Football · Israel League Cup · 25/07, 19:30

Prediction: Maccabi Haifa vs Hapoel Haifa

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.07Total
Maccabi Haifa1.99
Hapoel Haifa1.08
1X2
57% 24% 19%
Maccabi Haifa Draw Hapoel Haifa
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 63% Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Maccabi Haifa 6-2-2 (W-D-L)
WLWLDWWWDW
Hapoel Haifa 2-5-3 (W-D-L)
DLDLDDLWDW
Head-to-head
Maccabi Haifa 3–2–1 Hapoel Haifa (6 last)
  • Maccabi Haifa2-0Hapoel Haifa
  • Hapoel Haifa1-1Maccabi Haifa
  • Maccabi Haifa1-5Hapoel Haifa
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Maccabi Haifa 1568 · Hapoel Haifa 1475
Maccabi HaifaDrawHapoel Haifa
Our model57%23%19%
Market57%24%19%
Estimated total (ours) 3.07 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 67%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Maccabi Haifa (rating 1568 vs 1475).
  • H2H favours Maccabi Haifa: 3-2-1.
  • Cards-heavy: 7.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Maccabi HaifaHapoel Haifa
Goals for / against (FT)2.5 / 1.31 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)1.1 / 0.80.5 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)50/20/30%10/60/30%
Corners (HT / FT)0.9 / 2.92.3 / 5.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3 / 0.14.3 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · Maccabi Haifa 321 Hapoel Haifa

Swipe the table sideways →

DateHomeScoreAway
05/01/26
Israel Premier League
Maccabi Haifa2-0
HT 2-0
Hapoel Haifa
21/09/25
Israel Premier League
Hapoel Haifa1-1
HT 1-1
Maccabi Haifa
03/05/25
Israel Premier League
Maccabi Haifa1-5
HT 0-3
Hapoel Haifa
29/03/25
Israel Premier League
Hapoel Haifa0-2
HT 0-1
Maccabi Haifa
10/02/25
Israel Premier League
Maccabi Haifa1-1
HT 0-0
Hapoel Haifa
04/11/24
Israel Premier League
Hapoel Haifa1-4
HT 0-1
Maccabi Haifa

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentMaccabi HaifaHapoel Haifa
Hapoel Beer Sheva 5-2 W 1-1 D
Maccabi Tel Aviv 0-3 L 1-4 L
Record vs common 1 W 0 D 1 L 0 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Maccabi Haifa (1 of 2 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Maccabi Haifa

WLWLDWWWDW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
21/07 Hapoel Kfar Saba
Europe Friendlies
3-0 5-0 30 W
08/07 Paksi
Europe Friendlies
1-2 3-3 21 D
04/07 Dundee
Europe Friendlies
2-0 2-1 23 W
23/05 Hapoel Beer Sheva
Israel Premier League
2-1 5-2 10 W
19/05 Hapoel Tel Aviv
Israel Premier League
1-1 4-1 45 W
16/05 Hapoel Petah Tikva
Israel Premier League
1-0 1-1 32 D
13/05 Maccabi Tel Aviv
Israel Premier League
0-3 0-3 24 L
09/05 Beitar Jerusalem
Israel Premier League
1-0 3-0 55 W
06/05 Hapoel Beer Sheva
Israel Premier League
0-0 0-1 35 L
02/05 Hapoel Petah Tikva
Israel Premier League
0-1 2-1 46 W

Hapoel Haifa

DLDLDDLWDW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
18/05 Hapoel Bnei Sakhnin
Israel Premier League
0-0 3-0 36 W
13/05 Maccabi Netanya
Israel Premier League
1-1 1-1 46 D
10/05 MS Ashdod
Israel Premier League
0-0 1-0 55 W
03/05 Hapoel Kiryat Shmona
Israel Premier League
0-1 0-2 121 L
29/04 Ironi Tiberias
Israel Premier League
1-0 1-1 82 D
26/04 Hapoel Jerusalem FC
Israel Premier League
0-0 0-0 55 D
18/04 Maccabi Bnei Raina
Israel Premier League
2-3 2-3 52 L
11/04 Maccabi Netanya
Israel Premier League
0-0 0-0 36 D
05/04 Maccabi Tel Aviv
Israel Premier League
0-3 1-4 16 L
22/02 Hapoel Beer Sheva
Israel Premier League
1-1 1-1 84 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Maccabi Haifa vs Hapoel Haifa?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Maccabi Haifa win (57%). Probabilities: Maccabi Haifa 57%, draw 24%, Hapoel Haifa 19%.

How many goals are expected in Maccabi Haifa vs Hapoel Haifa?

The model expects 3.07 goals (Maccabi Haifa 1.99 · Hapoel Haifa 1.08), with a 50% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Maccabi Haifa vs Hapoel Haifa?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.