Football · Slovenia 2. SNL · 05/09, 17:00

Prediction: ND Beltinci vs NK Krsko

Team pages: ND Beltinci · NK Krsko

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.45Total

ND Beltinci2.49

NK Krsko0.96

1X2

70% 18% 12%

ND Beltinci Draw NK Krsko

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

2-0 10%

Recent form · 10 last

ND Beltinci 6-0-4 (W-D-L)

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NK Krsko 2-3-5 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

ND Beltinci 3–1–2 NK Krsko (6 last)

ND Beltinci1-1NK Krsko
NK Krsko0-3ND Beltinci
ND Beltinci2-1NK Krsko
NK Krsko3-2ND Beltinci
ND Beltinci0-1NK Krsko
NK Krsko0-3ND Beltinci

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · ND Beltinci 1523 · NK Krsko 1475

	ND Beltinci	Draw	NK Krsko
Our model	70%	18%	12%
Market	70%	18%	12%

Estimated total (ours) 3.45 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 68%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours ND Beltinci (rating 1523 vs 1475).
H2H favours ND Beltinci: 3-1-2.
High corners: 11.1 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 8.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	ND Beltinci	NK Krsko
Goals for / against (FT)	2 / 1.2	0.7 / 2.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 0.6	0.3 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/30/20%	20/20/60%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.5 / 6.2	2 / 4.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.7 / 0.1	3.6 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.27

X5.00

27.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.75)1.95

2 (+1.75)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.90

Under 3.251.90

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 3.05

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 14:10

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.25 → 1.27▲	Bet365 1.27
X	5.00 → 5.00	Bet365 5.00
2	8.00 → 7.50▼	Bet365 7.50

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 12.1%

Time*	1	X	2
11:50 +19’	1.25	5.00	8.00
13:54 +16’	1.27▲	5.00	7.50▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · ND Beltinci 3–1–2 NK Krsko

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Date	Home	Score	Away
10/04/26 Slovenia 2. SNL	ND Beltinci	1-1 HT 0-1	NK Krsko
27/09/25 Slovenia 2. SNL	NK Krsko	0-3 HT 0-1	ND Beltinci
25/03/23 Slovenia 2. SNL	ND Beltinci	2-1 HT 1-1	NK Krsko
10/09/22 Slovenia 2. SNL	NK Krsko	3-2 HT 2-2	ND Beltinci
04/05/22 Slovenia 2. SNL	ND Beltinci	0-1 HT 0-0	NK Krsko
16/10/21 Slovenia 2. SNL	NK Krsko	0-3 HT 0-2	ND Beltinci

Standings · Slovenia 2. SNL

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Tabor Sezana	4	4	0	0	11	0	12
2	ND Ilirija Ljubljana	4	3	0	1	10	2	9
3	ND Slovan Ljubljana	4	3	0	1	8	7	9
4	NK Jesenice	4	2	1	1	6	5	7
5	NK Bistrica	4	2	1	1	6	7	7
6	NK Triglav Kranj	3	2	0	1	5	2	6
7	ND Beltinci	4	2	0	2	8	6	6
8	NK Rudar Velenje	4	2	0	2	7	5	6
9	NK Vrhnika	4	2	0	2	4	4	6
10	NK Bilje	4	2	0	2	7	10	6
11	NK Primorje Ajdovscina	4	2	0	2	5	8	6
12	NK Krsko	4	1	2	1	3	8	5
13	Jadran Dekani	4	1	1	2	3	3	4
14	NK Krka	4	0	1	3	4	9	1
15	NK Brezice	3	0	0	3	2	5	0
16	ND Dravinja	4	0	0	4	2	10	0

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	ND Beltinci	NK Krsko
NK Jesenice	1-3 L	1-1 D
NK Primorje Ajdovscina	4-0 W	2-1 W
ND Slovan Ljubljana	1-3 L	1-1 D
NK Rudar Velenje	2-0 W	0-3 L
Tabor Sezana	2-0 W	0-6 L
Jadran Dekani	2-0 W	0-0 D
Record vs common	4 W 0 D 2 L	1 W 3 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: ND Beltinci (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

ND Beltinci

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
29/08	NK Jesenice Slovenia 2. SNL	0-0	1-3	4	6	L
23/08	NK Primorje Ajdovscina Slovenia 2. SNL	3-0	4-0	5	5	W
15/08	ND Slovan Ljubljana Slovenia 2. SNL	0-3	1-3	7	7	L
07/08	NK Rudar Velenje Slovenia 2. SNL	1-0	2-0	7	3	W
22/05	ND Ilirija Ljubljana Slovenia 2. SNL	3-1	3-1	6	4	W
16/05	NK Bilje Slovenia 2. SNL	0-2	1-3	5	4	L
10/05	NK Nafta 1903 Slovenia 2. SNL	0-0	1-2	6	4	L
06/05	NK Bistrica Slovenia 2. SNL	1-0	3-0	8	4	W
02/05	Tabor Sezana Slovenia 2. SNL	0-0	2-0	–	–	W
25/04	Jadran Dekani Slovenia 2. SNL	1-0	2-0	8	6	W

NK Krsko

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
29/08	Jadran Dekani Slovenia 2. SNL	0-0	0-0	5	4	D
23/08	Tabor Sezana Slovenia 2. SNL	0-5	0-6	1	4	L
14/08	NK Jesenice Slovenia 2. SNL	0-1	1-1	3	5	D
08/08	NK Primorje Ajdovscina Slovenia 2. SNL	2-0	2-1	5	3	W
23/05	ND Gorica Slovenia 2. SNL	1-0	2-0	2	4	W
16/05	ND Dravinja Slovenia 2. SNL	0-1	1-2	5	5	L
10/05	NK Krka Slovenia 2. SNL	0-1	0-4	10	3	L
07/05	NK Rudar Velenje Slovenia 2. SNL	0-1	0-3	9	2	L
30/04	ND Slovan Ljubljana Slovenia 2. SNL	0-0	1-1	4	6	D
24/04	NK Triglav Kranj Slovenia 2. SNL	0-1	0-4	5	0	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in ND Beltinci vs NK Krsko?

According to our model, the most likely result is a ND Beltinci win (70%). Probabilities: ND Beltinci 70%, draw 18%, NK Krsko 12%.

How many goals are expected in ND Beltinci vs NK Krsko?

The model expects 3.45 goals (ND Beltinci 2.49 · NK Krsko 0.96), with a 51% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in ND Beltinci vs NK Krsko?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.