 40%, draw 28%, MSK Povazska Bystrica 32%.
How many goals are expected in FK Pohronie vs MSK Povazska Bystrica?
The model expects 2.85 goals (FK Pohronie 1.51 · MSK Povazska Bystrica 1.34), with a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in FK Pohronie vs MSK Povazska Bystrica?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.