Football · Slovenia 2. SNL · 08/08, 17:30
Prediction: NK Bilje vs NK Brezice
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.69Total
NK Bilje1.51
NK Brezice1.18
1X2
NK Bilje
Draw
NK Brezice
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 52%
Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
NK Bilje
3-1-6 (W-D-L)
NK Brezice
7-1-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
NK Bilje
4–2–0
NK Brezice
(6 last)
- NK Brezice0-2NK Bilje
- NK Bilje2-0NK Brezice
- NK Bilje3-1NK Brezice
- NK Brezice1-3NK Bilje
- NK Bilje0-0NK Brezice
- NK Bilje1-1NK Brezice
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · NK Bilje 1464 · NK Brezice 1540
| NK Bilje | Draw | NK Brezice | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 28% | 29% |
| Market | 45% | 25% | 30% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.69 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 56%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours NK Brezice (rating 1464 vs 1540).
- H2H favours NK Bilje: 4-2-0.
- Cards-heavy: 6.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| NK Bilje | NK Brezice | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.9 / 1.3 | 2.2 / 1.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.7 | 0.8 / 1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/50/40% | 20/40/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2 / 3.4 | 3 / 4.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.2 / 0.1 | 3 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · NK Bilje 4–2–0 NK Brezice
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/05/22 Slovenia 2. SNL | NK Brezice | 0-2 HT 0-1 | NK Bilje |
| 30/10/21 Slovenia 2. SNL | NK Bilje | 2-0 HT 0-0 | NK Brezice |
| 22/05/21 Slovenia 2. SNL | NK Bilje | 3-1 HT 2-1 | NK Brezice |
| 20/03/21 Slovenia 2. SNL | NK Brezice | 1-3 HT 0-1 | NK Bilje |
| 14/09/19 Slovenia 2. SNL | NK Bilje | 0-0 HT 0-0 | NK Brezice |
| 30/03/19 Slovenia 2. SNL | NK Bilje | 1-1 HT 1-1 | NK Brezice |
Standings · Slovenia 2. SNL
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ND Beltinci | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 2 | NK Triglav Kranj | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | NK Krka | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 3 | NK Bistrica | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 5 | ND Ilirija Ljubljana | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | NK Jesenice | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | NK Bilje | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | ND Dravinja | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | ND Slovan Ljubljana | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | NK Brezice | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | Jadran Dekani | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | NK Krsko | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | NK Primorje Ajdovscina | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | Tabor Sezana | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 | NK Vrhnika | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 | NK Rudar Velenje | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
NK Bilje
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/07 | NK Vrhnika Club Friendly List |
0-2 | 0-2 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 22/05 | NK Brinje Grosuplje Slovenia 2. SNL |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 16/05 | ND Beltinci Slovenia 2. SNL |
2-0 | 3-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 09/05 | ND Ilirija Ljubljana Slovenia 2. SNL |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 06/05 | NK Nafta 1903 Slovenia 2. SNL |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 30/04 | NK Bistrica Slovenia 2. SNL |
0-1 | 0-3 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 26/04 | Tabor Sezana Slovenia 2. SNL |
0-1 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 18/04 | Jadran Dekani Slovenia 2. SNL |
2-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 11/04 | NK Jesenice Slovenia 2. SNL |
0-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 04/04 | NK Krsko Slovenia 2. SNL |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 2 | L |
NK Brezice
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 | Karlovac Club Friendly List |
– | 1-4 | – | – | L |
| 09/07 | HNK Gorica Club Friendly List |
1-2 | 1-5 | – | – | L |
| 23/05 | DNS Zavrc Slovenia 3. SNL |
1-0 | 6-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 16/05 | NK Race Slovenia 3. SNL |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 09/05 | NK Podvinci Slovenia 3. SNL |
1-1 | 3-1 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 02/05 | NK Fuzinar Slovenia 3. SNL |
– | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 25/04 | SD Videm Slovenia 3. SNL |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 18/04 | NK Dobrovce Slovenia 3. SNL |
1-2 | 3-2 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 11/04 | NK Rogaska Slovenia 3. SNL |
0-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 28/03 | NK Ljutomer Slovenia 3. SNL |
– | 2-0 | – | – | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in NK Bilje vs NK Brezice?
According to our model, the most likely result is a NK Bilje win (44%). Probabilities: NK Bilje 44%, draw 26%, NK Brezice 29%.
How many goals are expected in NK Bilje vs NK Brezice?
The model expects 2.69 goals (NK Bilje 1.51 · NK Brezice 1.18), with a 52% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in NK Bilje vs NK Brezice?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.