Football · Slovakia 2. Liga · 01/08, 17:00
Prediction: STK Samorin vs FK Humenne
Team pages: STK Samorin · FK Humenne
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.18Total
STK Samorin1.94
FK Humenne1.25
1X2
STK Samorin
Draw
FK Humenne
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 61%
Both teams to score 57%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
STK Samorin
6-4-0 (W-D-L)
FK Humenne
6-1-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
STK Samorin
1–2–3
FK Humenne
(6 last)
- FK Humenne1-1STK Samorin
- STK Samorin1-2FK Humenne
- FK Humenne1-0STK Samorin
- STK Samorin2-2FK Humenne
- FK Humenne3-2STK Samorin
- STK Samorin3-1FK Humenne
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · STK Samorin 1573 · FK Humenne 1539
| STK Samorin | Draw | FK Humenne | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 52% | 24% | 23% |
| Market | 52% | 25% | 23% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.18 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 63%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours FK Humenne: 3-2-1.
- High corners: 11.9 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 6.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| STK Samorin | FK Humenne | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2 / 1.2 | 3.8 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.2 / 0.3 | 1.8 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/50/0% | 40/40/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.7 / 5.9 | 3.5 / 6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.1 / 0.1 | 2.2 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · STK Samorin 1–2–3 FK Humenne
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 09/05/25 Slovakia 2. Liga | FK Humenne | 1-1 HT 0-0 | STK Samorin |
| 27/10/24 Slovakia 2. Liga | STK Samorin | 1-2 HT 1-0 | FK Humenne |
| 23/03/24 Slovakia 2. Liga | FK Humenne | 1-0 HT 0-0 | STK Samorin |
| 03/09/23 Slovakia 2. Liga | STK Samorin | 2-2 HT 1-0 | FK Humenne |
| 01/04/23 Slovakia 2. Liga | FK Humenne | 3-2 HT 2-0 | STK Samorin |
| 02/09/22 Slovakia 2. Liga | STK Samorin | 3-1 HT 1-0 | FK Humenne |
Standings · Slovakia 2. Liga
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FK Tatran Liptovsky Mikulas | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 3 |
| 2 | MSK Povazska Bystrica | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| 3 | FC Petrzalka | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | STK Samorin | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 5 | FC Tatran Presov | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 6 | FC Vion Zlate Moravce | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 7 | FK Pohronie | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 1 |
| 7 | OFK Banik Lehota | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 1 |
| 9 | Slovan Galanta | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 9 | MFK Zvolen | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 11 | FK Humenne | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 | Slovan Bratislava B | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 | Inter Bratislava | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 | MSK Zilina B | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 | OFK Malzenice | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 | MFK Bytca | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
STK Samorin
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/07 | OFK Malzenice Slovakia 2. Liga |
0-0 | 2-0 | 10 | 5 | W |
| 19/07 | Al Gharafa World Club Friendlies |
1-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 10/07 | FC Spartak Trnava Europe Friendlies |
2-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 20/06 | Dunajska Streda Europe Friendlies |
2-0 | 3-2 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 15/05 | MFK Zvolen Slovakia 2. Liga |
1-1 | 3-1 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 08/05 | OFK Malzenice Slovakia 2. Liga |
3-0 | 3-2 | 2 | 10 | W |
| 02/05 | Slovan Bratislava B Slovakia 2. Liga |
1-0 | 1-1 | 9 | 3 | D |
| 25/04 | MSK Povazska Bystrica Slovakia 2. Liga |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 22/04 | FK Tatran Liptovsky Mikulas Slovakia 2. Liga |
1-1 | 1-1 | 12 | 5 | D |
| 17/04 | FC Vion Zlate Moravce Slovakia 2. Liga |
1-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 3 | W |
FK Humenne
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/07 | FC Tatran Presov Slovakia 2. Liga |
0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 11/07 | FC Kosice Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 0 | L |
| 08/07 | Odeva Lipany Club Friendly List |
0-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 0 | W |
| 23/06 | MFK Zemplin Michalovce Club Friendly List |
0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 30/05 | Slovan Sabinov Slovakia 3. Liga |
6-0 | 8-0 | – | – | W |
| 23/05 | MFK Kezmarok Slovakia 3. Liga |
4-0 | 6-0 | – | – | W |
| 16/05 | Spartak Medzev Slovakia 3. Liga |
3-0 | 6-0 | 8 | 5 | W |
| 10/05 | FC Kosice B Slovakia 3. Liga |
1-1 | 5-1 | 10 | 2 | W |
| 02/05 | MSK Spisske Podhradie Slovakia 3. Liga |
3-0 | 6-0 | – | – | W |
| 25/04 | FC Lokomotiva Kosice Slovakia 3. Liga |
1-2 | 3-3 | – | – | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in STK Samorin vs FK Humenne?
According to our model, the most likely result is a STK Samorin win (52%). Probabilities: STK Samorin 52%, draw 25%, FK Humenne 23%.
How many goals are expected in STK Samorin vs FK Humenne?
The model expects 3.18 goals (STK Samorin 1.94 · FK Humenne 1.25), with a 53% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in STK Samorin vs FK Humenne?
The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.