Football · Poland I Liga · 09/08, 17:00
Prediction: Termalica BB Nieciecza vs Warta Poznan
Team pages: Termalica BB Nieciecza · Warta Poznan
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.29Total
Termalica BB Nieciecza1.99
Warta Poznan1.3
1X2
Termalica BB Nieciecza
Draw
Warta Poznan
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 58%
Both teams to score 57%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Termalica BB Nieciecza
9-1-0 (W-D-L)
Warta Poznan
2-2-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Termalica BB Nieciecza
4–1–1
Warta Poznan
(6 last)
- Warta Poznan0-1Termalica BB Nieciecza
- Termalica BB Nieciecza3-0Warta Poznan
- Termalica BB Nieciecza1-0Warta Poznan
- Warta Poznan0-0Termalica BB Nieciecza
- Warta Poznan1-0Termalica BB Nieciecza
- Warta Poznan1-3Termalica BB Nieciecza
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Termalica BB Nieciecza 1603 · Warta Poznan 1472
| Termalica BB Nieciecza | Draw | Warta Poznan | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 53% | 24% | 24% |
| Market | 51% | 26% | 22% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.29 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 64%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Termalica BB Nieciecza (rating 1603 vs 1472).
- H2H favours Termalica BB Nieciecza: 4-1-1.
- Cards-heavy: 6.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Termalica BB Nieciecza | Warta Poznan | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.8 / 1 | 1.8 / 2.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1 / 0.3 | 0.9 / 1.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 60/30/10% | 20/10/70% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.9 / 3 | 2.5 / 5.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.3 / 0 | 3.2 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Termalica BB Nieciecza 4–1–1 Warta Poznan
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/12/24 Poland I Liga | Warta Poznan | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Termalica BB Nieciecza |
| 20/07/24 Poland I Liga | Termalica BB Nieciecza | 3-0 HT 0-0 | Warta Poznan |
| 05/03/22 Poland Ekstraklasa | Termalica BB Nieciecza | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Warta Poznan |
| 11/09/21 Poland Ekstraklasa | Warta Poznan | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Termalica BB Nieciecza |
| 28/07/20 Poland Play-Offs | Warta Poznan | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Termalica BB Nieciecza |
| 17/06/20 Poland I Liga | Warta Poznan | 1-3 HT 1-2 | Termalica BB Nieciecza |
Standings · Poland I Liga
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Polonia Warsaw | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 7 |
| 2 | Arka Gdynia | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 6 |
| 3 | Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 6 |
| 4 | Termalica BB Nieciecza | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 6 |
| 5 | Miedz Legnica | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| 6 | Stal Mielec | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 4 |
| 7 | LKS Lodz | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 |
| 8 | Polonia Bytom | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 4 |
| 9 | Chrobry Glogow | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 3 |
| 10 | Warta Poznan | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 3 |
| 11 | Odra Opole | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 12 | Podbeskidzie Bielsko Biala | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 2 |
| 13 | MKP Pogon Siedlce | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 2 |
| 14 | Ruch Chorzow | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 1 |
| 15 | Puszcza Niepolomice | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 | Unia Skierniewice | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 | Lechia Gdansk | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 | Stal Rzeszow | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 0 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Termalica BB Nieciecza | Warta Poznan |
|---|---|---|
| Resovia Rzeszow | 4-0 W | 0-1 L |
| Lechia Gdansk | 3-2 W | 3-0 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 0 L | 1 W 0 D 1 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Termalica BB Nieciecza
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08 | MKP Pogon Siedlce Poland I Liga |
0-1 | 2-1 | 7 | 6 | W |
| 26/07 | Ruch Chorzow Poland I Liga |
0-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 18/07 | Podbeskidzie Bielsko Biala Europe Friendlies |
1-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 1 | D |
| 17/07 | Korona Kielce Europe Friendlies |
1-0 | 2-0 | 0 | 4 | W |
| 11/07 | Sandecja Nowy Sacz Club Friendly List |
1-1 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 04/07 | Resovia Rzeszow Europe Friendlies |
1-0 | 4-0 | 1 | 1 | W |
| 27/06 | Wisla Krakow Europe Friendlies |
1-0 | 4-3 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 20/06 | Unia Tarnow Europe Friendlies |
2-0 | 5-0 | 1 | 1 | W |
| 23/05 | Lechia Gdansk Poland Ekstraklasa |
2-0 | 3-2 | 2 | 7 | W |
| 18/05 | Arka Gdynia Poland Ekstraklasa |
1-1 | 3-2 | 4 | 5 | W |
Warta Poznan
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/08 | Resovia Rzeszow Poland Cup |
0-1 | 0-1 | 8 | 4 | L |
| 31/07 | Lechia Gdansk Poland I Liga |
3-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 24/07 | Polonia Bytom Poland I Liga |
1-2 | 3-4 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 18/07 | Gornik Polkowice Europe Friendlies |
2-3 | 3-4 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 18/07 | Lechia Zielona Góra Europe Friendlies |
1-2 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | L |
| 11/07 | Chrobry Glogow Europe Friendlies |
0-2 | 1-3 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 03/07 | Motor Lublin Europe Friendlies |
0-1 | 1-4 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 30/05 | Resovia Rzeszow Poland II Liga |
1-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 9 | D |
| 23/05 | Podhale Nowy Targ Poland II Liga |
0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 17/05 | KKS 1925 Kalisz Poland II Liga |
1-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 0 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Termalica BB Nieciecza vs Warta Poznan?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Termalica BB Nieciecza win (52%). Probabilities: Termalica BB Nieciecza 52%, draw 25%, Warta Poznan 23%.
How many goals are expected in Termalica BB Nieciecza vs Warta Poznan?
The model expects 3.29 goals (Termalica BB Nieciecza 1.99 · Warta Poznan 1.3), with a 52% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Termalica BB Nieciecza vs Warta Poznan?
The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.