Football · Israel Leumit Liga · 23/10, 15:00
Prediction: Maccabi Herzliya vs Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa
Team pages: Maccabi Herzliya · Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.71Total
Maccabi Herzliya1.7
Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa1.01
1X2
Maccabi Herzliya
Draw
Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 51%
Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Maccabi Herzliya
2-3-5 (W-D-L)
Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa
2-0-8 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Maccabi Herzliya
3–2–1
Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa
(6 last)
- Maccabi Herzliya3-1Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa
- Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa0-1Maccabi Herzliya
- Maccabi Herzliya1-1Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa
- Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa1-1Maccabi Herzliya
- Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa2-3Maccabi Herzliya
- Maccabi Herzliya0-3Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Maccabi Herzliya 1480 · Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa 1411
| Maccabi Herzliya | Draw | Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 52% | 26% | 21% |
| Market | 53% | 25% | 22% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.71 goals · Bet365 line 2.75
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 54%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Maccabi Herzliya (rating 1480 vs 1411).
- H2H favours Maccabi Herzliya: 3-2-1.
- Cards-heavy: 11.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Maccabi Herzliya | Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.9 / 1.3 | 0.7 / 2.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.7 | 0.2 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/40/40% | 0/40/60% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.2 / 2.9 | 1.4 / 3.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.7 / 0.2 | 6.2 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Maccabi Herzliya 3–2–1 Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/04/26 Israel Leumit Liga | Maccabi Herzliya | 3-1 HT 2-0 | Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa |
| 01/12/25 Israel Leumit Liga | Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Maccabi Herzliya |
| 20/12/24 Israel Leumit Liga | Maccabi Herzliya | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa |
| 22/08/24 Israel Leumit Liga | Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Maccabi Herzliya |
| 19/04/24 Israel Leumit Liga | Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa | 2-3 HT 1-0 | Maccabi Herzliya |
| 11/03/24 Israel Leumit Liga | Maccabi Herzliya | 0-3 HT 0-2 | Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa |
Standings · Israel Leumit Liga
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | MS Ashdod | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 22 | 8 | 25 |
| 2 | Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv | 10 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 21 | 8 | 24 |
| 3 | Hapoel Rishon Lezion | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 19 | 10 | 21 |
| 4 | Hapoel Kfar Shalem | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 23 | 18 | 20 |
| 5 | SC Kiryat Yam | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 27 | 16 | 19 |
| 6 | Hapoel Afula | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 18 | 13 | 18 |
| 7 | Hapoel Raanana | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 21 | 14 | 16 |
| 8 | Maccabi Bnei Raina | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 14 | 14 | 14 |
| 9 | SC Kfar Qasim | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 13 | 11 | 13 |
| 10 | Ironi Modiin | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 15 | 17 | 11 |
| 11 | Maccabi Kiryat Gat | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 11 | 10 |
| 12 | Maccabi Achi Nazareth | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 10 | 17 | 10 |
| 13 | Maccabi Herzliya | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 13 | 9 |
| 14 | Hapoel Kfar Saba | 10 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 15 | 24 | 9 |
| 15 | Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa | 10 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 7 | 22 | 6 |
| 16 | Hapoel Akko | 10 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 0 | 27 | 1 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Maccabi Herzliya | Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa |
|---|---|---|
| Hapoel Afula | 0-0 D | 1-0 W |
| Maccabi Achi Nazareth | 1-2 L | 1-2 L |
| MS Ashdod | 0-1 L | 0-1 L |
| SC Kiryat Yam | 1-3 L | 2-6 L |
| Hapoel Raanana | 2-3 L | 1-3 L |
| Ironi Modiin | 2-0 W | 0-2 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 4 L | 1 W 0 D 5 L |
Better against common opponents: Maccabi Herzliya (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Maccabi Herzliya
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/10 | Hapoel Afula Israel Leumit Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 5 | D |
| 09/10 | Maccabi Achi Nazareth Israel Leumit Liga |
0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 7 | L |
| 01/10 | MS Ashdod Israel Leumit Liga |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 24/09 | SC Kiryat Yam Israel Leumit Liga |
1-1 | 1-3 | 2 | 8 | L |
| 17/09 | Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv Israel Leumit Liga |
0-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 6 | D |
| 14/09 | SC Kfar Qasim Israel Leumit Liga |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 07/09 | Maccabi Kiryat Gat Israel Leumit Liga |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 30/08 | Hapoel Kfar Saba Israel Leumit Liga |
0-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 23/08 | Hapoel Raanana Israel Leumit Liga |
2-2 | 2-3 | 3 | 9 | L |
| 18/08 | Ironi Modiin Israel Leumit Liga |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 7 | W |
Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/10 | Ironi Modiin Israel Leumit Liga |
0-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 12/10 | Hapoel Rishon Lezion Israel Leumit Liga |
0-1 | 0-3 | 1 | 9 | L |
| 01/10 | Hapoel Akko Israel Leumit Liga |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 10 | W |
| 28/09 | Hapoel Kfar Shalem Israel Leumit Liga |
0-1 | 1-3 | 2 | 9 | L |
| 17/09 | Maccabi Bnei Raina Israel Leumit Liga |
0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 10/09 | Hapoel Raanana Israel Leumit Liga |
0-1 | 1-3 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 06/09 | Hapoel Afula Israel Leumit Liga |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 7 | W |
| 30/08 | Maccabi Achi Nazareth Israel Leumit Liga |
1-2 | 1-2 | 7 | 7 | L |
| 24/08 | MS Ashdod Israel Leumit Liga |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 18/08 | SC Kiryat Yam Israel Leumit Liga |
1-3 | 2-6 | 5 | 7 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Maccabi Herzliya vs Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Maccabi Herzliya win (53%). Probabilities: Maccabi Herzliya 53%, draw 26%, Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa 22%.
How many goals are expected in Maccabi Herzliya vs Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa?
The model expects 2.71 goals (Maccabi Herzliya 1.7 · Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa 1.01), with a 53% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Maccabi Herzliya vs Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.