Football · Poland I Liga · 16/08, 17:00
Prediction: Stal Mielec vs Polonia Bytom
Team pages: Stal Mielec · Polonia Bytom
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.94Total
Stal Mielec2.02
Polonia Bytom1.92
1X2
Stal Mielec
Draw
Polonia Bytom
Markets
Over 3.5 goals 56%
Both teams to score 62%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Stal Mielec
3-4-3 (W-D-L)
Polonia Bytom
5-1-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Stal Mielec
2–1–1
Polonia Bytom
(4 last)
- Stal Mielec4-1Polonia Bytom
- Polonia Bytom4-1Stal Mielec
- Stal Mielec4-3Polonia Bytom
- Polonia Bytom1-1Stal Mielec
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 71%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Polonia Bytom (rating 1475 vs 1515).
- H2H favours Stal Mielec: 2-1-1.
- Cards-heavy: 4.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Stal Mielec | Polonia Bytom | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.1 / 2.3 | 2.2 / 2.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.2 / 0.6 | 0.9 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/40/10% | 60/10/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.8 / 5.3 | 2 / 4.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.3 / 0.1 | 2.2 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Stal Mielec 2–1–1 Polonia Bytom
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24/05/26 Poland I Liga | Stal Mielec | 4-1 HT 2-0 | Polonia Bytom |
| 22/11/25 Poland I Liga | Polonia Bytom | 4-1 HT 2-1 | Stal Mielec |
| 21/11/15 Poland II Liga | Stal Mielec | 4-3 HT 3-0 | Polonia Bytom |
| 01/08/15 Poland II Liga | Polonia Bytom | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Stal Mielec |
Standings · Poland I Liga
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 9 |
| 2 | Polonia Warsaw | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 7 |
| 3 | Arka Gdynia | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 6 |
| 4 | Chrobry Glogow | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 6 |
| 5 | Warta Poznan | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 6 |
| 6 | Termalica BB Nieciecza | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 6 |
| 7 | Stal Mielec | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 5 | 5 |
| 8 | Miedz Legnica | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 4 |
| 9 | Polonia Bytom | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 4 |
| 10 | LKS Lodz | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 4 |
| 11 | Podbeskidzie Bielsko Biala | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 3 |
| 12 | Puszcza Niepolomice | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| 13 | Odra Opole | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 3 |
| 14 | MKP Pogon Siedlce | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 2 |
| 15 | Ruch Chorzow | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 1 |
| 16 | Lechia Gdansk | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 1 |
| 17 | Stal Rzeszow | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 1 |
| 18 | Unia Skierniewice | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Stal Mielec
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | Stal Rzeszow Poland I Liga |
0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 6 | D |
| 02/08 | Podbeskidzie Bielsko Biala Poland I Liga |
3-0 | 3-3 | 1 | 5 | D |
| 26/07 | Unia Skierniewice Poland I Liga |
1-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 17/07 | Avia Swidnik Europe Friendlies |
3-1 | 3-4 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 17/07 | JKS Jaroslaw Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 2-2 | 11 | 0 | D |
| 11/07 | Puszcza Niepolomice Europe Friendlies |
1-0 | 1-4 | 6 | 0 | L |
| 01/07 | Podhale Nowy Targ Europe Friendlies |
0-3 | 1-5 | 2 | 0 | L |
| 24/05 | Polonia Bytom Poland I Liga |
2-0 | 4-1 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 15/05 | MKP Pogon Siedlce Poland I Liga |
1-1 | 3-1 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 09/05 | Puszcza Niepolomice Poland I Liga |
1-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 4 | D |
Polonia Bytom
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/08 | MKP Pogon Siedlce Poland I Liga |
0-1 | 2-2 | 9 | 4 | D |
| 31/07 | LKS Lodz Poland I Liga |
1-2 | 1-2 | 7 | 2 | L |
| 24/07 | Warta Poznan Poland I Liga |
2-1 | 4-3 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 11/07 | Opava Europe Friendlies |
1-0 | 2-3 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 04/07 | Rekord Bielsko-Biala Europe Friendlies |
1-0 | 3-1 | 5 | 0 | W |
| 20/06 | Gryf Wejherowo Club Friendly List |
0-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 24/05 | Stal Mielec Poland I Liga |
0-2 | 1-4 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 17/05 | Slask Wroclaw Poland I Liga |
1-0 | 1-3 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 09/05 | Znicz Pruszków Poland I Liga |
1-0 | 4-1 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 04/05 | Polonia Warsaw Poland I Liga |
2-1 | 3-2 | 5 | 4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Stal Mielec vs Polonia Bytom?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Stal Mielec win (41%). Probabilities: Stal Mielec 41%, draw 22%, Polonia Bytom 37%.
How many goals are expected in Stal Mielec vs Polonia Bytom?
The model expects 3.94 goals (Stal Mielec 2.02 · Polonia Bytom 1.92), with a 59% chance of over 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Stal Mielec vs Polonia Bytom?
The model gives a 62% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.