Football · Israel League Cup · 25/07, 19:30
Prediction: Ironi Tiberias vs Hapoel Bnei Sakhnin
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.47Total
Ironi Tiberias1.33
Hapoel Bnei Sakhnin1.13
1X2
Ironi Tiberias
Draw
Hapoel Bnei Sakhnin
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 55%
Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Ironi Tiberias
6-3-1 (W-D-L)
Hapoel Bnei Sakhnin
1-3-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Ironi Tiberias
0–4–2
Hapoel Bnei Sakhnin
(6 last)
- Hapoel Bnei Sakhnin0-0Ironi Tiberias
- Ironi Tiberias1-1Hapoel Bnei Sakhnin
- Hapoel Bnei Sakhnin2-0Ironi Tiberias
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ironi Tiberias 1560 · Hapoel Bnei Sakhnin 1432
| Ironi Tiberias | Draw | Hapoel Bnei Sakhnin | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 40% | 30% | 30% |
| Market | 41% | 28% | 31% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.47 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 56%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ironi Tiberias (rating 1560 vs 1432).
- H2H favours Hapoel Bnei Sakhnin: 2-4-0.
- Cards-heavy: 8.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Ironi Tiberias | Hapoel Bnei Sakhnin | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.7 / 0.8 | 0.3 / 1.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.2 | 0.1 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/40/10% | 10/40/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.2 / 3.7 | 1.6 / 3.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.6 / 0.3 | 4.6 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Ironi Tiberias 0–4–2 Hapoel Bnei Sakhnin
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18/04/26 Israel Premier League | Hapoel Bnei Sakhnin | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Ironi Tiberias |
| 24/01/26 Israel Premier League | Ironi Tiberias | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Hapoel Bnei Sakhnin |
| 18/10/25 Israel Premier League | Hapoel Bnei Sakhnin | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Ironi Tiberias |
| 27/07/25 Israel League Cup | Hapoel Bnei Sakhnin | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Ironi Tiberias |
| 29/03/25 Israel Premier League | Hapoel Bnei Sakhnin | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Ironi Tiberias |
| 04/01/25 Israel Premier League | Hapoel Bnei Sakhnin | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Ironi Tiberias |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Ironi Tiberias | Hapoel Bnei Sakhnin |
|---|---|---|
| Hapoel Jerusalem FC | 2-0 W | 0-1 L |
| Maccabi Bnei Raina | 1-0 W | 0-2 L |
| Maccabi Netanya | 4-3 W | 0-3 L |
| MS Ashdod | 3-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Hapoel Haifa | 1-1 D | 0-3 L |
| Hapoel Kiryat Shmona | 2-0 W | 0-4 L |
| Record vs common | 5 W 1 D 0 L | 0 W 1 D 5 L |
Better against common opponents: Ironi Tiberias (6 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ironi Tiberias
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/05 | Hapoel Jerusalem FC Israel Premier League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 0 | 4 | W |
| 13/05 | Maccabi Bnei Raina Israel Premier League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 2 | W |
| 10/05 | Maccabi Netanya Israel Premier League |
1-1 | 4-3 | 12 | 4 | W |
| 03/05 | MS Ashdod Israel Premier League |
1-0 | 3-0 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 29/04 | Hapoel Haifa Israel Premier League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 26/04 | Hapoel Kiryat Shmona Israel Premier League |
2-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 18/04 | Hapoel Bnei Sakhnin Israel Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 6 | D |
| 11/04 | MS Ashdod Israel Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 04/04 | Beitar Jerusalem Israel Premier League |
2-0 | 2-3 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 21/02 | Maccabi Bnei Raina Israel Premier League |
0-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 3 | W |
Hapoel Bnei Sakhnin
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/05 | Hapoel Haifa Israel Premier League |
0-0 | 0-3 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 13/05 | Hapoel Kiryat Shmona Israel Premier League |
0-2 | 0-4 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 10/05 | Hapoel Jerusalem FC Israel Premier League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 6 | L |
| 04/05 | Maccabi Bnei Raina Israel Premier League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 28/04 | MS Ashdod Israel Premier League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 6 | D |
| 25/04 | Maccabi Netanya Israel Premier League |
0-2 | 0-3 | 0 | 1 | L |
| 18/04 | Ironi Tiberias Israel Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 6 | D |
| 11/04 | Maccabi Bnei Raina Israel Premier League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 10 | W |
| 04/04 | Hapoel Kiryat Shmona Israel Premier League |
0-2 | 0-2 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 21/02 | Hapoel Tel Aviv Israel Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ironi Tiberias vs Hapoel Bnei Sakhnin?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Ironi Tiberias win (40%). Probabilities: Ironi Tiberias 40%, draw 29%, Hapoel Bnei Sakhnin 31%.
How many goals are expected in Ironi Tiberias vs Hapoel Bnei Sakhnin?
The model expects 2.47 goals (Ironi Tiberias 1.33 · Hapoel Bnei Sakhnin 1.13), with a 52% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Ironi Tiberias vs Hapoel Bnei Sakhnin?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.