Football · Israel League Cup · 28/07, 19:00
Prediction: Hapoel Kiryat Shmona vs Maccabi Haifa
Team pages: Hapoel Kiryat Shmona · Maccabi Haifa
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.21Total
Hapoel Kiryat Shmona1.17
Maccabi Haifa2.05
1X2
Hapoel Kiryat Shmona
Draw
Maccabi Haifa
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 60%
Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Hapoel Kiryat Shmona
6-1-3 (W-D-L)
Maccabi Haifa
5-2-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Hapoel Kiryat Shmona
0–6
Maccabi Haifa
(6 last)
- Maccabi Haifa4-1Hapoel Kiryat Shmona
- Hapoel Kiryat Shmona0-1Maccabi Haifa
- Maccabi Haifa4-1Hapoel Kiryat Shmona
- Hapoel Kiryat Shmona0-4Maccabi Haifa
- Maccabi Haifa2-0Hapoel Kiryat Shmona
- Hapoel Kiryat Shmona2-3Maccabi Haifa
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Hapoel Kiryat Shmona 1521 · Maccabi Haifa 1546
| Hapoel Kiryat Shmona | Draw | Maccabi Haifa | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 20% | 23% | 57% |
| Market | 20% | 24% | 56% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.21 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 68%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Maccabi Haifa: 6-0-0.
- Cards-heavy: 6.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Hapoel Kiryat Shmona | Maccabi Haifa | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.7 / 1.1 | 2.5 / 1.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.7 | 1.1 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/40/30% | 50/20/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.6 / 4 | 0.8 / 3.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.8 / 0.3 | 3.1 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Hapoel Kiryat Shmona 0–0–6 Maccabi Haifa
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12/04/26 Israel Premier League | Maccabi Haifa | 4-1 HT 3-1 | Hapoel Kiryat Shmona |
| 06/12/25 Israel Premier League | Hapoel Kiryat Shmona | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Maccabi Haifa |
| 11/01/25 Israel Premier League | Maccabi Haifa | 4-1 HT 3-0 | Hapoel Kiryat Shmona |
| 28/09/24 Israel Premier League | Hapoel Kiryat Shmona | 0-4 HT 0-1 | Maccabi Haifa |
| 11/02/23 Israel Premier League | Maccabi Haifa | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Hapoel Kiryat Shmona |
| 22/10/22 Israel Premier League | Hapoel Kiryat Shmona | 2-3 HT 1-1 | Maccabi Haifa |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Hapoel Kiryat Shmona
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/05 | MS Ashdod Israel Premier League |
1-1 | 2-3 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 13/05 | Hapoel Bnei Sakhnin Israel Premier League |
2-0 | 4-0 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 09/05 | Maccabi Bnei Raina Israel Premier League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 03/05 | Hapoel Haifa Israel Premier League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 29/04 | Maccabi Netanya Israel Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 26/04 | Ironi Tiberias Israel Premier League |
0-2 | 0-2 | 9 | 6 | L |
| 19/04 | Hapoel Jerusalem FC Israel Premier League |
0-0 | 3-1 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 12/04 | Maccabi Haifa Israel Premier League |
1-3 | 1-4 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 04/04 | Hapoel Bnei Sakhnin Israel Premier League |
2-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 21/02 | Hapoel Jerusalem FC Israel Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 7 | W |
Maccabi Haifa
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/07 | Hapoel Haifa Israel League Cup |
0-2 | 2-3 | 7 | 6 | L |
| 21/07 | Hapoel Kfar Saba Europe Friendlies |
3-0 | 5-0 | 3 | 0 | W |
| 08/07 | Paksi Europe Friendlies |
1-2 | 3-3 | 2 | 1 | D |
| 04/07 | Dundee Europe Friendlies |
2-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 23/05 | Hapoel Beer Sheva Israel Premier League |
2-1 | 5-2 | 1 | 0 | W |
| 19/05 | Hapoel Tel Aviv Israel Premier League |
1-1 | 4-1 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 16/05 | Hapoel Petah Tikva Israel Premier League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 13/05 | Maccabi Tel Aviv Israel Premier League |
0-3 | 0-3 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 09/05 | Beitar Jerusalem Israel Premier League |
1-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 06/05 | Hapoel Beer Sheva Israel Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 5 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Hapoel Kiryat Shmona vs Maccabi Haifa?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Maccabi Haifa win (56%). Probabilities: Hapoel Kiryat Shmona 20%, draw 23%, Maccabi Haifa 56%.
How many goals are expected in Hapoel Kiryat Shmona vs Maccabi Haifa?
The model expects 3.21 goals (Hapoel Kiryat Shmona 1.17 · Maccabi Haifa 2.05), with a 55% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Hapoel Kiryat Shmona vs Maccabi Haifa?
The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.