Football · Israel Leumit Liga · 23/10, 15:00
Prediction: Maccabi Kiryat Gat vs Maccabi Achi Nazareth
Team pages: Maccabi Kiryat Gat · Maccabi Achi Nazareth
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.55Total
Maccabi Kiryat Gat1.5
Maccabi Achi Nazareth1.05
1X2
Maccabi Kiryat Gat
Draw
Maccabi Achi Nazareth
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 53%
Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Maccabi Kiryat Gat
2-4-4 (W-D-L)
Maccabi Achi Nazareth
3-1-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Maccabi Kiryat Gat
1–1–3
Maccabi Achi Nazareth
(5 last)
- Maccabi Achi Nazareth2-2Maccabi Kiryat Gat
- Maccabi Kiryat Gat1-2Maccabi Achi Nazareth
- Maccabi Kiryat Gat1-3Maccabi Achi Nazareth
- Maccabi Kiryat Gat0-1Maccabi Achi Nazareth
- Maccabi Achi Nazareth0-3Maccabi Kiryat Gat
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Maccabi Kiryat Gat 1485 · Maccabi Achi Nazareth 1473
| Maccabi Kiryat Gat | Draw | Maccabi Achi Nazareth | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 28% | 25% |
| Market | 48% | 25% | 27% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.55 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · -0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 54%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Maccabi Achi Nazareth: 3-1-1.
- Cards-heavy: 10.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Maccabi Kiryat Gat | Maccabi Achi Nazareth | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.9 / 1.1 | 1 / 1.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.2 / 0.4 | 0.4 / 1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/50/30% | 30/10/60% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.2 / 4.7 | 2.3 / 5.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.3 / 0.1 | 5.3 / 0.7 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Maccabi Kiryat Gat 1–1–3 Maccabi Achi Nazareth
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18/12/15 Israel Leumit Liga | Maccabi Achi Nazareth | 2-2 HT 2-1 | Maccabi Kiryat Gat |
| 21/08/15 Israel Leumit Liga | Maccabi Kiryat Gat | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Maccabi Achi Nazareth |
| 04/05/15 Israel Leumit Liga | Maccabi Kiryat Gat | 1-3 HT 0-1 | Maccabi Achi Nazareth |
| 23/03/15 Israel Leumit Liga | Maccabi Kiryat Gat | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Maccabi Achi Nazareth |
| 05/12/14 Israel Leumit Liga | Maccabi Achi Nazareth | 0-3 HT 0-1 | Maccabi Kiryat Gat |
Standings · Israel Leumit Liga
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | MS Ashdod | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 22 | 8 | 25 |
| 2 | Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv | 10 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 21 | 8 | 24 |
| 3 | Hapoel Rishon Lezion | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 19 | 10 | 21 |
| 4 | Hapoel Kfar Shalem | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 23 | 18 | 20 |
| 5 | SC Kiryat Yam | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 27 | 16 | 19 |
| 6 | Hapoel Afula | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 18 | 13 | 18 |
| 7 | Hapoel Raanana | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 21 | 14 | 16 |
| 8 | Maccabi Bnei Raina | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 14 | 14 | 14 |
| 9 | SC Kfar Qasim | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 13 | 11 | 13 |
| 10 | Ironi Modiin | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 15 | 17 | 11 |
| 11 | Maccabi Kiryat Gat | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 11 | 10 |
| 12 | Maccabi Achi Nazareth | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 10 | 17 | 10 |
| 13 | Maccabi Herzliya | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 13 | 9 |
| 14 | Hapoel Kfar Saba | 10 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 15 | 24 | 9 |
| 15 | Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa | 10 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 7 | 22 | 6 |
| 16 | Hapoel Akko | 10 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 0 | 27 | 1 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Maccabi Kiryat Gat | Maccabi Achi Nazareth |
|---|---|---|
| Hapoel Raanana | 1-0 W | 0-2 L |
| Hapoel Kfar Saba | 0-2 L | 0-4 L |
| Maccabi Herzliya | 1-1 D | 2-1 W |
| Ironi Modiin | 1-1 D | 1-2 L |
| Hapoel Rishon Lezion | 1-2 L | 0-1 L |
| Hapoel Akko | 2-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 2 D 2 L | 2 W 0 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: Maccabi Kiryat Gat (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Maccabi Kiryat Gat
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/10 | MS Ashdod Israel Leumit Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 09/10 | SC Kiryat Yam Israel Leumit Liga |
1-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 6 | D |
| 01/10 | Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv Israel Leumit Liga |
0-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 4 | L |
| 28/09 | SC Kfar Qasim Israel Leumit Liga |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 17/09 | Hapoel Raanana Israel Leumit Liga |
0-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 6 | W |
| 10/09 | Hapoel Kfar Saba Israel Leumit Liga |
0-2 | 0-2 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 07/09 | Maccabi Herzliya Israel Leumit Liga |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 30/08 | Ironi Modiin Israel Leumit Liga |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 9 | D |
| 24/08 | Hapoel Rishon Lezion Israel Leumit Liga |
0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 7 | L |
| 18/08 | Hapoel Akko Israel Leumit Liga |
1-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 4 | W |
Maccabi Achi Nazareth
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/10 | Hapoel Kfar Saba Israel Leumit Liga |
0-1 | 0-4 | 5 | 8 | L |
| 09/10 | Maccabi Herzliya Israel Leumit Liga |
1-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 7 | W |
| 01/10 | Ironi Modiin Israel Leumit Liga |
0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | L |
| 24/09 | Hapoel Rishon Lezion Israel Leumit Liga |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 17/09 | Hapoel Akko Israel Leumit Liga |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 11 | W |
| 10/09 | Hapoel Kfar Shalem Israel Leumit Liga |
0-2 | 3-3 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 06/09 | Maccabi Bnei Raina Israel Leumit Liga |
0-2 | 1-2 | 7 | 7 | L |
| 30/08 | Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa Israel Leumit Liga |
2-1 | 2-1 | 7 | 7 | W |
| 24/08 | Hapoel Afula Israel Leumit Liga |
0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 7 | L |
| 18/08 | Hapoel Raanana Israel Leumit Liga |
0-2 | 0-2 | 6 | 4 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Maccabi Kiryat Gat vs Maccabi Achi Nazareth?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Maccabi Kiryat Gat win (47%). Probabilities: Maccabi Kiryat Gat 47%, draw 27%, Maccabi Achi Nazareth 26%.
How many goals are expected in Maccabi Kiryat Gat vs Maccabi Achi Nazareth?
The model expects 2.55 goals (Maccabi Kiryat Gat 1.5 · Maccabi Achi Nazareth 1.05), with a 56% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Maccabi Kiryat Gat vs Maccabi Achi Nazareth?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.