Football · Israel Leumit Liga · 23/10, 15:00

Prediction: Hapoel Akko vs Hapoel Raanana

Team pages: Hapoel Akko · Hapoel Raanana

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3Total

Hapoel Akko1.07

Hapoel Raanana1.94

1X2

20% 23% 57%

Hapoel Akko Draw Hapoel Raanana

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 58% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

Hapoel Akko 0-1-9 (W-D-L)

LLLLLLLLDL

Hapoel Raanana 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

WWLWWLWLLD

Head-to-head

Hapoel Akko 1–5 Hapoel Raanana (6 last)

Hapoel Akko1-2Hapoel Raanana
Hapoel Raanana2-1Hapoel Akko
Hapoel Akko0-2Hapoel Raanana
Hapoel Akko2-0Hapoel Raanana
Hapoel Akko0-2Hapoel Raanana
Hapoel Raanana2-1Hapoel Akko

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Hapoel Akko 1362 · Hapoel Raanana 1534

	Hapoel Akko	Draw	Hapoel Raanana
Our model	19%	24%	57%
Market	20%	23%	57%

Estimated total (ours) 3 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 60%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Hapoel Raanana (rating 1362 vs 1534).
H2H favours Hapoel Raanana: 5-0-1.
Cards-heavy: 11.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Hapoel Akko	Hapoel Raanana
Goals for / against (FT)	0 / 2.7	2.1 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0 / 1	0.9 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	0/30/70%	40/30/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.1 / 3.6	1.5 / 3.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.5 / 0.4	5.6 / 1

Odds Bet365

14.50

X3.90

21.57

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+1)1.80

2 (-1)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 32.00

Under 31.80

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 3.1

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 15:07

	Bet365	Best now
1	5.25 → 4.50▼	Bet365 4.50
X	4.10 → 3.90▼	Bet365 3.90
2	1.45 → 1.57▲	Pinn 1.68 ★

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 11.5% Pinnacle margin 9.2%

Time*	1	X	2
13:56 +10’	5.25	4.10	1.45
15:04 +3’	4.50▼	3.90▼	1.57▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
15:04 +3’	4.26	3.82	1.68

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Hapoel Akko 1–0–5 Hapoel Raanana

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Date	Home	Score	Away
08/05/26 Israel Leumit Liga	Hapoel Akko	1-2 HT 1-0	Hapoel Raanana
20/02/26 Israel Leumit Liga	Hapoel Raanana	2-1 HT 0-1	Hapoel Akko
17/10/25 Israel Leumit Liga	Hapoel Akko	0-2 HT 0-2	Hapoel Raanana
28/04/25 Israel Leumit Liga	Hapoel Akko	2-0 HT 0-0	Hapoel Raanana
31/01/25 Israel Leumit Liga	Hapoel Akko	0-2 HT 0-0	Hapoel Raanana
30/09/24 Israel Leumit Liga	Hapoel Raanana	2-1 HT 0-1	Hapoel Akko

Standings · Israel Leumit Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	MS Ashdod	10	8	1	1	22	8	25
2	Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv	10	7	3	0	21	8	24
3	Hapoel Rishon Lezion	10	6	3	1	19	10	21
4	Hapoel Kfar Shalem	10	6	2	2	23	18	20
5	SC Kiryat Yam	10	6	1	3	27	16	19
6	Hapoel Afula	10	5	3	2	18	13	18
7	Hapoel Raanana	10	5	1	4	21	14	16
8	Maccabi Bnei Raina	10	4	2	4	14	14	14
9	SC Kfar Qasim	10	4	1	5	13	11	13
10	Ironi Modiin	10	3	2	5	15	17	11
11	Maccabi Kiryat Gat	10	2	4	4	9	11	10
12	Maccabi Achi Nazareth	10	3	1	6	10	17	10
13	Maccabi Herzliya	10	2	3	5	9	13	9
14	Hapoel Kfar Saba	10	3	0	7	15	24	9
15	Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa	10	2	0	8	7	22	6
16	Hapoel Akko	10	0	1	9	0	27	1

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Hapoel Akko	Hapoel Raanana
Hapoel Kfar Shalem	0-4 L	1-2 L
Maccabi Bnei Raina	0-0 D	2-1 W
Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa	0-1 L	3-1 W
Hapoel Afula	0-3 L	2-3 L
Maccabi Achi Nazareth	0-1 L	2-0 W
Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv	0-3 L	1-1 D
SC Kfar Qasim	0-4 L	1-2 L
Maccabi Kiryat Gat	0-2 L	0-1 L
Record vs common	0 W 1 D 7 L	3 W 1 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Hapoel Raanana (8 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Hapoel Akko

LLLLLLLLDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/10	Hapoel Kfar Shalem Israel Leumit Liga	0-1	0-4	5	4	L
09/10	Maccabi Bnei Raina Israel Leumit Liga	0-0	0-0	3	5	D
01/10	Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa Israel Leumit Liga	0-0	0-1	3	10	L
24/09	Hapoel Afula Israel Leumit Liga	0-1	0-3	10	6	L
17/09	Maccabi Achi Nazareth Israel Leumit Liga	0-1	0-1	4	11	L
14/09	MS Ashdod Israel Leumit Liga	0-2	0-4	0	7	L
06/09	SC Kiryat Yam Israel Leumit Liga	0-2	0-5	4	3	L
31/08	Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv Israel Leumit Liga	0-2	0-3	4	6	L
23/08	SC Kfar Qasim Israel Leumit Liga	0-0	0-4	2	3	L
18/08	Maccabi Kiryat Gat Israel Leumit Liga	0-1	0-2	1	4	L

Hapoel Raanana

WWLWWLWLLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/10	Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv Israel Leumit Liga	0-0	1-1	2	4	D
12/10	Hapoel Kfar Shalem Israel Leumit Liga	0-1	1-2	1	8	L
01/10	SC Kfar Qasim Israel Leumit Liga	0-1	1-2	3	5	L
28/09	Maccabi Bnei Raina Israel Leumit Liga	2-1	2-1	3	10	W
17/09	Maccabi Kiryat Gat Israel Leumit Liga	0-0	0-1	6	6	L
10/09	Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa Israel Leumit Liga	1-0	3-1	4	5	W
06/09	Hapoel Kfar Saba Israel Leumit Liga	2-0	6-1	0	8	W
31/08	Hapoel Afula Israel Leumit Liga	0-3	2-3	5	7	L
23/08	Maccabi Herzliya Israel Leumit Liga	2-2	3-2	6	9	W
18/08	Maccabi Achi Nazareth Israel Leumit Liga	2-0	2-0	5	4	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Hapoel Akko vs Hapoel Raanana?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Hapoel Raanana win (57%). Probabilities: Hapoel Akko 20%, draw 23%, Hapoel Raanana 57%.

How many goals are expected in Hapoel Akko vs Hapoel Raanana?

The model expects 3 goals (Hapoel Akko 1.07 · Hapoel Raanana 1.94), with a 53% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Hapoel Akko vs Hapoel Raanana?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.