Football · Poland I Liga · 15/08, 15:30
Prediction: Odra Opole vs Warta Poznan
Team pages: Odra Opole · Warta Poznan
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.9Total
Odra Opole1.55
Warta Poznan1.35
1X2
Odra Opole
Draw
Warta Poznan
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 55%
Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Odra Opole
1-3-6 (W-D-L)
Warta Poznan
2-2-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Odra Opole
2–1–3
Warta Poznan
(6 last)
- Warta Poznan1-0Odra Opole
- Odra Opole0-0Warta Poznan
- Odra Opole2-0Warta Poznan
- Warta Poznan3-0Odra Opole
- Warta Poznan2-1Odra Opole
- Odra Opole2-1Warta Poznan
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Odra Opole 1424 · Warta Poznan 1461
| Odra Opole | Draw | Warta Poznan | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 41% | 27% | 32% |
| Market | 41% | 28% | 31% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.9 goals · Bet365 line 2.75
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 61%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Warta Poznan: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 5.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Odra Opole | Warta Poznan | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.7 / 1.6 | 1.8 / 2.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.9 | 0.9 / 1.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/30/50% | 20/10/70% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3 / 4.6 | 2.4 / 4.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 1.9 / 0.2 | 3.5 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Odra Opole 2–1–3 Warta Poznan
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18/05/25 Poland I Liga | Warta Poznan | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Odra Opole |
| 09/11/24 Poland I Liga | Odra Opole | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Warta Poznan |
| 13/06/20 Poland I Liga | Odra Opole | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Warta Poznan |
| 18/09/19 Poland I Liga | Warta Poznan | 3-0 HT 1-0 | Odra Opole |
| 28/04/19 Poland I Liga | Warta Poznan | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Odra Opole |
| 24/10/18 Poland I Liga | Odra Opole | 2-1 HT 2-1 | Warta Poznan |
Standings · Poland I Liga
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 9 |
| 2 | Polonia Warsaw | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 7 |
| 3 | Chrobry Glogow | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 6 |
| 4 | Warta Poznan | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 6 |
| 5 | Arka Gdynia | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 6 |
| 6 | Termalica BB Nieciecza | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 6 |
| 7 | Stal Mielec | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 5 | 5 |
| 8 | Miedz Legnica | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 4 |
| 9 | Polonia Bytom | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 4 |
| 10 | LKS Lodz | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 4 |
| 11 | Podbeskidzie Bielsko Biala | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 3 |
| 12 | Puszcza Niepolomice | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| 13 | Unia Skierniewice | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 3 |
| 14 | Odra Opole | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 3 |
| 15 | MKP Pogon Siedlce | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 2 |
| 16 | Ruch Chorzow | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 1 |
| 17 | Lechia Gdansk | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 1 |
| 18 | Stal Rzeszow | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 1 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Odra Opole
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | Puszcza Niepolomice Poland I Liga |
1-2 | 1-3 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 03/08 | Chrobry Glogow Poland I Liga |
1-0 | 1-0 | 13 | 2 | W |
| 24/07 | Arka Gdynia Poland I Liga |
0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | L |
| 18/07 | Banik Ostrava B Europe Friendlies |
0-2 | 0-3 | 8 | 1 | L |
| 15/07 | Maccabi Netanya Europe Friendlies |
0-3 | 2-4 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 11/07 | Slask Wroclaw Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 6 | D |
| 04/07 | GKS Tychy 71 Club Friendly List |
0-0 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 01/07 | Pardubice Europe Friendlies |
1-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 0 | D |
| 28/06 | CSKA Sofia Europe Friendlies |
0-1 | 2-3 | 0 | 0 | L |
| 28/06 | MSK Zilina Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | D |
Warta Poznan
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/08 | Termalica BB Nieciecza Poland I Liga |
1-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 05/08 | Resovia Rzeszow Poland Cup |
0-1 | 0-1 | 8 | 4 | L |
| 31/07 | Lechia Gdansk Poland I Liga |
3-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 24/07 | Polonia Bytom Poland I Liga |
1-2 | 3-4 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 18/07 | Gornik Polkowice Europe Friendlies |
2-3 | 3-4 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 18/07 | Lechia Zielona Góra Europe Friendlies |
1-2 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | L |
| 11/07 | Chrobry Glogow Europe Friendlies |
0-2 | 1-3 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 03/07 | Motor Lublin Europe Friendlies |
0-1 | 1-4 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 30/05 | Resovia Rzeszow Poland II Liga |
1-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 9 | D |
| 23/05 | Podhale Nowy Targ Poland II Liga |
0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Odra Opole vs Warta Poznan?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Odra Opole win (41%). Probabilities: Odra Opole 41%, draw 28%, Warta Poznan 32%.
How many goals are expected in Odra Opole vs Warta Poznan?
The model expects 2.9 goals (Odra Opole 1.55 · Warta Poznan 1.35), with a 51% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Odra Opole vs Warta Poznan?
The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.