Football · Poland I Liga · 10/08, 19:00

Prediction: Unia Skierniewice vs Arka Gdynia

Team pages: Unia Skierniewice · Arka Gdynia

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.91Total
Unia Skierniewice1.29
Arka Gdynia1.62
1X2
30% 26% 44%
Unia Skierniewice Draw Arka Gdynia
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Unia Skierniewice 3-2-5 (W-D-L)
WLLWLDWLLD
Arka Gdynia 4-2-4 (W-D-L)
DDLLLWLWWW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Unia Skierniewice 1474 · Arka Gdynia 1510
Unia SkierniewiceDrawArka Gdynia
Our model29%27%44%
Market30%26%45%
Estimated total (ours) 2.91 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 60%model estimate

Match keys

  • Cards-heavy: 6.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Unia SkierniewiceArka Gdynia
Goals for / against (FT)1.8 / 1.51.4 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)0.8 / 0.60.7 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)30/30/40%40/30/30%
Corners (HT / FT)3.3 / 6.91.4 / 3.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.8 / 0.42.9 / 0

Standings · Poland I Liga

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki 3300 509
2 Polonia Warsaw 3210 527
3 Arka Gdynia 2200 506
4 Termalica BB Nieciecza 2200 416
5 Stal Mielec 3120 655
6 LKS Lodz 2110 324
6 Miedz Legnica 3111 324
8 Polonia Bytom 3111 774
9 Chrobry Glogow 2101 523
10 Warta Poznan 2101 643
11 Podbeskidzie Bielsko Biala 3030 663
12 Puszcza Niepolomice 3102 333
13 Odra Opole 3102 243
14 MKP Pogon Siedlce 3021 452
15 Ruch Chorzow 3012 151
16 Lechia Gdansk 3012 281
17 Stal Rzeszow 3012 2101
18 Unia Skierniewice 2002 250

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Unia Skierniewice

WLLWLDWLLD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
05/08 Sokol Kleczew
Poland Cup
0-1 1-1 125 D
01/08 Polonia Warsaw
Poland I Liga
1-0 1-3 95 L
26/07 Stal Mielec
Poland I Liga
0-1 1-2 24 L
18/07 KKS 1925 Kalisz
Europe Friendlies
3-0 4-0 111 W
11/07 LKS Lodz
Club Friendly List
0-0 2-2 D
04/07 Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
Europe Friendlies
0-1 0-1 14 L
27/06 MKP Pogon Siedlce
Club Friendly List
0-0 3-0 W
30/05 KKS 1925 Kalisz
Poland II Liga
1-2 1-2 53 L
22/05 Chojniczanka Chojnice
Poland II Liga
1-1 2-3 48 L
15/05 LKS Lodz II
Poland II Liga
2-0 3-1 113 W

Arka Gdynia

DDLLLWLWWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
01/08 Stal Rzeszow
Poland I Liga
1-0 4-0 43 W
24/07 Odra Opole
Poland I Liga
1-0 1-0 00 W
18/07 KTS-K Luzino
Europe Friendlies
2-0 2-0 35 W
11/07 Olimpia Grudziadz
Europe Friendlies
1-4 2-4 82 L
03/07 Petrolul Ploiesti
Europe Friendlies
1-0 2-0 41 W
28/06 GKS Katowice
Europe Friendlies
0-2 0-2 03 L
23/05 Rakow Czestochowa
Poland Ekstraklasa
0-1 0-3 43 L
18/05 Termalica BB Nieciecza
Poland Ekstraklasa
1-1 2-3 25 L
13/05 Gornik Zabrze
Poland Ekstraklasa
0-0 0-0 12 D
08/05 Lech Poznan
Poland Ekstraklasa
0-0 1-1 55 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Unia Skierniewice vs Arka Gdynia?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Arka Gdynia win (44%). Probabilities: Unia Skierniewice 30%, draw 26%, Arka Gdynia 44%.

How many goals are expected in Unia Skierniewice vs Arka Gdynia?

The model expects 2.91 goals (Unia Skierniewice 1.29 · Arka Gdynia 1.62), with a 51% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Unia Skierniewice vs Arka Gdynia?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.