Football · Slovenia 2. SNL · 08/08, 18:00

Prediction: Jadran Dekani vs ND Slovan Ljubljana

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.78Total

Jadran Dekani1.55

ND Slovan Ljubljana1.23

1X2

44% 27% 29%

Jadran Dekani Draw ND Slovan Ljubljana

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Jadran Dekani 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

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ND Slovan Ljubljana 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Jadran Dekani 3–1 ND Slovan Ljubljana (4 last)

Jadran Dekani5-1ND Slovan Ljubljana
ND Slovan Ljubljana1-0Jadran Dekani
ND Slovan Ljubljana0-1Jadran Dekani
Jadran Dekani2-1ND Slovan Ljubljana

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Jadran Dekani 1463 · ND Slovan Ljubljana 1472

	Jadran Dekani	Draw	ND Slovan Ljubljana
Our model	44%	27%	29%
Market	44%	28%	29%

Estimated total (ours) 2.78 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 56%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Jadran Dekani: 3-0-1.
Cards-heavy: 9.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Jadran Dekani	ND Slovan Ljubljana
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 1.8	1.3 / 2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 1.2	0.5 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/30/60%	30/30/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 3.7	2.4 / 4.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.7 / 0	5.8 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

12.05

X3.25

23.10

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.85

2 (+0.25)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.77

Under 2.252.02

Diff.: 0.95 · xG: 3.2

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 12:52

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.05 → 2.05	Bet365 2.05
X	3.25 → 3.25	Pinn 3.37
2	3.10 → 3.10	Pinn 3.57 ★

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.8% Pinnacle margin 12.7%

Time*	1	X	2
12:44 +8’	2.05	3.25	3.10

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
08:52 +1’	1.79	3.41	3.67
12:47 +6’	1.82▲	3.37▼	3.57▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Jadran Dekani 3–0–1 ND Slovan Ljubljana

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Date	Home	Score	Away
10/05/26 Slovenia 2. SNL	Jadran Dekani	5-1 HT 4-1	ND Slovan Ljubljana
30/10/25 Slovenia 2. SNL	ND Slovan Ljubljana	1-0 HT 0-0	Jadran Dekani
22/03/25 Slovenia 2. SNL	ND Slovan Ljubljana	0-1 HT 0-1	Jadran Dekani
07/09/24 Slovenia 2. SNL	Jadran Dekani	2-1 HT 2-1	ND Slovan Ljubljana

Standings · Slovenia 2. SNL

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	ND Beltinci	1	1	0	0	2	0	3
2	NK Triglav Kranj	1	1	0	0	1	0	3
3	NK Krka	1	0	1	0	0	0	1
3	NK Bistrica	1	0	1	0	0	0	1
5	ND Ilirija Ljubljana	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
5	NK Jesenice	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
5	NK Bilje	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
5	ND Dravinja	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
5	ND Slovan Ljubljana	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
5	NK Brezice	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
5	Jadran Dekani	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
5	NK Krsko	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
5	NK Primorje Ajdovscina	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
5	Tabor Sezana	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
15	NK Vrhnika	1	0	0	1	0	1	0
16	NK Rudar Velenje	1	0	0	1	0	2	0

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Jadran Dekani	ND Slovan Ljubljana
NK Krka	4-3 W	2-2 D
NK Rudar Velenje	2-2 D	0-4 L
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 0 L	0 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Jadran Dekani (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Jadran Dekani

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/07	NK Uljanik Club Friendly List	0-0	1-0	6	5	W
16/07	HNK Rijeka Club Friendly List	0-1	0-2	1	3	L
08/07	FC Bihor Oradea Europe Friendlies	0-0	0-1	6	2	L
02/07	FC Arges Pitesti Europe Friendlies	0-3	0-4	2	0	L
23/05	NK Krka Slovenia 2. SNL	1-3	4-3	–	–	W
15/05	NK Rudar Velenje Slovenia 2. SNL	1-1	2-2	4	6	D
10/05	ND Slovan Ljubljana Slovenia 2. SNL	4-1	5-1	7	4	W
06/05	NK Triglav Kranj Slovenia 2. SNL	0-1	0-2	2	4	L
29/04	NK Brinje Grosuplje Slovenia 2. SNL	0-1	1-1	1	3	D
25/04	ND Beltinci Slovenia 2. SNL	0-1	0-2	4	6	L

ND Slovan Ljubljana

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
23/05	NK Bistrica Slovenia 2. SNL	0-0	0-1	5	6	L
17/05	Tabor Sezana Slovenia 2. SNL	1-0	5-1	3	6	W
10/05	Jadran Dekani Slovenia 2. SNL	1-4	1-5	3	4	L
07/05	NK Jesenice Slovenia 2. SNL	1-0	1-0	2	7	W
30/04	NK Krsko Slovenia 2. SNL	0-0	1-1	5	6	D
25/04	ND Gorica Slovenia 2. SNL	0-2	0-3	6	4	L
19/04	ND Dravinja Slovenia 2. SNL	0-1	1-2	3	8	L
12/04	NK Krka Slovenia 2. SNL	0-1	2-2	10	10	D
08/04	ND Ilirija Ljubljana Slovenia 2. SNL	2-0	2-1	3	3	W
03/04	NK Rudar Velenje Slovenia 2. SNL	0-0	0-4	6	6	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Jadran Dekani vs ND Slovan Ljubljana?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Jadran Dekani win (44%). Probabilities: Jadran Dekani 44%, draw 27%, ND Slovan Ljubljana 29%.

How many goals are expected in Jadran Dekani vs ND Slovan Ljubljana?

The model expects 2.78 goals (Jadran Dekani 1.55 · ND Slovan Ljubljana 1.23), with a 57% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Jadran Dekani vs ND Slovan Ljubljana?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.