Football · Poland I Liga · 16/08, 14:30
Prediction: LKS Lodz vs Termalica BB Nieciecza
Team pages: LKS Lodz · Termalica BB Nieciecza
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.85Total
LKS Lodz1.66
Termalica BB Nieciecza1.19
1X2
LKS Lodz
Draw
Termalica BB Nieciecza
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 51%
Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
LKS Lodz
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
Termalica BB Nieciecza
8-1-1 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
LKS Lodz
1–3–2
Termalica BB Nieciecza
(6 last)
- LKS Lodz1-2Termalica BB Nieciecza
- Termalica BB Nieciecza2-2LKS Lodz
- Termalica BB Nieciecza2-2LKS Lodz
- LKS Lodz1-1Termalica BB Nieciecza
- LKS Lodz3-2Termalica BB Nieciecza
- Termalica BB Nieciecza2-0LKS Lodz
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · LKS Lodz 1478 · Termalica BB Nieciecza 1569
| LKS Lodz | Draw | Termalica BB Nieciecza | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 47% | 27% | 26% |
| Market | 47% | 27% | 26% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.85 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 50%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Termalica BB Nieciecza (rating 1478 vs 1569).
- H2H favours Termalica BB Nieciecza: 2-3-1.
- Cards-heavy: 5.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| LKS Lodz | Termalica BB Nieciecza | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 1.7 | 2.6 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.7 | 0.9 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/40/40% | 60/20/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.1 / 6.1 | 1.8 / 3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.3 / 0.1 | 3.1 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · LKS Lodz 1–3–2 Termalica BB Nieciecza
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/04/25 Poland I Liga | LKS Lodz | 1-2 HT 1-1 | Termalica BB Nieciecza |
| 21/09/24 Poland I Liga | Termalica BB Nieciecza | 2-2 HT 2-1 | LKS Lodz |
| 16/04/23 Poland I Liga | Termalica BB Nieciecza | 2-2 HT 0-2 | LKS Lodz |
| 11/09/22 Poland I Liga | LKS Lodz | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Termalica BB Nieciecza |
| 04/06/21 Poland I Liga | LKS Lodz | 3-2 HT 1-0 | Termalica BB Nieciecza |
| 05/12/20 Poland I Liga | Termalica BB Nieciecza | 2-0 HT 1-0 | LKS Lodz |
Standings · Poland I Liga
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 9 |
| 2 | Polonia Warsaw | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 7 |
| 3 | Chrobry Glogow | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 6 |
| 4 | Warta Poznan | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 6 |
| 5 | Arka Gdynia | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 6 |
| 6 | Termalica BB Nieciecza | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 6 |
| 7 | Stal Mielec | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 5 | 5 |
| 8 | Miedz Legnica | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 4 |
| 9 | Polonia Bytom | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 4 |
| 10 | LKS Lodz | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 4 |
| 11 | Podbeskidzie Bielsko Biala | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 3 |
| 12 | Puszcza Niepolomice | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| 13 | Unia Skierniewice | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 3 |
| 14 | Odra Opole | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 3 |
| 15 | MKP Pogon Siedlce | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 2 |
| 16 | Ruch Chorzow | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 1 |
| 17 | Lechia Gdansk | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 1 |
| 18 | Stal Rzeszow | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 1 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
LKS Lodz
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/08 | Chrobry Glogow Poland I Liga |
1-1 | 1-2 | 10 | 6 | L |
| 31/07 | Polonia Bytom Poland I Liga |
2-1 | 2-1 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 25/07 | MKP Pogon Siedlce Poland I Liga |
0-1 | 1-1 | 10 | 0 | D |
| 17/07 | Wisla Plock Club Friendly List |
0-1 | 0-3 | – | – | L |
| 11/07 | Unia Skierniewice Club Friendly List |
0-0 | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 04/07 | Radomiak Radom Europe Friendlies |
2-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 01/07 | Dinamo Bucharest Europe Friendlies |
0-2 | 0-4 | 5 | 0 | L |
| 28/05 | Chrobry Glogow Poland I Liga |
0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 24/05 | Gornik Leczna Poland I Liga |
0-1 | 3-1 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 18/05 | Puszcza Niepolomice Poland I Liga |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 5 | L |
Termalica BB Nieciecza
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/08 | Warta Poznan Poland I Liga |
0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 01/08 | MKP Pogon Siedlce Poland I Liga |
0-1 | 2-1 | 7 | 6 | W |
| 26/07 | Ruch Chorzow Poland I Liga |
0-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 18/07 | Podbeskidzie Bielsko Biala Europe Friendlies |
1-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 1 | D |
| 17/07 | Korona Kielce Europe Friendlies |
1-0 | 2-0 | 0 | 4 | W |
| 11/07 | Sandecja Nowy Sacz Club Friendly List |
1-1 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 04/07 | Resovia Rzeszow Europe Friendlies |
1-0 | 4-0 | 1 | 1 | W |
| 27/06 | Wisla Krakow Europe Friendlies |
1-0 | 4-3 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 20/06 | Unia Tarnow Europe Friendlies |
2-0 | 5-0 | 1 | 1 | W |
| 23/05 | Lechia Gdansk Poland Ekstraklasa |
2-0 | 3-2 | 2 | 7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in LKS Lodz vs Termalica BB Nieciecza?
According to our model, the most likely result is a LKS Lodz win (47%). Probabilities: LKS Lodz 47%, draw 27%, Termalica BB Nieciecza 26%.
How many goals are expected in LKS Lodz vs Termalica BB Nieciecza?
The model expects 2.85 goals (LKS Lodz 1.66 · Termalica BB Nieciecza 1.19), with a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in LKS Lodz vs Termalica BB Nieciecza?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.