Football · Israel League Cup · 25/07, 19:30
Prediction: Hapoel Petah Tikva vs Maccabi Petah Tikva
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.84Total
Hapoel Petah Tikva1.57
Maccabi Petah Tikva1.27
1X2
Hapoel Petah Tikva
Draw
Maccabi Petah Tikva
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 54%
Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Hapoel Petah Tikva
1-4-5 (W-D-L)
Maccabi Petah Tikva
1-7-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Hapoel Petah Tikva
1–3–2
Maccabi Petah Tikva
(6 last)
- Maccabi Petah Tikva4-1Hapoel Petah Tikva
- Hapoel Petah Tikva2-2Maccabi Petah Tikva
- Maccabi Petah Tikva2-0Hapoel Petah Tikva
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Hapoel Petah Tikva 1462 · Maccabi Petah Tikva 1489
| Hapoel Petah Tikva | Draw | Maccabi Petah Tikva | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 27% | 30% |
| Market | 43% | 27% | 30% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.84 goals · Bet365 line 2.75
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 53%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Maccabi Petah Tikva: 2-3-1.
- Cards-heavy: 6.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Hapoel Petah Tikva | Maccabi Petah Tikva | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 1.8 | 1.4 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.9 | 0.7 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/30/40% | 40/50/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.5 / 4.1 | 2.9 / 6.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.1 / 0.1 | 3.6 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Hapoel Petah Tikva 1–3–2 Maccabi Petah Tikva
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/05/24 Israel Premier League | Maccabi Petah Tikva | 4-1 HT 4-1 | Hapoel Petah Tikva |
| 09/03/24 Israel Premier League | Hapoel Petah Tikva | 2-2 HT 1-1 | Maccabi Petah Tikva |
| 27/12/23 Israel Premier League | Maccabi Petah Tikva | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Hapoel Petah Tikva |
| 29/07/23 Israel League Cup | Maccabi Petah Tikva | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Hapoel Petah Tikva |
| 10/04/23 Israel Leumit Liga | Maccabi Petah Tikva | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Hapoel Petah Tikva |
| 23/01/23 Israel Leumit Liga | Hapoel Petah Tikva | 2-1 HT 1-1 | Maccabi Petah Tikva |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Hapoel Petah Tikva
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/07 | Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv Club Friendly List |
1-0 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 14/07 | Spartak Pleven Club Friendly List |
1-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 23/05 | Maccabi Tel Aviv Israel Premier League |
1-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | D |
| 19/05 | Beitar Jerusalem Israel Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 16/05 | Maccabi Haifa Israel Premier League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 2 | D |
| 12/05 | Hapoel Tel Aviv Israel Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 9 | 4 | L |
| 09/05 | Hapoel Beer Sheva Israel Premier League |
0-3 | 2-4 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 05/05 | Maccabi Tel Aviv Israel Premier League |
0-2 | 0-4 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 02/05 | Maccabi Haifa Israel Premier League |
1-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 28/04 | Beitar Jerusalem Israel Premier League |
0-2 | 1-3 | 1 | 2 | L |
Maccabi Petah Tikva
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/05 | SC Kiryat Yam Israel Leumit Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | D |
| 20/05 | Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv Israel Leumit Liga |
1-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 15/05 | Hapoel Kfar Saba Israel Leumit Liga |
1-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 11/05 | Hapoel Rishon Lezion Israel Leumit Liga |
1-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 05/05 | Hapoel Ramat Gan Israel Leumit Liga |
1-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 01/05 | Maccabi Herzliya Israel Leumit Liga |
1-1 | 1-2 | 12 | 3 | L |
| 24/04 | Hapoel Kfar Shalem Israel Leumit Liga |
0-1 | 2-3 | 9 | 2 | L |
| 17/04 | Hapoel Rishon Lezion Israel Leumit Liga |
0-0 | 1-1 | 11 | 2 | D |
| 14/04 | Maccabi Herzliya Israel Leumit Liga |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 10/04 | SC Kiryat Yam Israel Leumit Liga |
2-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 7 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Hapoel Petah Tikva vs Maccabi Petah Tikva?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Hapoel Petah Tikva win (43%). Probabilities: Hapoel Petah Tikva 43%, draw 27%, Maccabi Petah Tikva 30%.
How many goals are expected in Hapoel Petah Tikva vs Maccabi Petah Tikva?
The model expects 2.84 goals (Hapoel Petah Tikva 1.57 · Maccabi Petah Tikva 1.27), with a 51% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Hapoel Petah Tikva vs Maccabi Petah Tikva?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.