Football · Slovakia 2. Liga · 08/08, 17:00

Prediction: Slovan Galanta vs FC Petrzalka

Team pages: Slovan Galanta · FC Petrzalka

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.88Total

Slovan Galanta1.16

FC Petrzalka1.72

1X2

26% 24% 51%

Slovan Galanta Draw FC Petrzalka

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Slovan Galanta 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

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FC Petrzalka 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Slovan Galanta 0–2–1 FC Petrzalka (3 last)

FC Petrzalka2-2Slovan Galanta
Slovan Galanta3-3FC Petrzalka
Slovan Galanta0-4FC Petrzalka

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Slovan Galanta 1526 · FC Petrzalka 1556

	Slovan Galanta	Draw	FC Petrzalka
Our model	24%	26%	50%
Market	27%	22%	52%

Estimated total (ours) 2.88 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 54%model estimate

Match keys

High corners: 13 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 6.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Slovan Galanta	FC Petrzalka
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 1	1.9 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.6	0.5 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/20/50%	50/30/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.8 / 7.2	2.3 / 5.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.2 / 0	2.3 / 0

Odds Bet365

13.40

X4.20

21.75

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.75)1.82

2 (-0.75)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 31.82

Under 31.98

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 2.8

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 20:23

	Bet365	Best now
1	4.00 → 3.40▼	Bet365 3.40
X	4.20 → 4.20	Bet365 4.20
2	1.61 → 1.75▲	Bet365 1.75

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 10.4%

Time*	1	X	2
18:42 +13’	4.00	4.20	1.61
20:19 +4’	3.40▼	4.20	1.75▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Slovan Galanta 0–2–1 FC Petrzalka

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Date	Home	Score	Away
23/02/24 Club Friendly List	FC Petrzalka	2-2 HT 1-0	Slovan Galanta
27/09/23 Slovakia Cup	Slovan Galanta	3-3 HT 1-1	FC Petrzalka
12/07/23 Europe Friendlies	Slovan Galanta	0-4 HT 0-2	FC Petrzalka

Standings · Slovakia 2. Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FK Tatran Liptovsky Mikulas	2	2	0	0	7	0	6
2	FC Petrzalka	2	2	0	0	6	0	6
3	STK Samorin	2	2	0	0	5	1	6
4	FC Tatran Presov	2	2	0	0	3	1	6
5	FK Pohronie	2	1	1	0	5	4	4
6	FC Vion Zlate Moravce	2	1	1	0	3	2	4
7	MSK Povazska Bystrica	2	1	0	1	4	3	3
8	OFK Malzenice	2	1	0	1	4	4	3
9	MSK Zilina B	2	1	0	1	1	2	3
10	OFK Banik Lehota	2	0	2	0	5	5	2
11	MFK Zvolen	2	0	1	1	1	2	1
12	Slovan Galanta	2	0	1	1	1	3	1
13	FK Humenne	2	0	0	2	2	5	0
13	Slovan Bratislava B	2	0	0	2	2	5	0
15	Inter Bratislava	2	0	0	2	1	4	0
16	MFK Bytca	2	0	0	2	0	9	0

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Slovan Galanta

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/07	FK Tatran Liptovsky Mikulas Slovakia 2. Liga	0-1	0-2	5	2	L
25/07	MFK Zvolen Slovakia 2. Liga	0-1	1-1	2	2	D
06/06	OK Castkovce Slovakia 3. Liga	2-0	3-0	–	–	W
30/05	Tj Druzstevnik Velke Ludince Slovakia 3. Liga	0-1	2-1	–	–	W
23/05	SK 1923 Gabcikovo Slovakia 3. Liga	0-0	0-1	–	–	L
16/05	TJ Kovo Belusa Slovakia 3. Liga	1-2	3-2	12	7	W
09/05	FK Nove Zamky Slovakia 3. Liga	0-1	0-1	–	–	L
01/05	Spartak Myjava Slovakia 3. Liga	0-0	0-0	12	6	D
25/04	Slovan Duslo Šala Slovakia 3. Liga	1-0	2-1	–	–	W
18/04	FC Malacky Slovakia 3. Liga	2-0	2-1	5	4	W

FC Petrzalka

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
02/08	MFK Bytca Slovakia 2. Liga	1-0	4-0	12	2	W
26/07	MSK Zilina B Slovakia 2. Liga	0-0	2-0	7	5	W
18/07	Opava Europe Friendlies	1-0	2-1	4	2	W
11/07	FK Zeleziarne Podbrezova Europe Friendlies	1-0	3-0	4	0	W
04/07	MFK Skalica Europe Friendlies	0-0	0-1	2	0	L
27/06	AS Trencin Europe Friendlies	1-0	2-4	1	1	L
20/06	FC Trinity Zlin Europe Friendlies	1-0	3-3	1	4	D
15/05	FK Tatran Liptovsky Mikulas Slovakia 2. Liga	0-1	2-1	7	5	W
08/05	FC Vion Zlate Moravce Slovakia 2. Liga	0-0	0-1	5	4	L
03/05	Dukla Banska Bystrica Slovakia 2. Liga	0-2	1-3	15	0	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Slovan Galanta vs FC Petrzalka?

According to our model, the most likely result is an FC Petrzalka win (51%). Probabilities: Slovan Galanta 26%, draw 24%, FC Petrzalka 51%.

How many goals are expected in Slovan Galanta vs FC Petrzalka?

The model expects 2.88 goals (Slovan Galanta 1.16 · FC Petrzalka 1.72), with a 53% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Slovan Galanta vs FC Petrzalka?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.