Football · Slovakia 2. Liga · 09/08, 10:30

Prediction: Slovan Bratislava B vs STK Samorin

Team pages: Slovan Bratislava B · STK Samorin

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.44Total

Slovan Bratislava B1.7

STK Samorin1.74

1X2

37% 25% 38%

Slovan Bratislava B Draw STK Samorin

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 59%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Slovan Bratislava B 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

WDWWDWLLLL

STK Samorin 6-4-0 (W-D-L)

DDDWWWDWWW

Head-to-head

Slovan Bratislava B 1–1–4 STK Samorin (6 last)

STK Samorin1-1Slovan Bratislava B
Slovan Bratislava B1-4STK Samorin
STK Samorin0-2Slovan Bratislava B
Slovan Bratislava B0-2STK Samorin
STK Samorin3-2Slovan Bratislava B
Slovan Bratislava B0-3STK Samorin

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Slovan Bratislava B 1481 · STK Samorin 1588

	Slovan Bratislava B	Draw	STK Samorin
Our model	37%	24%	39%
Market	36%	26%	38%

Estimated total (ours) 3.44 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.7

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 68%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours STK Samorin (rating 1481 vs 1588).
H2H favours STK Samorin: 4-1-1.
High corners: 10.9 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 7.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Slovan Bratislava B	STK Samorin
Goals for / against (FT)	2.1 / 1.6	2.1 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)	1.2 / 0.5	1.3 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/40/20%	50/50/0%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.9 / 4.9	4 / 6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.6 / 0.1	4.3 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.50

X3.50

22.40

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.95

2 (0)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.88

Under 2.751.93

Diff.: 0.75 · xG: 3.5

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 17:51

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.50 → 2.50	Bet365 2.50
X	3.50 → 3.50	Bet365 3.50
2	2.40 → 2.40	Bet365 2.40

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 10.2%

Time*	1	X	2
17:47 +4’	2.50	3.50	2.40

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Slovan Bratislava B 1–1–4 STK Samorin

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
02/05/26 Slovakia 2. Liga	STK Samorin	1-1 HT 1-0	Slovan Bratislava B
19/10/25 Slovakia 2. Liga	Slovan Bratislava B	1-4 HT 1-1	STK Samorin
23/03/25 Slovakia 2. Liga	STK Samorin	0-2 HT 0-0	Slovan Bratislava B
24/08/24 Slovakia 2. Liga	Slovan Bratislava B	0-2 HT 0-1	STK Samorin
05/05/24 Slovakia 2. Liga	STK Samorin	3-2 HT 1-0	Slovan Bratislava B
22/10/23 Slovakia 2. Liga	Slovan Bratislava B	0-3 HT 0-2	STK Samorin

Standings · Slovakia 2. Liga

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FK Tatran Liptovsky Mikulas	2	2	0	0	7	0	6
2	FC Petrzalka	2	2	0	0	6	0	6
3	STK Samorin	2	2	0	0	5	1	6
4	FC Tatran Presov	2	2	0	0	3	1	6
5	FK Pohronie	2	1	1	0	5	4	4
6	FC Vion Zlate Moravce	2	1	1	0	3	2	4
7	MSK Povazska Bystrica	2	1	0	1	4	3	3
8	OFK Malzenice	2	1	0	1	4	4	3
9	MSK Zilina B	2	1	0	1	1	2	3
10	OFK Banik Lehota	2	0	2	0	5	5	2
11	MFK Zvolen	2	0	1	1	1	2	1
12	Slovan Galanta	2	0	1	1	1	3	1
13	FK Humenne	2	0	0	2	2	5	0
13	Slovan Bratislava B	2	0	0	2	2	5	0
15	Inter Bratislava	2	0	0	2	1	4	0
16	MFK Bytca	2	0	0	2	0	9	0

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Slovan Bratislava B	STK Samorin
OFK Malzenice	2-4 L	2-0 W
MFK Zvolen	2-1 W	3-1 W
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 1 L	2 W 0 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: STK Samorin (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Slovan Bratislava B

WDWWDWLLLL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
02/08	OFK Malzenice Slovakia 2. Liga	1-2	2-4	9	6	L
26/07	FC Vion Zlate Moravce Slovakia 2. Liga	0-0	0-1	4	5	L
20/06	AS Trencin Europe Friendlies	1-0	1-2	2	0	L
15/05	FK Pohronie Slovakia 2. Liga	0-0	1-2	7	0	L
08/05	MFK Stara Lubovna Slovakia 2. Liga	2-1	5-1	4	6	W
02/05	STK Samorin Slovakia 2. Liga	0-1	1-1	7	3	D
26/04	MSK Zilina B Slovakia 2. Liga	4-0	4-2	6	2	W
22/04	MFK Zvolen Slovakia 2. Liga	1-1	2-1	8	5	W
19/04	OFK Malzenice Slovakia 2. Liga	0-0	1-1	0	9	D
12/04	Slavia TU Kosice Slovakia 2. Liga	3-0	4-1	2	1	W

STK Samorin

DDDWWWDWWW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/08	FK Humenne Slovakia 2. Liga	2-1	3-1	7	5	W
27/07	OFK Malzenice Slovakia 2. Liga	0-0	2-0	10	5	W
19/07	Al Gharafa World Club Friendlies	1-1	2-1	6	2	W
10/07	FC Spartak Trnava Europe Friendlies	2-0	2-2	4	5	D
20/06	Dunajska Streda Europe Friendlies	2-0	3-2	5	2	W
15/05	MFK Zvolen Slovakia 2. Liga	1-1	3-1	3	4	W
08/05	OFK Malzenice Slovakia 2. Liga	3-0	3-2	2	10	W
02/05	Slovan Bratislava B Slovakia 2. Liga	1-0	1-1	9	3	D
25/04	MSK Povazska Bystrica Slovakia 2. Liga	0-0	1-1	2	3	D
22/04	FK Tatran Liptovsky Mikulas Slovakia 2. Liga	1-1	1-1	12	5	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Slovan Bratislava B vs STK Samorin?

According to our model, the most likely result is an STK Samorin win (38%). Probabilities: Slovan Bratislava B 37%, draw 25%, STK Samorin 38%.

How many goals are expected in Slovan Bratislava B vs STK Samorin?

The model expects 3.44 goals (Slovan Bratislava B 1.7 · STK Samorin 1.74), with a 56% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Slovan Bratislava B vs STK Samorin?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.