Football · Israel Leumit Liga · 16/10, 15:00
Prediction: Hapoel Afula vs Maccabi Herzliya
Team pages: Hapoel Afula · Maccabi Herzliya
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.69Total
Hapoel Afula1.42
Maccabi Herzliya1.27
1X2
Hapoel Afula
Draw
Maccabi Herzliya
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 50%
Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Hapoel Afula
6-2-2 (W-D-L)
Maccabi Herzliya
2-3-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Hapoel Afula
1–2–3
Maccabi Herzliya
(6 last)
- Hapoel Afula1-1Maccabi Herzliya
- Hapoel Afula1-0Maccabi Herzliya
- Maccabi Herzliya1-0Hapoel Afula
- Maccabi Herzliya4-0Hapoel Afula
- Hapoel Afula2-3Maccabi Herzliya
- Maccabi Herzliya2-2Hapoel Afula
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Hapoel Afula 1537 · Maccabi Herzliya 1439
| Hapoel Afula | Draw | Maccabi Herzliya | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 39% | 28% | 33% |
| Market | 40% | 27% | 33% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.69 goals · Bet365 line 2.75
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 56%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Hapoel Afula (rating 1537 vs 1439).
- H2H favours Maccabi Herzliya: 3-2-1.
- Cards-heavy: 12.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Hapoel Afula | Maccabi Herzliya | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2 / 1.3 | 1 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.3 / 0.4 | 0.5 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 70/20/10% | 20/40/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.2 / 2.9 | 1.3 / 3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 6.4 / 0.3 | 6.2 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Hapoel Afula 1–2–3 Maccabi Herzliya
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06/08/26 Israel League Cup | Hapoel Afula | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Maccabi Herzliya |
| 19/12/25 Israel Leumit Liga | Hapoel Afula | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Maccabi Herzliya |
| 25/08/25 Israel Leumit Liga | Maccabi Herzliya | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Hapoel Afula |
| 07/08/25 Israel League Cup | Maccabi Herzliya | 4-0 HT 2-0 | Hapoel Afula |
| 03/01/25 Israel Leumit Liga | Hapoel Afula | 2-3 HT 1-2 | Maccabi Herzliya |
| 02/09/24 Israel Leumit Liga | Maccabi Herzliya | 2-2 HT 2-1 | Hapoel Afula |
Standings · Israel Leumit Liga
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | MS Ashdod | 9 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 8 | 24 |
| 2 | Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv | 9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 20 | 7 | 23 |
| 3 | Hapoel Rishon Lezion | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 18 | 9 | 20 |
| 4 | Hapoel Afula | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 18 | 13 | 17 |
| 5 | Hapoel Kfar Shalem | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 19 | 18 | 17 |
| 6 | SC Kiryat Yam | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 25 | 15 | 16 |
| 7 | Hapoel Raanana | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 13 | 15 |
| 8 | SC Kfar Qasim | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 9 | 13 |
| 9 | Maccabi Bnei Raina | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 13 | 13 |
| 10 | Maccabi Achi Nazareth | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 10 | 13 | 10 |
| 11 | Maccabi Kiryat Gat | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 11 | 9 |
| 12 | Ironi Modiin | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 17 | 8 |
| 13 | Maccabi Herzliya | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 13 | 8 |
| 14 | Hapoel Kfar Saba | 9 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 11 | 24 | 6 |
| 15 | Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa | 9 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 7 | 20 | 6 |
| 16 | Hapoel Akko | 9 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 23 | 1 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Hapoel Afula | Maccabi Herzliya |
|---|---|---|
| Ironi Modiin | 2-1 W | 2-0 W |
| Hapoel Raanana | 3-2 W | 2-3 L |
| Maccabi Achi Nazareth | 1-0 W | 1-2 L |
| MS Ashdod | 2-0 W | 0-1 L |
| SC Kfar Qasim | 2-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 5 W 0 D 0 L | 2 W 0 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Hapoel Afula (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Hapoel Afula
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/10 | Ironi Modiin Israel Leumit Liga |
1-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 11 | W |
| 01/10 | Hapoel Rishon Lezion Israel Leumit Liga |
1-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 4 | D |
| 24/09 | Hapoel Akko Israel Leumit Liga |
1-0 | 3-0 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 17/09 | Hapoel Kfar Shalem Israel Leumit Liga |
1-2 | 3-3 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 10/09 | Maccabi Bnei Raina Israel Leumit Liga |
2-1 | 2-4 | 5 | 8 | L |
| 06/09 | Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa Israel Leumit Liga |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 7 | L |
| 31/08 | Hapoel Raanana Israel Leumit Liga |
3-0 | 3-2 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 24/08 | Maccabi Achi Nazareth Israel Leumit Liga |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 7 | W |
| 18/08 | MS Ashdod Israel Leumit Liga |
1-0 | 2-0 | 0 | 6 | W |
| 25/05 | SC Kfar Qasim Israel Leumit Liga |
2-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
Maccabi Herzliya
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/10 | Maccabi Achi Nazareth Israel Leumit Liga |
0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 7 | L |
| 01/10 | MS Ashdod Israel Leumit Liga |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 24/09 | SC Kiryat Yam Israel Leumit Liga |
1-1 | 1-3 | 2 | 8 | L |
| 17/09 | Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv Israel Leumit Liga |
0-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 6 | D |
| 14/09 | SC Kfar Qasim Israel Leumit Liga |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 07/09 | Maccabi Kiryat Gat Israel Leumit Liga |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 30/08 | Hapoel Kfar Saba Israel Leumit Liga |
0-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 23/08 | Hapoel Raanana Israel Leumit Liga |
2-2 | 2-3 | 3 | 9 | L |
| 18/08 | Ironi Modiin Israel Leumit Liga |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 7 | W |
| 25/05 | Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv Israel Leumit Liga |
0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 10 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Hapoel Afula vs Maccabi Herzliya?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Hapoel Afula win (39%). Probabilities: Hapoel Afula 39%, draw 28%, Maccabi Herzliya 33%.
How many goals are expected in Hapoel Afula vs Maccabi Herzliya?
The model expects 2.69 goals (Hapoel Afula 1.42 · Maccabi Herzliya 1.27), with a 52% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Hapoel Afula vs Maccabi Herzliya?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.