Football · Israel Leumit Liga · 16/10, 15:00

Prediction: SC Kiryat Yam vs SC Kfar Qasim

Team pages: SC Kiryat Yam · SC Kfar Qasim

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.87Total

SC Kiryat Yam1.74

SC Kfar Qasim1.13

1X2

51% 25% 24%

SC Kiryat Yam Draw SC Kfar Qasim

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

SC Kiryat Yam 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

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SC Kfar Qasim 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

LLWLDLWWWL

Head-to-head

SC Kiryat Yam 0–1–1 SC Kfar Qasim (2 last)

SC Kiryat Yam1-1SC Kfar Qasim
SC Kfar Qasim1-0SC Kiryat Yam

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · SC Kiryat Yam 1529 · SC Kfar Qasim 1501

	SC Kiryat Yam	Draw	SC Kfar Qasim
Our model	51%	26%	24%
Market	51%	25%	24%

Estimated total (ours) 2.87 goals · Bet365 line 2.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 54%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 10.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	SC Kiryat Yam	SC Kfar Qasim
Goals for / against (FT)	2.5 / 1.5	1.2 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)	1 / 0.8	0.2 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/30/30%	20/50/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.6 / 5	2.4 / 5.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.9 / 0.3	5.3 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.75

X3.60

23.70

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.80

2 (+0.5)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.90

Under 2.751.90

Diff.: 0.4 · xG: 3.15

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 17:04

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.73 → 1.75▲	Pinn 1.79
X	3.60 → 3.60	Pinn 3.81 ★
2	3.80 → 3.70▼	Bet365 3.70

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 11.9% Pinnacle margin 9.1%

Time*	1	X	2
14:00 +6’	1.73	3.60	3.80
16:52 +12’	1.75▲	3.60	3.70▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
13:41 +24’	1.73	3.90	3.88
15:04 +2’	1.79▲	3.81▼	3.69▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · SC Kiryat Yam 0–1–1 SC Kfar Qasim

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Date	Home	Score	Away
23/02/26 Israel Leumit Liga	SC Kiryat Yam	1-1 HT 0-0	SC Kfar Qasim
20/10/25 Israel Leumit Liga	SC Kfar Qasim	1-0 HT 0-0	SC Kiryat Yam

Standings · Israel Leumit Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	MS Ashdod	9	8	0	1	22	8	24
2	Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv	9	7	2	0	20	7	23
3	Hapoel Rishon Lezion	9	6	2	1	18	9	20
4	Hapoel Afula	9	5	2	2	18	13	17
5	Hapoel Kfar Shalem	9	5	2	2	19	18	17
6	SC Kiryat Yam	9	5	1	3	25	15	16
7	Hapoel Raanana	9	5	0	4	20	13	15
8	SC Kfar Qasim	9	4	1	4	12	9	13
9	Maccabi Bnei Raina	9	4	1	4	13	13	13
10	Maccabi Achi Nazareth	9	3	1	5	10	13	10
11	Maccabi Kiryat Gat	9	2	3	4	9	11	9
12	Ironi Modiin	9	2	2	5	13	17	8
13	Maccabi Herzliya	9	2	2	5	9	13	8
14	Hapoel Kfar Saba	9	2	0	7	11	24	6
15	Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa	9	2	0	7	7	20	6
16	Hapoel Akko	9	0	1	8	0	23	1

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	SC Kiryat Yam	SC Kfar Qasim
Maccabi Kiryat Gat	2-2 D	1-0 W
Hapoel Kfar Saba	2-0 W	4-2 W
Maccabi Herzliya	3-1 W	0-1 L
Ironi Modiin	3-2 W	0-0 D
Hapoel Rishon Lezion	2-4 L	1-2 L
Hapoel Akko	5-0 W	4-0 W
Hapoel Kfar Shalem	2-3 L	0-2 L
Record vs common	4 W 1 D 2 L	3 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: SC Kiryat Yam (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

SC Kiryat Yam

DWLLWLWWWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
09/10	Maccabi Kiryat Gat Israel Leumit Liga	0-1	2-2	5	6	D
01/10	Hapoel Kfar Saba Israel Leumit Liga	1-0	2-0	5	5	W
24/09	Maccabi Herzliya Israel Leumit Liga	1-1	3-1	4	8	W
17/09	Ironi Modiin Israel Leumit Liga	2-1	3-2	6	4	W
10/09	Hapoel Rishon Lezion Israel Leumit Liga	0-2	2-4	1	3	L
06/09	Hapoel Akko Israel Leumit Liga	2-0	5-0	2	3	W
30/08	Hapoel Kfar Shalem Israel Leumit Liga	1-2	2-3	7	3	L
23/08	Maccabi Bnei Raina Israel Leumit Liga	0-0	0-1	6	7	L
18/08	Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa Israel Leumit Liga	3-1	6-2	7	7	W
25/05	Maccabi Petah Tikva Israel Leumit Liga	0-0	0-0	7	6	D

SC Kfar Qasim

LLWLDLWWWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
09/10	Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv Israel Leumit Liga	0-0	0-1	3	8	L
01/10	Hapoel Raanana Israel Leumit Liga	1-0	2-1	6	5	W
28/09	Maccabi Kiryat Gat Israel Leumit Liga	0-0	1-0	3	6	W
17/09	Hapoel Kfar Saba Israel Leumit Liga	1-0	4-2	6	5	W
14/09	Maccabi Herzliya Israel Leumit Liga	0-1	0-1	11	5	L
07/09	Ironi Modiin Israel Leumit Liga	0-0	0-0	2	7	D
30/08	Hapoel Rishon Lezion Israel Leumit Liga	0-2	1-2	5	5	L
23/08	Hapoel Akko Israel Leumit Liga	0-0	4-0	4	3	W
18/08	Hapoel Kfar Shalem Israel Leumit Liga	0-0	0-2	6	5	L
25/05	Hapoel Afula Israel Leumit Liga	0-2	0-2	–	–	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in SC Kiryat Yam vs SC Kfar Qasim?

According to our model, the most likely result is a SC Kiryat Yam win (51%). Probabilities: SC Kiryat Yam 51%, draw 25%, SC Kfar Qasim 24%.

How many goals are expected in SC Kiryat Yam vs SC Kfar Qasim?

The model expects 2.87 goals (SC Kiryat Yam 1.74 · SC Kfar Qasim 1.13), with a 51% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in SC Kiryat Yam vs SC Kfar Qasim?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.