Football · Slovakia 2. Liga · 09/08, 10:30

Prediction: MSK Zilina B vs FK Pohronie

Team pages: MSK Zilina B · FK Pohronie

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.25Total

MSK Zilina B1.75

FK Pohronie1.5

1X2

43% 25% 32%

MSK Zilina B Draw FK Pohronie

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 59% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

MSK Zilina B 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

LLLDLDLWLW

FK Pohronie 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

WDDWWWLLDW

Head-to-head

MSK Zilina B 3–1–2 FK Pohronie (6 last)

MSK Zilina B1-0FK Pohronie
FK Pohronie4-1MSK Zilina B
FK Pohronie0-1MSK Zilina B
MSK Zilina B3-0FK Pohronie
FK Pohronie3-2MSK Zilina B
MSK Zilina B2-2FK Pohronie

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · MSK Zilina B 1455 · FK Pohronie 1524

	MSK Zilina B	Draw	FK Pohronie
Our model	43%	25%	32%
Market	43%	25%	32%

Estimated total (ours) 3.25 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 56%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FK Pohronie (rating 1455 vs 1524).
H2H favours MSK Zilina B: 3-1-2.
Cards-heavy: 6.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	MSK Zilina B	FK Pohronie
Goals for / against (FT)	1.4 / 2.4	1.7 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.8	0.7 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/20/40%	30/50/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.2 / 4.2	2.2 / 4.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.4 / 0.3	2.7 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.15

X3.60

22.88

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.93

2 (+0.25)1.88

Line ⓘ

Over 32.00

Under 31.80

Diff.: 0.5 · xG: 3.5

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 17:51

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.15 → 2.15	Bet365 2.15
X	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60
2	2.88 → 2.88	Bet365 2.88

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 9.1%

Time*	1	X	2
17:47 +4’	2.15	3.60	2.88

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · MSK Zilina B 3–1–2 FK Pohronie

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Date	Home	Score	Away
01/03/26 Slovakia 2. Liga	MSK Zilina B	1-0 HT 1-0	FK Pohronie
08/08/25 Slovakia 2. Liga	FK Pohronie	4-1 HT 2-1	MSK Zilina B
25/01/25 Club Friendly List	FK Pohronie	0-1 HT 0-0	MSK Zilina B
10/11/24 Slovakia 2. Liga	MSK Zilina B	3-0 HT 0-0	FK Pohronie
26/07/24 Slovakia 2. Liga	FK Pohronie	3-2 HT 2-1	MSK Zilina B
06/04/24 Slovakia 2. Liga	MSK Zilina B	2-2 HT 1-0	FK Pohronie

Standings · Slovakia 2. Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FK Tatran Liptovsky Mikulas	2	2	0	0	7	0	6
2	FC Petrzalka	2	2	0	0	6	0	6
3	STK Samorin	2	2	0	0	5	1	6
4	FC Tatran Presov	2	2	0	0	3	1	6
5	FK Pohronie	2	1	1	0	5	4	4
6	FC Vion Zlate Moravce	2	1	1	0	3	2	4
7	MSK Povazska Bystrica	2	1	0	1	4	3	3
8	OFK Malzenice	2	1	0	1	4	4	3
9	MSK Zilina B	2	1	0	1	1	2	3
10	OFK Banik Lehota	2	0	2	0	5	5	2
11	MFK Zvolen	2	0	1	1	1	2	1
12	Slovan Galanta	2	0	1	1	1	3	1
13	FK Humenne	2	0	0	2	2	5	0
13	Slovan Bratislava B	2	0	0	2	2	5	0
15	Inter Bratislava	2	0	0	2	1	4	0
16	MFK Bytca	2	0	0	2	0	9	0

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	MSK Zilina B	FK Pohronie
Slovan Bratislava B	2-4 L	2-1 W
MSK Povazska Bystrica	2-2 D	2-1 W
FK Tatran Liptovsky Mikulas	0-2 L	2-2 D
FC Vion Zlate Moravce	1-4 L	1-0 W
Dukla Banska Bystrica	1-4 L	0-1 L
Record vs common	0 W 1 D 4 L	3 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: FK Pohronie (5 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

MSK Zilina B

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
03/08	Inter Bratislava Slovakia 2. Liga	1-0	1-0	3	4	W
26/07	FC Petrzalka Slovakia 2. Liga	0-0	0-2	3	5	L
15/05	Slavia TU Kosice Slovakia 2. Liga	1-0	4-0	2	1	W
08/05	MFK Zvolen Slovakia 2. Liga	0-1	2-5	6	4	L
03/05	OFK Malzenice Slovakia 2. Liga	1-0	1-1	1	7	D
26/04	Slovan Bratislava B Slovakia 2. Liga	0-4	2-4	2	2	L
22/04	MSK Povazska Bystrica Slovakia 2. Liga	0-1	2-2	5	3	D
18/04	FK Tatran Liptovsky Mikulas Slovakia 2. Liga	0-0	0-2	1	5	L
12/04	FC Vion Zlate Moravce Slovakia 2. Liga	1-2	1-4	15	3	L
03/04	Dukla Banska Bystrica Slovakia 2. Liga	1-0	1-4	4	3	L

FK Pohronie

WDDWWWLLDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/07	MSK Povazska Bystrica Slovakia 2. Liga	1-0	2-1	3	3	W
25/07	OFK Banik Lehota Slovakia 2. Liga	1-1	3-3	3	8	D
18/07	Dukla Banska Bystrica Club Friendly List	0-0	0-1	4	1	L
11/07	KFC Komarno Europe Friendlies	0-1	0-5	2	0	L
04/07	FK Podkonice Club Friendly List	3-1	4-1	7	0	W
19/06	MSK Povazska Bystrica Club Friendly List	2-0	2-0	7	2	W
15/05	Slovan Bratislava B Slovakia 2. Liga	0-0	2-1	8	0	W
08/05	MSK Povazska Bystrica Slovakia 2. Liga	0-0	1-1	1	3	D
02/05	FK Tatran Liptovsky Mikulas Slovakia 2. Liga	0-1	2-2	8	6	D
26/04	FC Vion Zlate Moravce Slovakia 2. Liga	0-0	1-0	6	5	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in MSK Zilina B vs FK Pohronie?

According to our model, the most likely result is a MSK Zilina B win (43%). Probabilities: MSK Zilina B 43%, draw 25%, FK Pohronie 32%.

How many goals are expected in MSK Zilina B vs FK Pohronie?

The model expects 3.25 goals (MSK Zilina B 1.75 · FK Pohronie 1.5), with a 50% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in MSK Zilina B vs FK Pohronie?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.