Football · Slovakia 2. Liga · 10/08, 17:00

Prediction: MSK Povazska Bystrica vs FC Vion Zlate Moravce

Team pages: MSK Povazska Bystrica · FC Vion Zlate Moravce

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.94Total

MSK Povazska Bystrica1.59

FC Vion Zlate Moravce1.35

1X2

42% 27% 31%

MSK Povazska Bystrica Draw FC Vion Zlate Moravce

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

MSK Povazska Bystrica 2-4-4 (W-D-L)

DDDWLLLDWL

FC Vion Zlate Moravce 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

LLWDWWWLWD

Head-to-head

MSK Povazska Bystrica 0–2–3 FC Vion Zlate Moravce (5 last)

MSK Povazska Bystrica1-2FC Vion Zlate Moravce
FC Vion Zlate Moravce5-1MSK Povazska Bystrica
MSK Povazska Bystrica1-1FC Vion Zlate Moravce
FC Vion Zlate Moravce3-1MSK Povazska Bystrica
MSK Povazska Bystrica2-2FC Vion Zlate Moravce

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · MSK Povazska Bystrica 1463 · FC Vion Zlate Moravce 1562

	MSK Povazska Bystrica	Draw	FC Vion Zlate Moravce
Our model	42%	27%	31%
Market	42%	27%	31%

Estimated total (ours) 2.94 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 60%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FC Vion Zlate Moravce (rating 1463 vs 1562).
H2H favours FC Vion Zlate Moravce: 3-2-0.
High corners: 11.4 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 5.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	MSK Povazska Bystrica	FC Vion Zlate Moravce
Goals for / against (FT)	1.1 / 1.6	1.6 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.8	0.7 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/30/50%	30/60/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 4.8	2.4 / 6.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.7 / 0	3 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

12.15

X3.40

22.90

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.93

2 (+0.25)1.88

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.82

Under 2.51.98

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 2.75

Market movement

Match winner · 5 moves · last 04:43

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.75 → 2.15▼	Pinn 2.16
X	3.40 → 3.40	Pinn 3.47 ★
2	2.30 → 2.90▲	Pinn 2.92

See the full journey (5)

Bet365 margin 10.4% Pinnacle margin 9.4%

Time*	1	X	2
19:28 +1’	2.75	3.40	2.30
09:46 +1’	2.35▼	3.40	2.63▲
10:49 +4’	2.75▲	3.40	2.30▼
11:53 +3’	2.35▼	3.40	2.63▲
04:41 +2’	2.15▼	3.40	2.90▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
09:46 +1’	2.16	3.47	2.92

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · MSK Povazska Bystrica 0–2–3 FC Vion Zlate Moravce

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Date	Home	Score	Away
14/03/26 Slovakia 2. Liga	MSK Povazska Bystrica	1-2 HT 1-1	FC Vion Zlate Moravce
22/08/25 Slovakia 2. Liga	FC Vion Zlate Moravce	5-1 HT 2-1	MSK Povazska Bystrica
22/03/25 Slovakia 2. Liga	MSK Povazska Bystrica	1-1 HT 0-0	FC Vion Zlate Moravce
23/08/24 Slovakia 2. Liga	FC Vion Zlate Moravce	3-1 HT 1-1	MSK Povazska Bystrica
18/10/22 Slovakia Cup	MSK Povazska Bystrica	2-2 HT 0-0	FC Vion Zlate Moravce

Standings · Slovakia 2. Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FK Tatran Liptovsky Mikulas	2	2	0	0	7	0	6
2	FC Petrzalka	2	2	0	0	6	0	6
3	STK Samorin	2	2	0	0	5	1	6
4	FC Tatran Presov	2	2	0	0	3	1	6
5	FK Pohronie	2	1	1	0	5	4	4
6	FC Vion Zlate Moravce	2	1	1	0	3	2	4
7	MSK Povazska Bystrica	2	1	0	1	4	3	3
8	OFK Malzenice	2	1	0	1	4	4	3
9	MSK Zilina B	2	1	0	1	1	2	3
10	OFK Banik Lehota	2	0	2	0	5	5	2
11	MFK Zvolen	2	0	1	1	1	2	1
12	Slovan Galanta	2	0	1	1	1	3	1
13	FK Humenne	2	0	0	2	2	5	0
13	Slovan Bratislava B	2	0	0	2	2	5	0
15	Inter Bratislava	2	0	0	2	1	4	0
16	MFK Bytca	2	0	0	2	0	9	0

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	MSK Povazska Bystrica	FC Vion Zlate Moravce
FK Pohronie	1-2 L	0-1 L
Inter Bratislava	3-1 W	1-0 W
Puchov	1-0 W	0-1 L
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 1 L	1 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: MSK Povazska Bystrica (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

MSK Povazska Bystrica

DDDWLLLDWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/07	FK Pohronie Slovakia 2. Liga	0-1	1-2	10	3	L
25/07	Inter Bratislava Slovakia 2. Liga	3-0	3-1	9	4	W
18/07	GKS Tychy 71 Europe Friendlies	1-1	2-2	6	0	D
10/07	MFK Karvina Club Friendly List	0-1	0-2	3	0	L
27/06	Banik Ostrava B Europe Friendlies	1-2	1-4	2	1	L
19/06	FK Pohronie Club Friendly List	0-2	0-2	3	2	L
15/05	Puchov Slovakia 2. Liga	1-0	1-0	1	6	W
08/05	FK Pohronie Slovakia 2. Liga	0-0	1-1	8	3	D
02/05	MFK Stara Lubovna Slovakia 2. Liga	0-1	1-1	0	5	D
25/04	STK Samorin Slovakia 2. Liga	0-0	1-1	6	3	D

FC Vion Zlate Moravce

LLWDWWWLWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/08	OFK Banik Lehota Slovakia 2. Liga	1-0	2-2	3	6	D
26/07	Slovan Bratislava B Slovakia 2. Liga	0-0	1-0	3	5	W
08/07	MFK Skalica Europe Friendlies	1-1	1-2	6	0	L
28/06	FC Banik Prievidza Club Friendly List	2-1	5-3	11	0	W
27/06	Dukla Banska Bystrica Europe Friendlies	1-0	2-0	7	0	W
20/06	Inter Bratislava Europe Friendlies	0-0	1-0	3	0	W
15/05	OFK Banik Lehota Slovakia 2. Liga	2-2	3-3	10	4	D
08/05	FC Petrzalka Slovakia 2. Liga	0-0	1-0	4	4	W
02/05	Puchov Slovakia 2. Liga	0-1	0-1	11	8	L
26/04	FK Pohronie Slovakia 2. Liga	0-0	0-1	8	5	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in MSK Povazska Bystrica vs FC Vion Zlate Moravce?

According to our model, the most likely result is a MSK Povazska Bystrica win (42%). Probabilities: MSK Povazska Bystrica 42%, draw 27%, FC Vion Zlate Moravce 31%.

How many goals are expected in MSK Povazska Bystrica vs FC Vion Zlate Moravce?

The model expects 2.94 goals (MSK Povazska Bystrica 1.59 · FC Vion Zlate Moravce 1.35), with a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in MSK Povazska Bystrica vs FC Vion Zlate Moravce?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.