Football · Slovakia 2. Liga · 08/08, 17:00

Prediction: FK Humenne vs MFK Zvolen

Team pages: FK Humenne · MFK Zvolen

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.3Total

FK Humenne1.66

MFK Zvolen1.64

1X2

38% 26% 37%

FK Humenne Draw MFK Zvolen

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 58% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

FK Humenne 6-0-4 (W-D-L)

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MFK Zvolen 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

FK Humenne 0–2 MFK Zvolen (2 last)

FK Humenne1-2MFK Zvolen
MFK Zvolen2-1FK Humenne

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FK Humenne 1529 · MFK Zvolen 1479

	FK Humenne	Draw	MFK Zvolen
Our model	38%	25%	37%
Market	37%	26%	37%

Estimated total (ours) 3.3 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 65%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FK Humenne (rating 1529 vs 1479).
H2H favours MFK Zvolen: 2-0-0.
High corners: 10.7 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FK Humenne	MFK Zvolen
Goals for / against (FT)	3.6 / 0.9	1.5 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)	1.8 / 0.4	0.8 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/40/20%	40/30/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	3 / 6.7	2.8 / 4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.6 / 0.1	2.4 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.45

X3.50

22.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.88

2 (0)1.93

Line ⓘ

Over 2.752.00

Under 2.751.80

Diff.: 1.05 · xG: 3.8

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 18:55

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.45 → 2.45	Bet365 2.45
X	3.50 → 3.50	Bet365 3.50
2	2.50 → 2.50	Bet365 2.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 9.4%

Time*	1	X	2
18:42 +13’	2.45	3.50	2.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · FK Humenne 0–0–2 MFK Zvolen

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Date	Home	Score	Away
08/03/25 Slovakia 2. Liga	FK Humenne	1-2 HT 1-1	MFK Zvolen
10/08/24 Slovakia 2. Liga	MFK Zvolen	2-1 HT 1-1	FK Humenne

Standings · Slovakia 2. Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FK Tatran Liptovsky Mikulas	2	2	0	0	7	0	6
2	FC Petrzalka	2	2	0	0	6	0	6
3	STK Samorin	2	2	0	0	5	1	6
4	FC Tatran Presov	2	2	0	0	3	1	6
5	FK Pohronie	2	1	1	0	5	4	4
6	FC Vion Zlate Moravce	2	1	1	0	3	2	4
7	MSK Povazska Bystrica	2	1	0	1	4	3	3
8	OFK Malzenice	2	1	0	1	4	4	3
9	MSK Zilina B	2	1	0	1	1	2	3
10	OFK Banik Lehota	2	0	2	0	5	5	2
11	MFK Zvolen	2	0	1	1	1	2	1
12	Slovan Galanta	2	0	1	1	1	3	1
13	FK Humenne	2	0	0	2	2	5	0
13	Slovan Bratislava B	2	0	0	2	2	5	0
15	Inter Bratislava	2	0	0	2	1	4	0
16	MFK Bytca	2	0	0	2	0	9	0

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FK Humenne	MFK Zvolen
STK Samorin	1-3 L	1-3 L
FC Tatran Presov	1-2 L	0-1 L
Record vs common	0 W 0 D 2 L	0 W 0 D 2 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

FK Humenne

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/08	STK Samorin Slovakia 2. Liga	1-2	1-3	11	5	L
25/07	FC Tatran Presov Slovakia 2. Liga	0-0	1-2	4	6	L
11/07	FC Kosice Europe Friendlies	0-0	0-1	4	0	L
08/07	Odeva Lipany Club Friendly List	0-0	2-0	7	0	W
23/06	MFK Zemplin Michalovce Club Friendly List	0-1	1-2	3	1	L
30/05	Slovan Sabinov Slovakia 3. Liga	6-0	8-0	–	–	W
23/05	MFK Kezmarok Slovakia 3. Liga	4-0	6-0	–	–	W
16/05	Spartak Medzev Slovakia 3. Liga	3-0	6-0	8	5	W
10/05	FC Kosice B Slovakia 3. Liga	1-1	5-1	10	2	W
02/05	MSK Spisske Podhradie Slovakia 3. Liga	3-0	6-0	–	–	W

MFK Zvolen

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/08	FC Tatran Presov Slovakia 2. Liga	0-0	0-1	8	4	L
25/07	Slovan Galanta Slovakia 2. Liga	1-0	1-1	5	2	D
18/07	Fomat Martin Club Friendly List	3-0	4-1	2	0	W
08/07	KFC Komarno Europe Friendlies	0-0	0-0	2	0	D
04/07	MFK Ruzomberok Europe Friendlies	1-2	3-3	3	1	D
20/06	FK Zeleziarne Podbrezova Europe Friendlies	0-1	0-2	3	0	L
23/05	KFC Komarno Slovakia Super Liga Play-Offs	0-1	0-3	6	7	L
19/05	KFC Komarno Slovakia Super Liga Play-Offs	1-0	1-0	–	–	W
15/05	STK Samorin Slovakia 2. Liga	1-1	1-3	3	4	L
08/05	MSK Zilina B Slovakia 2. Liga	1-0	5-2	4	4	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FK Humenne vs MFK Zvolen?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FK Humenne win (38%). Probabilities: FK Humenne 38%, draw 26%, MFK Zvolen 37%.

How many goals are expected in FK Humenne vs MFK Zvolen?

The model expects 3.3 goals (FK Humenne 1.66 · MFK Zvolen 1.64), with a 53% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in FK Humenne vs MFK Zvolen?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.