Football · Slovenia 2. SNL · 04/09, 17:00
Prediction: Jadran Dekani vs Tabor Sezana
Team pages: Jadran Dekani · Tabor Sezana
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.72Total
Jadran Dekani0.92
Tabor Sezana1.79
1X2
Jadran Dekani
Draw
Tabor Sezana
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 51%
Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1 12%
Recent form · 10 last
Jadran Dekani
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
Tabor Sezana
5-0-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Jadran Dekani
1–5
Tabor Sezana
(6 last)
- Tabor Sezana2-0Jadran Dekani
- Jadran Dekani0-3Tabor Sezana
- Tabor Sezana3-1Jadran Dekani
- Jadran Dekani3-1Tabor Sezana
- Jadran Dekani0-1Tabor Sezana
- Jadran Dekani1-4Tabor Sezana
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Jadran Dekani 1442 · Tabor Sezana 1589
| Jadran Dekani | Draw | Tabor Sezana | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 18% | 25% | 57% |
| Market | 18% | 25% | 57% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.72 goals · Bet365 line 2.75
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 60%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Tabor Sezana (rating 1442 vs 1589).
- H2H favours Tabor Sezana: 5-0-1.
- Cards-heavy: 9.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Jadran Dekani | Tabor Sezana | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 1.4 | 1.6 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 1 | 1 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/20/60% | 50/30/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2 / 5.2 | 2 / 4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5 / 0 | 4.6 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Jadran Dekani 1–0–5 Tabor Sezana
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28/03/26 Slovenia 2. SNL | Tabor Sezana | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Jadran Dekani |
| 13/09/25 Slovenia 2. SNL | Jadran Dekani | 0-3 HT 0-1 | Tabor Sezana |
| 23/11/24 Slovenia 2. SNL | Tabor Sezana | 3-1 HT 2-0 | Jadran Dekani |
| 10/08/24 Slovenia 2. SNL | Jadran Dekani | 3-1 HT 2-1 | Tabor Sezana |
| 29/03/24 Slovenia 2. SNL | Jadran Dekani | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Tabor Sezana |
| 04/10/23 Slovenia Cup | Jadran Dekani | 1-4 HT 1-3 | Tabor Sezana |
Standings · Slovenia 2. SNL
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tabor Sezana | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 0 | 12 |
| 2 | ND Ilirija Ljubljana | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 2 | 9 |
| 3 | ND Slovan Ljubljana | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 9 |
| 4 | NK Jesenice | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 7 |
| 5 | NK Bistrica | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 7 | 7 |
| 6 | NK Triglav Kranj | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 6 |
| 7 | ND Beltinci | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 6 | 6 |
| 8 | NK Rudar Velenje | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 5 | 6 |
| 9 | NK Vrhnika | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 6 |
| 10 | NK Bilje | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 10 | 6 |
| 11 | NK Primorje Ajdovscina | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 6 |
| 12 | NK Krsko | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 5 |
| 13 | Jadran Dekani | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 4 |
| 14 | NK Krka | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 1 |
| 15 | NK Brezice | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 | ND Dravinja | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 0 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Jadran Dekani | Tabor Sezana |
|---|---|---|
| NK Krsko | 0-0 D | 6-0 W |
| NK Jesenice | 0-2 L | 3-0 W |
| ND Slovan Ljubljana | 3-0 W | 1-5 L |
| NK Rudar Velenje | 2-2 D | 2-0 W |
| NK Triglav Kranj | 0-2 L | 1-0 W |
| NK Brinje Grosuplje | 1-1 D | 1-2 L |
| ND Beltinci | 0-2 L | 0-2 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 3 D 3 L | 4 W 0 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Tabor Sezana (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Jadran Dekani
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/08 | NK Krsko Slovenia 2. SNL |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 21/08 | NK Jesenice Slovenia 2. SNL |
0-1 | 0-2 | 11 | 4 | L |
| 15/08 | NK Primorje Ajdovscina Slovenia 2. SNL |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 7 | L |
| 08/08 | ND Slovan Ljubljana Slovenia 2. SNL |
2-0 | 3-0 | 7 | 7 | W |
| 23/05 | NK Krka Slovenia 2. SNL |
1-3 | 4-3 | – | – | W |
| 15/05 | NK Rudar Velenje Slovenia 2. SNL |
1-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 6 | D |
| 10/05 | ND Slovan Ljubljana Slovenia 2. SNL |
4-1 | 5-1 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 06/05 | NK Triglav Kranj Slovenia 2. SNL |
0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 29/04 | NK Brinje Grosuplje Slovenia 2. SNL |
0-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 3 | D |
| 25/04 | ND Beltinci Slovenia 2. SNL |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 6 | L |
Tabor Sezana
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/08 | NK Brezice Slovenia 2. SNL |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 23/08 | NK Krsko Slovenia 2. SNL |
5-0 | 6-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 14/08 | NK Triglav Kranj Slovenia 2. SNL |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 6 | W |
| 08/08 | NK Jesenice Slovenia 2. SNL |
2-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 23/05 | NK Rudar Velenje Slovenia 2. SNL |
1-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 17/05 | ND Slovan Ljubljana Slovenia 2. SNL |
0-1 | 1-5 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 10/05 | NK Triglav Kranj Slovenia 2. SNL |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 06/05 | NK Brinje Grosuplje Slovenia 2. SNL |
0-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 02/05 | ND Beltinci Slovenia 2. SNL |
0-0 | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 26/04 | NK Bilje Slovenia 2. SNL |
1-0 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Jadran Dekani vs Tabor Sezana?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Tabor Sezana win (57%). Probabilities: Jadran Dekani 18%, draw 25%, Tabor Sezana 57%.
How many goals are expected in Jadran Dekani vs Tabor Sezana?
The model expects 2.72 goals (Jadran Dekani 0.92 · Tabor Sezana 1.79), with a 54% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Jadran Dekani vs Tabor Sezana?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.