Football · Poland I Liga · 07/08, 18:00
Prediction: Polonia Bytom vs MKP Pogon Siedlce
Team pages: Polonia Bytom · MKP Pogon Siedlce
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.1Total
Polonia Bytom2
MKP Pogon Siedlce1.1
1X2
Polonia Bytom
Draw
MKP Pogon Siedlce
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 62%
Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Polonia Bytom
6-0-4 (W-D-L)
MKP Pogon Siedlce
1-2-7 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Polonia Bytom
0–3–1
MKP Pogon Siedlce
(4 last)
- Polonia Bytom1-1MKP Pogon Siedlce
- MKP Pogon Siedlce2-0Polonia Bytom
- MKP Pogon Siedlce3-3Polonia Bytom
- Polonia Bytom1-1MKP Pogon Siedlce
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 59%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Polonia Bytom (rating 1515 vs 1435).
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Polonia Bytom | MKP Pogon Siedlce | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.2 / 1.9 | 0.9 / 2.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.9 / 0.6 | 0.7 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 60/20/20% | 30/40/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2 / 4.3 | 1.1 / 2.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.1 / 0 | 2.3 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Polonia Bytom 0–3–1 MKP Pogon Siedlce
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22/02/26 Poland I Liga | Polonia Bytom | 1-1 HT 1-0 | MKP Pogon Siedlce |
| 17/08/25 Poland I Liga | MKP Pogon Siedlce | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Polonia Bytom |
| 17/03/24 Poland II Liga | MKP Pogon Siedlce | 3-3 HT 0-3 | Polonia Bytom |
| 02/09/23 Poland II Liga | Polonia Bytom | 1-1 HT 0-0 | MKP Pogon Siedlce |
Standings · Poland I Liga
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arka Gdynia | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 6 |
| 2 | Termalica BB Nieciecza | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 6 |
| 2 | Polonia Warsaw | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 6 |
| 4 | LKS Lodz | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 |
| 5 | Chrobry Glogow | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 3 |
| 6 | Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 7 | Warta Poznan | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 3 |
| 8 | Stal Mielec | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 9 | Polonia Bytom | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 3 |
| 10 | Miedz Legnica | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 10 | Podbeskidzie Bielsko Biala | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 12 | MKP Pogon Siedlce | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 |
| 13 | Odra Opole | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 | Puszcza Niepolomice | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 | Ruch Chorzow | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 | Unia Skierniewice | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 | Lechia Gdansk | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 | Stal Rzeszow | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 0 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Polonia Bytom | MKP Pogon Siedlce |
|---|---|---|
| LKS Lodz | 1-2 L | 1-1 D |
| Stal Mielec | 1-4 L | 1-3 L |
| Record vs common | 0 W 0 D 2 L | 0 W 1 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: MKP Pogon Siedlce (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Polonia Bytom
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/07 | LKS Lodz Poland I Liga |
1-2 | 1-2 | 7 | 2 | L |
| 24/07 | Warta Poznan Poland I Liga |
2-1 | 4-3 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 11/07 | Opava Europe Friendlies |
1-0 | 2-3 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 04/07 | Rekord Bielsko-Biala Europe Friendlies |
1-0 | 3-1 | 5 | 0 | W |
| 20/06 | Gryf Wejherowo Club Friendly List |
0-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 24/05 | Stal Mielec Poland I Liga |
0-2 | 1-4 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 17/05 | Slask Wroclaw Poland I Liga |
1-0 | 1-3 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 09/05 | Znicz Pruszków Poland I Liga |
1-0 | 4-1 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 04/05 | Polonia Warsaw Poland I Liga |
2-1 | 3-2 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 26/04 | Odra Opole Poland I Liga |
0-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 3 | W |
MKP Pogon Siedlce
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08 | Termalica BB Nieciecza Poland I Liga |
1-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 25/07 | LKS Lodz Poland I Liga |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | D |
| 18/07 | Radomiak Radom Europe Friendlies |
1-1 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 11/07 | Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki Europe Friendlies |
2-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | D |
| 04/07 | Jagiellonia Bialystok Europe Friendlies |
1-2 | 1-4 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 27/06 | Unia Skierniewice Club Friendly List |
0-0 | 0-3 | – | – | L |
| 24/05 | Wisla Krakow Poland I Liga |
0-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 15/05 | Stal Mielec Poland I Liga |
1-1 | 1-3 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 10/05 | Stal Rzeszow Poland I Liga |
0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 02/05 | LKS Lodz Poland I Liga |
0-2 | 0-4 | 2 | 1 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Polonia Bytom vs MKP Pogon Siedlce?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Polonia Bytom win (57%). Probabilities: Polonia Bytom 57%, draw 23%, MKP Pogon Siedlce 19%.
How many goals are expected in Polonia Bytom vs MKP Pogon Siedlce?
The model expects 3.1 goals (Polonia Bytom 2 · MKP Pogon Siedlce 1.1), with a 52% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Polonia Bytom vs MKP Pogon Siedlce?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.