Football · Poland I Liga · 15/08, 15:30
Prediction: Chrobry Glogow vs Podbeskidzie Bielsko Biala
Team pages: Chrobry Glogow · Podbeskidzie Bielsko Biala
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.97Total
Chrobry Glogow1.47
Podbeskidzie Bielsko Biala1.5
1X2
Chrobry Glogow
Draw
Podbeskidzie Bielsko Biala
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 52%
Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Chrobry Glogow
4-0-6 (W-D-L)
Podbeskidzie Bielsko Biala
5-5-0 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Chrobry Glogow
2–4
Podbeskidzie Bielsko Biala
(6 last)
- Podbeskidzie Bielsko Biala0-1Chrobry Glogow
- Chrobry Glogow3-0Podbeskidzie Bielsko Biala
- Podbeskidzie Bielsko Biala6-0Chrobry Glogow
- Chrobry Glogow0-1Podbeskidzie Bielsko Biala
- Chrobry Glogow1-3Podbeskidzie Bielsko Biala
- Podbeskidzie Bielsko Biala2-1Chrobry Glogow
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Chrobry Glogow 1483 · Podbeskidzie Bielsko Biala 1563
| Chrobry Glogow | Draw | Podbeskidzie Bielsko Biala | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 36% | 27% | 37% |
| Market | 35% | 28% | 37% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.97 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 58%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Podbeskidzie Bielsko Biala (rating 1483 vs 1563).
- H2H favours Podbeskidzie Bielsko Biala: 4-0-2.
- Cards-heavy: 6.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Chrobry Glogow | Podbeskidzie Bielsko Biala | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.7 / 1.8 | 2 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.8 | 0.5 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/30/40% | 20/50/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1 / 3.7 | 2.7 / 5.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.7 / 0.2 | 3.7 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Chrobry Glogow 2–0–4 Podbeskidzie Bielsko Biala
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20/05/24 Poland I Liga | Podbeskidzie Bielsko Biala | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Chrobry Glogow |
| 24/11/23 Poland I Liga | Chrobry Glogow | 3-0 HT 1-0 | Podbeskidzie Bielsko Biala |
| 10/03/23 Poland I Liga | Podbeskidzie Bielsko Biala | 6-0 HT 3-0 | Chrobry Glogow |
| 14/08/22 Poland I Liga | Chrobry Glogow | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Podbeskidzie Bielsko Biala |
| 08/05/22 Poland I Liga | Chrobry Glogow | 1-3 HT 0-2 | Podbeskidzie Bielsko Biala |
| 31/10/21 Poland I Liga | Podbeskidzie Bielsko Biala | 2-1 HT 1-1 | Chrobry Glogow |
Standings · Poland I Liga
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 9 |
| 2 | Polonia Warsaw | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 7 |
| 3 | Chrobry Glogow | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 6 |
| 4 | Warta Poznan | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 6 |
| 5 | Arka Gdynia | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 6 |
| 6 | Termalica BB Nieciecza | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 6 |
| 7 | Stal Mielec | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 5 | 5 |
| 8 | Miedz Legnica | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 4 |
| 9 | Polonia Bytom | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 4 |
| 10 | LKS Lodz | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 4 |
| 11 | Podbeskidzie Bielsko Biala | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 3 |
| 12 | Puszcza Niepolomice | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| 13 | Unia Skierniewice | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 3 |
| 14 | Odra Opole | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 3 |
| 15 | MKP Pogon Siedlce | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 2 |
| 16 | Ruch Chorzow | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 1 |
| 17 | Lechia Gdansk | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 1 |
| 18 | Stal Rzeszow | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 1 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Chrobry Glogow
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/08 | LKS Lodz Poland I Liga |
1-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 03/08 | Odra Opole Poland I Liga |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 25/07 | Stal Rzeszow Poland I Liga |
1-0 | 5-1 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 18/07 | Sleza Wroclaw Europe Friendlies |
0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 18/07 | Zaglebie Lubin Europe Friendlies |
0-1 | 0-3 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 11/07 | Warta Poznan Europe Friendlies |
2-0 | 3-1 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 08/07 | Pogon Szczecin Europe Friendlies |
1-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 04/07 | Slask Wroclaw Europe Friendlies |
0-2 | 1-4 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 01/07 | Lechia Zielona Góra Europe Friendlies |
2-0 | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 31/05 | Wieczysta Krakow Poland I Liga |
1-1 | 1-2 | 9 | 5 | L |
Podbeskidzie Bielsko Biala
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | Lechia Gdansk Poland I Liga |
1-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 05/08 | Hutnik Krakow Poland Cup |
0-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 02/08 | Stal Mielec Poland I Liga |
0-3 | 3-3 | 6 | 5 | D |
| 27/07 | Miedz Legnica Poland I Liga |
1-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 4 | D |
| 18/07 | Termalica BB Nieciecza Europe Friendlies |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | D |
| 07/07 | Banik Ostrava B Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 04/07 | Zaglebie Sosnowiec Europe Friendlies |
1-1 | 2-2 | 9 | 5 | D |
| 06/06 | Sandecja Nowy Sacz Poland II Liga |
1-0 | 3-1 | 7 | 7 | W |
| 02/06 | Slask Wroclaw II Poland League II Play-Offs |
0-1 | 2-1 | 8 | 4 | W |
| 30/05 | Podhale Nowy Targ Poland II Liga |
1-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Chrobry Glogow vs Podbeskidzie Bielsko Biala?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Podbeskidzie Bielsko Biala win (37%). Probabilities: Chrobry Glogow 36%, draw 27%, Podbeskidzie Bielsko Biala 37%.
How many goals are expected in Chrobry Glogow vs Podbeskidzie Bielsko Biala?
The model expects 2.97 goals (Chrobry Glogow 1.47 · Podbeskidzie Bielsko Biala 1.5), with a 52% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Chrobry Glogow vs Podbeskidzie Bielsko Biala?
The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.