Football · Slovenia 2. SNL · 29/08, 17:00

Prediction: NK Jesenice vs ND Beltinci

Team pages: NK Jesenice · ND Beltinci

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.58Total
NK Jesenice1.22
ND Beltinci2.36
1X2
17% 21% 62%
NK Jesenice Draw ND Beltinci
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 58%
Most likely score
1-2 9%
Recent form · 10 last
NK Jesenice 2-1-7 (W-D-L)
LLLLWLLLDW
ND Beltinci 7-0-3 (W-D-L)
WWWWLLWWLW
Head-to-head
NK Jesenice 0–2 ND Beltinci (2 last)
  • NK Jesenice0-2ND Beltinci
  • ND Beltinci5-1NK Jesenice
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · NK Jesenice 1404 · ND Beltinci 1538
NK JeseniceDrawND Beltinci
Our model18%20%62%
Market17%22%61%
Estimated total (ours) 3.58 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.8

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 73%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours ND Beltinci (rating 1404 vs 1538).
  • H2H favours ND Beltinci: 2-0-0.
  • High corners: 10.9 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 8.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

NK JeseniceND Beltinci
Goals for / against (FT)0.8 / 2.32.1 / 0.9
Goals for / against (HT)0.6 / 10.9 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)40/10/50%50/30/20%
Corners (HT / FT)1.7 / 4.34 / 6.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.8 / 0.14.6 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · NK Jesenice 002 ND Beltinci

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DateHomeScoreAway
18/04/26
Slovenia 2. SNL
NK Jesenice0-2
HT 0-0
ND Beltinci
04/10/25
Slovenia 2. SNL
ND Beltinci5-1
HT 3-0
NK Jesenice

Standings · Slovenia 2. SNL

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Tabor Sezana 3300 1009
2 ND Ilirija Ljubljana 3300 909
3 ND Beltinci 3201 736
4 NK Vrhnika 3201 426
5 NK Bilje 3201 666
5 ND Slovan Ljubljana 3201 666
7 NK Jesenice 3111 344
8 NK Bistrica 3111 474
9 NK Krsko 3111 384
10 Jadran Dekani 3102 333
11 NK Triglav Kranj 2101 113
12 NK Rudar Velenje 3102 343
13 NK Primorje Ajdovscina 3102 263
14 NK Krka 3012 261
15 NK Brezice 2002 240
16 ND Dravinja 3003 160

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentNK JeseniceND Beltinci
Jadran Dekani 2-0 W 2-0 W
Tabor Sezana 0-3 L 2-0 W
NK Rudar Velenje 2-1 W 2-0 W
ND Slovan Ljubljana 0-1 L 1-3 L
Record vs common 2 W 0 D 2 L 3 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: ND Beltinci (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

NK Jesenice

LLLLWLLLDW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
21/08 Jadran Dekani
Slovenia 2. SNL
1-0 2-0 14 W
14/08 NK Krsko
Slovenia 2. SNL
1-0 1-1 55 D
08/08 Tabor Sezana
Slovenia 2. SNL
0-2 0-3 63 L
23/05 ND Dravinja
Slovenia 2. SNL
0-1 0-1 L
15/05 NK Krka
Slovenia 2. SNL
2-1 2-3 53 L
10/05 NK Rudar Velenje
Slovenia 2. SNL
1-0 2-1 W
07/05 ND Slovan Ljubljana
Slovenia 2. SNL
0-1 0-1 67 L
30/04 NK Triglav Kranj
Slovenia 2. SNL
0-1 0-3 33 L
26/04 NK Brinje Grosuplje
Slovenia 2. SNL
1-4 1-8 12 L
18/04 ND Beltinci
Slovenia 2. SNL
0-0 0-2 74 L

ND Beltinci

WWWWLLWWLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
23/08 NK Primorje Ajdovscina
Slovenia 2. SNL
3-0 4-0 55 W
15/08 ND Slovan Ljubljana
Slovenia 2. SNL
0-3 1-3 77 L
07/08 NK Rudar Velenje
Slovenia 2. SNL
1-0 2-0 73 W
22/05 ND Ilirija Ljubljana
Slovenia 2. SNL
3-1 3-1 64 W
16/05 NK Bilje
Slovenia 2. SNL
0-2 1-3 54 L
10/05 NK Nafta 1903
Slovenia 2. SNL
0-0 1-2 64 L
06/05 NK Bistrica
Slovenia 2. SNL
1-0 3-0 84 W
02/05 Tabor Sezana
Slovenia 2. SNL
0-0 2-0 W
25/04 Jadran Dekani
Slovenia 2. SNL
1-0 2-0 86 W
18/04 NK Jesenice
Slovenia 2. SNL
0-0 2-0 84 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in NK Jesenice vs ND Beltinci?

According to our model, the most likely result is an ND Beltinci win (62%). Probabilities: NK Jesenice 17%, draw 21%, ND Beltinci 62%.

How many goals are expected in NK Jesenice vs ND Beltinci?

The model expects 3.58 goals (NK Jesenice 1.22 · ND Beltinci 2.36), with a 57% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in NK Jesenice vs ND Beltinci?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.