Prediction: Beitar Jerusalem vs Hapoel Tel Aviv
| Beitar Jerusalem | Draw | Hapoel Tel Aviv | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 28% | 29% |
| Market | 45% | 25% | 30% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Beitar Jerusalem (rating 1548 vs 1496).
- H2H favours Beitar Jerusalem: 4-1-1.
- High corners: 10.8 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 8.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Beitar Jerusalem | Hapoel Tel Aviv | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 1 | 1 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.5 | 0.2 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/70/10% | 0/70/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.1 / 5.3 | 2 / 5.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.4 / 0.3 | 3.8 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Beitar Jerusalem 4–1–1 Hapoel Tel Aviv
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23/05/26 Israel Premier League | Beitar Jerusalem | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Hapoel Tel Aviv |
| 06/05/26 Israel Premier League | Hapoel Tel Aviv | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Beitar Jerusalem |
| 01/01/26 Israel Premier League | Beitar Jerusalem | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Hapoel Tel Aviv |
| 28/10/25 Israel League Cup | Hapoel Tel Aviv | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Beitar Jerusalem |
| 15/09/25 Israel Premier League | Hapoel Tel Aviv | 3-2 HT 1-1 | Beitar Jerusalem |
| 27/04/24 Israel Premier League | Hapoel Tel Aviv | 1-5 HT 0-1 | Beitar Jerusalem |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Beitar Jerusalem | Hapoel Tel Aviv |
|---|---|---|
| Hapoel Petah Tikva | 0-0 D | 1-0 W |
| Maccabi Tel Aviv | 2-1 W | 1-1 D |
| Hapoel Beer Sheva | 1-1 D | 0-2 L |
| Maccabi Haifa | 0-3 L | 1-4 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 2 D 1 L | 1 W 1 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Beitar Jerusalem (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Beitar Jerusalem
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/07 | KF Dukagjini Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 07/07 | Arda Kardzhali Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | D |
| 03/07 | Botev Vratsa Europe Friendlies |
2-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 6 | D |
| 23/05 | Hapoel Tel Aviv Israel Premier League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 10 | D |
| 19/05 | Hapoel Petah Tikva Israel Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 20 | 3 | D |
| 16/05 | Maccabi Tel Aviv Israel Premier League |
0-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 12/05 | Hapoel Beer Sheva Israel Premier League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 2 | D |
| 09/05 | Maccabi Haifa Israel Premier League |
0-1 | 0-3 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 06/05 | Hapoel Tel Aviv Israel Premier League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 10 | W |
| 02/05 | Maccabi Tel Aviv Israel Premier League |
3-2 | 4-2 | 9 | 7 | W |
Hapoel Tel Aviv
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/07 | Dukla Banska Bystrica Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 0 | D |
| 11/07 | Dunajska Streda Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 08/07 | FC Trinity Zlin Europe Friendlies |
1-1 | 2-1 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 03/07 | Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv Europe Friendlies |
0-1 | 3-3 | 7 | 0 | D |
| 23/05 | Beitar Jerusalem Israel Premier League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 10 | D |
| 19/05 | Maccabi Haifa Israel Premier League |
1-1 | 1-4 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 15/05 | Hapoel Beer Sheva Israel Premier League |
0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 12/05 | Hapoel Petah Tikva Israel Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 4 | W |
| 09/05 | Maccabi Tel Aviv Israel Premier League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 11 | 4 | D |
| 06/05 | Beitar Jerusalem Israel Premier League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 10 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Beitar Jerusalem vs Hapoel Tel Aviv?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Beitar Jerusalem win (44%). Probabilities: Beitar Jerusalem 44%, draw 26%, Hapoel Tel Aviv 29%.
How many goals are expected in Beitar Jerusalem vs Hapoel Tel Aviv?
The model expects 2.73 goals (Beitar Jerusalem 1.53 · Hapoel Tel Aviv 1.2), with a 53% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Beitar Jerusalem vs Hapoel Tel Aviv?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.