Football · Israel Leumit Liga · 23/10, 15:00
Prediction: Hapoel Rishon Lezion vs Hapoel Kfar Shalem
Team pages: Hapoel Rishon Lezion · Hapoel Kfar Shalem
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.86Total
Hapoel Rishon Lezion2.11
Hapoel Kfar Shalem1.75
1X2
Hapoel Rishon Lezion
Draw
Hapoel Kfar Shalem
Markets
Over 3.5 goals 54%
Both teams to score 61%
Most likely score
1-1 9%
Recent form · 10 last
Hapoel Rishon Lezion
6-3-1 (W-D-L)
Hapoel Kfar Shalem
6-2-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Hapoel Rishon Lezion
2–1–3
Hapoel Kfar Shalem
(6 last)
- Hapoel Rishon Lezion2-6Hapoel Kfar Shalem
- Hapoel Kfar Shalem2-3Hapoel Rishon Lezion
- Hapoel Rishon Lezion0-1Hapoel Kfar Shalem
- Hapoel Kfar Shalem0-2Hapoel Rishon Lezion
- Hapoel Rishon Lezion1-1Hapoel Kfar Shalem
- Hapoel Kfar Shalem2-1Hapoel Rishon Lezion
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Hapoel Rishon Lezion 1554 · Hapoel Kfar Shalem 1547
| Hapoel Rishon Lezion | Draw | Hapoel Kfar Shalem | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 22% | 32% |
| Market | 45% | 25% | 31% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.86 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.6
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 69%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Hapoel Kfar Shalem: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 10.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Hapoel Rishon Lezion | Hapoel Kfar Shalem | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.9 / 1 | 2.3 / 1.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.9 / 0.3 | 1.1 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/60/0% | 70/20/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3 / 5.4 | 2.7 / 3.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.3 / 0.6 | 5.3 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Hapoel Rishon Lezion 2–1–3 Hapoel Kfar Shalem
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25/05/26 Israel Leumit Liga | Hapoel Rishon Lezion | 2-6 HT 1-2 | Hapoel Kfar Shalem |
| 13/02/26 Israel Leumit Liga | Hapoel Kfar Shalem | 2-3 HT 1-1 | Hapoel Rishon Lezion |
| 12/10/25 Israel Leumit Liga | Hapoel Rishon Lezion | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Hapoel Kfar Shalem |
| 18/07/25 Europe Friendlies | Hapoel Kfar Shalem | 0-2 HT 0-0 | Hapoel Rishon Lezion |
| 16/05/25 Israel Leumit Liga | Hapoel Rishon Lezion | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Hapoel Kfar Shalem |
| 24/03/25 Israel Leumit Liga | Hapoel Kfar Shalem | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Hapoel Rishon Lezion |
Standings · Israel Leumit Liga
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | MS Ashdod | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 22 | 8 | 25 |
| 2 | Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv | 10 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 21 | 8 | 24 |
| 3 | Hapoel Rishon Lezion | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 19 | 10 | 21 |
| 4 | Hapoel Kfar Shalem | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 23 | 18 | 20 |
| 5 | SC Kiryat Yam | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 27 | 16 | 19 |
| 6 | Hapoel Afula | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 18 | 13 | 18 |
| 7 | Hapoel Raanana | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 21 | 14 | 16 |
| 8 | Maccabi Bnei Raina | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 14 | 14 | 14 |
| 9 | SC Kfar Qasim | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 13 | 11 | 13 |
| 10 | Ironi Modiin | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 15 | 17 | 11 |
| 11 | Maccabi Kiryat Gat | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 11 | 10 |
| 12 | Maccabi Achi Nazareth | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 10 | 17 | 10 |
| 13 | Maccabi Herzliya | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 13 | 9 |
| 14 | Hapoel Kfar Saba | 10 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 15 | 24 | 9 |
| 15 | Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa | 10 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 7 | 22 | 6 |
| 16 | Hapoel Akko | 10 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 0 | 27 | 1 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Hapoel Rishon Lezion | Hapoel Kfar Shalem |
|---|---|---|
| Maccabi Bnei Raina | 1-1 D | 2-1 W |
| Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa | 3-0 W | 3-1 W |
| Hapoel Afula | 2-2 D | 3-3 D |
| Maccabi Achi Nazareth | 1-0 W | 3-3 D |
| MS Ashdod | 2-3 L | 0-4 L |
| SC Kiryat Yam | 4-2 W | 3-2 W |
| Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv | 0-0 D | 1-3 L |
| SC Kfar Qasim | 2-1 W | 2-0 W |
| Record vs common | 4 W 3 D 1 L | 4 W 2 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Hapoel Rishon Lezion (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Hapoel Rishon Lezion
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/10 | Maccabi Bnei Raina Israel Leumit Liga |
1-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 7 | D |
| 12/10 | Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa Israel Leumit Liga |
1-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 9 | W |
| 01/10 | Hapoel Afula Israel Leumit Liga |
1-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 24/09 | Maccabi Achi Nazareth Israel Leumit Liga |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 17/09 | MS Ashdod Israel Leumit Liga |
1-1 | 2-3 | 7 | 8 | L |
| 10/09 | SC Kiryat Yam Israel Leumit Liga |
2-0 | 4-2 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 07/09 | Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv Israel Leumit Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 9 | D |
| 30/08 | SC Kfar Qasim Israel Leumit Liga |
2-0 | 2-1 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 24/08 | Maccabi Kiryat Gat Israel Leumit Liga |
1-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 18/08 | Hapoel Kfar Saba Israel Leumit Liga |
0-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 3 | W |
Hapoel Kfar Shalem
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/10 | Hapoel Akko Israel Leumit Liga |
1-0 | 4-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 12/10 | Hapoel Raanana Israel Leumit Liga |
1-0 | 2-1 | 7 | 8 | W |
| 01/10 | Maccabi Bnei Raina Israel Leumit Liga |
1-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 28/09 | Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa Israel Leumit Liga |
1-0 | 3-1 | 4 | 9 | W |
| 17/09 | Hapoel Afula Israel Leumit Liga |
2-1 | 3-3 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 10/09 | Maccabi Achi Nazareth Israel Leumit Liga |
2-0 | 3-3 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 06/09 | MS Ashdod Israel Leumit Liga |
0-2 | 0-4 | 3 | 7 | L |
| 30/08 | SC Kiryat Yam Israel Leumit Liga |
2-1 | 3-2 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 23/08 | Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv Israel Leumit Liga |
1-1 | 1-3 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 18/08 | SC Kfar Qasim Israel Leumit Liga |
0-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Hapoel Rishon Lezion vs Hapoel Kfar Shalem?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Hapoel Rishon Lezion win (45%). Probabilities: Hapoel Rishon Lezion 45%, draw 24%, Hapoel Kfar Shalem 31%.
How many goals are expected in Hapoel Rishon Lezion vs Hapoel Kfar Shalem?
The model expects 3.86 goals (Hapoel Rishon Lezion 2.11 · Hapoel Kfar Shalem 1.75), with a 53% chance of over 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Hapoel Rishon Lezion vs Hapoel Kfar Shalem?
The model gives a 61% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.