Football · Israel Leumit Liga · 23/10, 15:00

Prediction: Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv vs SC Kiryat Yam

Team pages: Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv · SC Kiryat Yam

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.23Total

Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv2

SC Kiryat Yam1.22

1X2

54% 24% 22%

Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv Draw SC Kiryat Yam

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 60% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv 7-3-0 (W-D-L)

WWWDWDWWWD

SC Kiryat Yam 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

WLLWLWWWDW

Head-to-head

Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv 1–1–2 SC Kiryat Yam (4 last)

Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv2-0SC Kiryat Yam
Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv1-3SC Kiryat Yam
SC Kiryat Yam2-1Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv
Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv0-0SC Kiryat Yam

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv 1575 · SC Kiryat Yam 1552

	Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv	Draw	SC Kiryat Yam
Our model	55%	23%	22%
Market	54%	24%	22%

Estimated total (ours) 3.23 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 65%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours SC Kiryat Yam: 2-1-1.
High corners: 11.3 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 10.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv	SC Kiryat Yam
Goals for / against (FT)	2.1 / 0.8	2.7 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)	1 / 0.3	1.2 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/60/0%	50/20/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	4.1 / 6.7	2.3 / 4.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.2 / 0.4	5 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

11.65

X3.80

24.10

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.85

2 (+0.75)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 31.98

Under 31.82

Diff.: 0.6 · xG: 3.6

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 14:05

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.65 → 1.65	Pinn 1.73 ★
X	3.80 → 3.80	Bet365 3.80
2	4.10 → 4.10	Bet365 4.10

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3% Pinnacle margin 9.3%

Time*	1	X	2
13:53 +12’	1.65	3.80	4.10

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
13:40 +25’	1.73	3.75	4.03

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv 1–1–2 SC Kiryat Yam

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Date	Home	Score	Away
15/05/26 Israel Leumit Liga	Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv	2-0 HT 1-0	SC Kiryat Yam
14/04/26 Israel Leumit Liga	Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv	1-3 HT 0-2	SC Kiryat Yam
05/12/25 Israel Leumit Liga	SC Kiryat Yam	2-1 HT 0-1	Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv
15/10/25 Israel League Cup	Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv	0-0 HT 0-0	SC Kiryat Yam

Standings · Israel Leumit Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	MS Ashdod	10	8	1	1	22	8	25
2	Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv	10	7	3	0	21	8	24
3	Hapoel Rishon Lezion	10	6	3	1	19	10	21
4	Hapoel Kfar Shalem	10	6	2	2	23	18	20
5	SC Kiryat Yam	10	6	1	3	27	16	19
6	Hapoel Afula	10	5	3	2	18	13	18
7	Hapoel Raanana	10	5	1	4	21	14	16
8	Maccabi Bnei Raina	10	4	2	4	14	14	14
9	SC Kfar Qasim	10	4	1	5	13	11	13
10	Ironi Modiin	10	3	2	5	15	17	11
11	Maccabi Kiryat Gat	10	2	4	4	9	11	10
12	Maccabi Achi Nazareth	10	3	1	6	10	17	10
13	Maccabi Herzliya	10	2	3	5	9	13	9
14	Hapoel Kfar Saba	10	3	0	7	15	24	9
15	Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa	10	2	0	8	7	22	6
16	Hapoel Akko	10	0	1	9	0	27	1

Common opponents 9 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv	SC Kiryat Yam
SC Kfar Qasim	1-0 W	2-1 W
Maccabi Kiryat Gat	2-1 W	2-2 D
Hapoel Kfar Saba	2-1 W	2-0 W
Maccabi Herzliya	1-1 D	3-1 W
Ironi Modiin	4-2 W	3-2 W
Hapoel Rishon Lezion	0-0 D	2-4 L
Hapoel Akko	3-0 W	5-0 W
Hapoel Kfar Shalem	3-1 W	2-3 L
Maccabi Bnei Raina	4-1 W	0-1 L
Record vs common	7 W 2 D 0 L	5 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv (5 of 9 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv

WWWDWDWWWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/10	Hapoel Raanana Israel Leumit Liga	0-0	1-1	7	4	D
09/10	SC Kfar Qasim Israel Leumit Liga	0-0	1-0	3	8	W
01/10	Maccabi Kiryat Gat Israel Leumit Liga	1-0	2-1	9	4	W
28/09	Hapoel Kfar Saba Israel Leumit Liga	1-1	2-1	7	5	W
17/09	Maccabi Herzliya Israel Leumit Liga	1-0	1-1	7	6	D
10/09	Ironi Modiin Israel Leumit Liga	3-0	4-2	9	5	W
07/09	Hapoel Rishon Lezion Israel Leumit Liga	0-0	0-0	8	9	D
31/08	Hapoel Akko Israel Leumit Liga	2-0	3-0	7	6	W
23/08	Hapoel Kfar Shalem Israel Leumit Liga	1-1	3-1	6	4	W
18/08	Maccabi Bnei Raina Israel Leumit Liga	1-1	4-1	4	5	W

SC Kiryat Yam

WLLWLWWWDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
16/10	SC Kfar Qasim Israel Leumit Liga	2-1	2-1	3	7	W
09/10	Maccabi Kiryat Gat Israel Leumit Liga	0-1	2-2	5	6	D
01/10	Hapoel Kfar Saba Israel Leumit Liga	1-0	2-0	5	5	W
24/09	Maccabi Herzliya Israel Leumit Liga	1-1	3-1	4	8	W
17/09	Ironi Modiin Israel Leumit Liga	2-1	3-2	6	4	W
10/09	Hapoel Rishon Lezion Israel Leumit Liga	0-2	2-4	1	3	L
06/09	Hapoel Akko Israel Leumit Liga	2-0	5-0	2	3	W
30/08	Hapoel Kfar Shalem Israel Leumit Liga	1-2	2-3	7	3	L
23/08	Maccabi Bnei Raina Israel Leumit Liga	0-0	0-1	6	7	L
18/08	Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa Israel Leumit Liga	3-1	6-2	7	7	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv vs SC Kiryat Yam?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv win (54%). Probabilities: Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv 54%, draw 24%, SC Kiryat Yam 22%.

How many goals are expected in Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv vs SC Kiryat Yam?

The model expects 3.23 goals (Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv 2 · SC Kiryat Yam 1.22), with a 50% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv vs SC Kiryat Yam?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.