Football · Israel League Cup · 28/07, 18:45

Prediction: Hapoel Haifa vs Ironi Tiberias

Team pages: Hapoel Haifa · Ironi Tiberias

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.4Total
Hapoel Haifa1.35
Ironi Tiberias1.05
1X2
43% 29% 28%
Hapoel Haifa Draw Ironi Tiberias
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Hapoel Haifa 3-4-3 (W-D-L)
LDLDDLWDWW
Ironi Tiberias 6-3-1 (W-D-L)
LDDWDWWWWW
Head-to-head
Hapoel Haifa 3–2–1 Ironi Tiberias (6 last)
  • Hapoel Haifa1-1Ironi Tiberias
  • Hapoel Haifa2-0Ironi Tiberias
  • Ironi Tiberias1-0Hapoel Haifa
  • Ironi Tiberias0-1Hapoel Haifa
  • Ironi Tiberias1-1Hapoel Haifa
  • Hapoel Haifa1-0Ironi Tiberias
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Hapoel Haifa 1514 · Ironi Tiberias 1555
Hapoel HaifaDrawIroni Tiberias
Our model42%30%28%
Market43%29%28%
Estimated total (ours) 2.4 goals · Bet365 line 2.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 52%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ironi Tiberias (rating 1514 vs 1555).
  • H2H favours Hapoel Haifa: 3-2-1.
  • Cards-heavy: 8.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Hapoel HaifaIroni Tiberias
Goals for / against (FT)1.2 / 1.31.7 / 0.8
Goals for / against (HT)0.6 / 0.80.8 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)20/50/30%50/30/20%
Corners (HT / FT)1.9 / 4.72.2 / 3.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.5 / 03.6 / 0.3

Head-to-head (H2H) · Hapoel Haifa 321 Ironi Tiberias

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DateHomeScoreAway
29/04/26
Israel Premier League
Hapoel Haifa1-1
HT 1-0
Ironi Tiberias
13/12/25
Israel Premier League
Hapoel Haifa2-0
HT 0-0
Ironi Tiberias
23/08/25
Israel Premier League
Ironi Tiberias1-0
HT 0-0
Hapoel Haifa
06/08/25
Israel League Cup
Ironi Tiberias0-1
HT 0-0
Hapoel Haifa
25/01/25
Israel Premier League
Ironi Tiberias1-1
HT 1-1
Hapoel Haifa
19/10/24
Israel Premier League
Hapoel Haifa1-0
HT 0-0
Ironi Tiberias

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentHapoel HaifaIroni Tiberias
Hapoel Bnei Sakhnin 3-0 W 2-1 W
Maccabi Netanya 1-1 D 4-3 W
MS Ashdod 1-0 W 3-0 W
Hapoel Kiryat Shmona 0-2 L 2-0 W
Hapoel Jerusalem FC 0-0 D 2-0 W
Maccabi Bnei Raina 2-3 L 1-0 W
Record vs common 2 W 2 D 2 L 6 W 0 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Ironi Tiberias (5 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Hapoel Haifa

LDLDDLWDWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
25/07 Maccabi Haifa
Israel League Cup
2-0 3-2 16 W
18/05 Hapoel Bnei Sakhnin
Israel Premier League
0-0 3-0 36 W
13/05 Maccabi Netanya
Israel Premier League
1-1 1-1 46 D
10/05 MS Ashdod
Israel Premier League
0-0 1-0 55 W
03/05 Hapoel Kiryat Shmona
Israel Premier League
0-1 0-2 121 L
29/04 Ironi Tiberias
Israel Premier League
1-0 1-1 82 D
26/04 Hapoel Jerusalem FC
Israel Premier League
0-0 0-0 55 D
18/04 Maccabi Bnei Raina
Israel Premier League
2-3 2-3 52 L
11/04 Maccabi Netanya
Israel Premier League
0-0 0-0 36 D
05/04 Maccabi Tel Aviv
Israel Premier League
0-3 1-4 16 L

Ironi Tiberias

LDDWDWWWWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
25/07 Hapoel Bnei Sakhnin
Israel League Cup
0-1 2-1 63 W
18/05 Hapoel Jerusalem FC
Israel Premier League
1-0 2-0 04 W
13/05 Maccabi Bnei Raina
Israel Premier League
1-0 1-0 12 W
10/05 Maccabi Netanya
Israel Premier League
1-1 4-3 124 W
03/05 MS Ashdod
Israel Premier League
1-0 3-0 14 W
29/04 Hapoel Haifa
Israel Premier League
0-1 1-1 52 D
26/04 Hapoel Kiryat Shmona
Israel Premier League
2-0 2-0 26 W
18/04 Hapoel Bnei Sakhnin
Israel Premier League
0-0 0-0 26 D
11/04 MS Ashdod
Israel Premier League
0-0 0-0 52 D
04/04 Beitar Jerusalem
Israel Premier League
2-0 2-3 36 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Hapoel Haifa vs Ironi Tiberias?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Hapoel Haifa win (43%). Probabilities: Hapoel Haifa 43%, draw 29%, Ironi Tiberias 28%.

How many goals are expected in Hapoel Haifa vs Ironi Tiberias?

The model expects 2.4 goals (Hapoel Haifa 1.35 · Ironi Tiberias 1.05), with a 54% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Hapoel Haifa vs Ironi Tiberias?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.