Football · Poland I Liga · 02/11, 18:00

Prediction: Polonia Bytom vs Odra Opole

Team pages: Polonia Bytom · Odra Opole

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.6Total

Polonia Bytom1.49

Odra Opole1.11

1X2

45% 28% 27%

Polonia Bytom Draw Odra Opole

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Polonia Bytom 3-6-1 (W-D-L)

DLDDDDDWWW

Odra Opole 2-3-5 (W-D-L)

LWDDDLLWLL

Head-to-head

Polonia Bytom 2–2–2 Odra Opole (6 last)

Odra Opole0-2Polonia Bytom
Polonia Bytom0-0Odra Opole
Odra Opole1-1Polonia Bytom
Odra Opole0-2Polonia Bytom
Odra Opole7-1Polonia Bytom
Polonia Bytom2-3Odra Opole

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Polonia Bytom 1553 · Odra Opole 1480

	Polonia Bytom	Draw	Odra Opole
Our model	45%	28%	27%
Market	45%	28%	27%

Estimated total (ours) 2.6 goals · Bet365 line 2.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 51%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Polonia Bytom (rating 1553 vs 1480).
High corners: 10.9 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Polonia Bytom	Odra Opole
Goals for / against (FT)	1.5 / 1.5	0.7 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.6	0.5 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/40/40%	30/30/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.2 / 5.8	1.5 / 5.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.8 / 0.3	4.2 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.00

X3.25

23.30

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.80

2 (+0.25)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.95

Under 2.751.85

Diff.: 0.3 · xG: 2.45

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 13:39

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.00 → 2.00	Pinn 2.03
X	3.25 → 3.25	Pinn 3.72 ★
2	3.30 → 3.30	Bet365 3.30

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.1% Pinnacle margin 6.7%

Time*	1	X	2
13:33 +6’	2.00	3.25	3.30

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
23:58 +29’	2.03	3.72	3.27

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Polonia Bytom 2–2–2 Odra Opole

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Date	Home	Score	Away
26/04/26 Poland I Liga	Odra Opole	0-2 HT 0-0	Polonia Bytom
19/10/25 Poland I Liga	Polonia Bytom	0-0 HT 0-0	Odra Opole
04/02/23 Europe Friendlies	Odra Opole	1-1 HT 1-0	Polonia Bytom
08/07/22 Europe Friendlies	Odra Opole	0-2 HT 0-1	Polonia Bytom
22/01/22 Europe Friendlies	Odra Opole	7-1 HT 1-1	Polonia Bytom
16/01/21 Europe Friendlies	Polonia Bytom	2-3 HT 2-0	Odra Opole

Standings · Poland I Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki	12	6	3	3	19	11	21
2	Polonia Warsaw	12	6	3	3	19	14	21
3	Ruch Chorzow	12	6	3	3	16	11	21
4	LKS Lodz	12	6	3	3	15	11	21
5	Termalica BB Nieciecza	12	6	2	4	19	17	20
6	Lechia Gdansk	12	6	1	5	22	19	19
7	Miedz Legnica	12	5	3	4	18	11	18
8	Warta Poznan	12	6	0	6	19	16	18
9	Polonia Bytom	12	4	6	2	20	20	18
10	Stal Rzeszow	12	5	2	5	16	22	17
11	MKP Pogon Siedlce	12	4	3	5	14	15	15
12	Arka Gdynia	12	4	2	6	16	16	14
13	Podbeskidzie Bielsko Biala	12	2	8	2	15	16	14
14	Chrobry Glogow	12	3	4	5	13	15	13
15	Stal Mielec	12	3	4	5	16	27	13
16	Puszcza Niepolomice	12	4	0	8	13	17	12
17	Odra Opole	12	3	3	6	8	13	12
18	Unia Skierniewice	12	3	2	7	13	20	11

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Polonia Bytom	Odra Opole
Puszcza Niepolomice	1-0 W	1-3 L
Ruch Chorzow	0-0 D	0-3 L
Podbeskidzie Bielsko Biala	0-0 D	1-1 D
Stal Mielec	2-5 L	1-1 D
MKP Pogon Siedlce	2-2 D	0-1 L
Record vs common	1 W 3 D 1 L	0 W 2 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Polonia Bytom (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Polonia Bytom

DLDDDDDWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	Unia Skierniewice Poland I Liga	0-0	2-1	12	6	W
17/10	Chrobry Glogow Poland I Liga	3-0	3-2	5	2	W
11/10	Puszcza Niepolomice Poland I Liga	0-0	1-0	7	4	W
18/09	Ruch Chorzow Poland I Liga	0-0	0-0	6	3	D
11/09	Polonia Warsaw Poland I Liga	0-1	2-2	4	3	D
06/09	Podbeskidzie Bielsko Biala Poland I Liga	0-0	0-0	2	5	D
30/08	Arka Gdynia Poland I Liga	0-1	1-1	5	6	D
22/08	Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki Poland I Liga	2-1	2-2	3	5	D
16/08	Stal Mielec Poland I Liga	1-2	2-5	5	3	L
07/08	MKP Pogon Siedlce Poland I Liga	0-1	2-2	9	4	D

Odra Opole

LWDDDLLWLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/10	MKP Pogon Siedlce Poland I Liga	0-0	0-1	8	5	L
16/10	Ruch Chorzow Poland I Liga	0-1	0-3	4	2	L
11/10	Miedz Legnica Poland I Liga	0-0	1-0	6	4	W
19/09	Termalica BB Nieciecza Poland I Liga	0-1	0-1	7	3	L
13/09	Stal Rzeszow Poland I Liga	0-1	0-1	4	8	L
05/09	Stal Mielec Poland I Liga	1-0	1-1	4	3	D
28/08	LKS Lodz Poland I Liga	0-0	0-0	4	2	D
22/08	Podbeskidzie Bielsko Biala Poland I Liga	1-0	1-1	5	5	D
15/08	Warta Poznan Poland I Liga	2-0	3-1	5	6	W
08/08	Puszcza Niepolomice Poland I Liga	1-2	1-3	4	5	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Polonia Bytom vs Odra Opole?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Polonia Bytom win (45%). Probabilities: Polonia Bytom 45%, draw 28%, Odra Opole 27%.

How many goals are expected in Polonia Bytom vs Odra Opole?

The model expects 2.6 goals (Polonia Bytom 1.49 · Odra Opole 1.11), with a 55% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Polonia Bytom vs Odra Opole?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.