Football · Poland I Liga · 03/11, 18:00
Prediction: Chrobry Glogow vs Arka Gdynia
Team pages: Chrobry Glogow · Arka Gdynia
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.57Total
Chrobry Glogow1.24
Arka Gdynia1.33
1X2
Chrobry Glogow
Draw
Arka Gdynia
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 50%
Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Chrobry Glogow
2-4-4 (W-D-L)
Arka Gdynia
2-2-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Chrobry Glogow
2–1–3
Arka Gdynia
(6 last)
- Chrobry Glogow2-2Arka Gdynia
- Arka Gdynia2-0Chrobry Glogow
- Arka Gdynia2-1Chrobry Glogow
- Chrobry Glogow1-0Arka Gdynia
- Chrobry Glogow0-3Arka Gdynia
- Arka Gdynia3-4Chrobry Glogow
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Chrobry Glogow 1466 · Arka Gdynia 1490
| Chrobry Glogow | Draw | Arka Gdynia | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 33% | 29% | 38% |
| Market | 33% | 29% | 38% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.57 goals · Bet365 line 2.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 55%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Arka Gdynia: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 7.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Chrobry Glogow | Arka Gdynia | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.8 / 1.3 | 1.1 / 1.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.8 | 0.9 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/50/30% | 30/30/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.3 / 4.2 | 1.7 / 4.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.6 / 0.3 | 3.5 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Chrobry Glogow 2–1–3 Arka Gdynia
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12/04/25 Poland I Liga | Chrobry Glogow | 2-2 HT 0-1 | Arka Gdynia |
| 29/09/24 Poland I Liga | Arka Gdynia | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Chrobry Glogow |
| 05/04/24 Poland I Liga | Arka Gdynia | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Chrobry Glogow |
| 23/09/23 Poland I Liga | Chrobry Glogow | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Arka Gdynia |
| 21/04/23 Poland I Liga | Chrobry Glogow | 0-3 HT 0-3 | Arka Gdynia |
| 16/09/22 Poland I Liga | Arka Gdynia | 3-4 HT 2-1 | Chrobry Glogow |
Standings · Poland I Liga
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 19 | 11 | 21 |
| 2 | Polonia Warsaw | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 19 | 14 | 21 |
| 3 | Ruch Chorzow | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 16 | 11 | 21 |
| 4 | LKS Lodz | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 11 | 21 |
| 5 | Termalica BB Nieciecza | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 19 | 17 | 20 |
| 6 | Lechia Gdansk | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 22 | 19 | 19 |
| 7 | Miedz Legnica | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 18 | 11 | 18 |
| 8 | Warta Poznan | 12 | 6 | 0 | 6 | 19 | 16 | 18 |
| 9 | Polonia Bytom | 12 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 20 | 20 | 18 |
| 10 | Stal Rzeszow | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 16 | 22 | 17 |
| 11 | MKP Pogon Siedlce | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 15 | 15 |
| 12 | Arka Gdynia | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 16 | 14 |
| 13 | Podbeskidzie Bielsko Biala | 12 | 2 | 8 | 2 | 15 | 16 | 14 |
| 14 | Chrobry Glogow | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 15 | 13 |
| 15 | Stal Mielec | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 16 | 27 | 13 |
| 16 | Puszcza Niepolomice | 12 | 4 | 0 | 8 | 13 | 17 | 12 |
| 17 | Odra Opole | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 13 | 12 |
| 18 | Unia Skierniewice | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 13 | 20 | 11 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Chrobry Glogow | Arka Gdynia |
|---|---|---|
| Polonia Bytom | 2-3 L | 1-1 D |
| Polonia Warsaw | 0-2 L | 1-2 L |
| MKP Pogon Siedlce | 0-0 D | 1-2 L |
| Miedz Legnica | 1-1 D | 0-2 L |
| Warta Poznan | 0-1 L | 0-3 L |
| LKS Lodz | 2-1 W | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 1 W 2 D 3 L | 0 W 2 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: Chrobry Glogow (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Chrobry Glogow
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/10 | Stal Mielec Poland I Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 6 | D |
| 17/10 | Polonia Bytom Poland I Liga |
0-3 | 2-3 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 10/10 | Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki Poland I Liga |
0-3 | 0-4 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 19/09 | Polonia Warsaw Poland I Liga |
0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 12/09 | MKP Pogon Siedlce Poland I Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 05/09 | Miedz Legnica Poland I Liga |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 30/08 | Ruch Chorzow Poland I Liga |
1-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 2 | W |
| 21/08 | Warta Poznan Poland I Liga |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 15/08 | Podbeskidzie Bielsko Biala Poland I Liga |
1-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 5 | D |
| 09/08 | LKS Lodz Poland I Liga |
1-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 6 | W |
Arka Gdynia
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/10 | Termalica BB Nieciecza Poland I Liga |
3-0 | 3-1 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 18/10 | Lechia Gdansk Poland I Liga |
0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 10/10 | Polonia Warsaw Poland I Liga |
1-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | L |
| 20/09 | MKP Pogon Siedlce Poland I Liga |
1-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 12/09 | Warta Poznan Poland I Liga |
0-1 | 0-3 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 06/09 | LKS Lodz Poland I Liga |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 30/08 | Polonia Bytom Poland I Liga |
1-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 6 | D |
| 23/08 | Miedz Legnica Poland I Liga |
0-1 | 0-2 | 8 | 3 | L |
| 17/08 | Puszcza Niepolomice Poland I Liga |
3-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 10/08 | Unia Skierniewice Poland I Liga |
0-2 | 0-2 | 5 | 8 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Chrobry Glogow vs Arka Gdynia?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Arka Gdynia win (38%). Probabilities: Chrobry Glogow 33%, draw 29%, Arka Gdynia 38%.
How many goals are expected in Chrobry Glogow vs Arka Gdynia?
The model expects 2.57 goals (Chrobry Glogow 1.24 · Arka Gdynia 1.33), with a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Chrobry Glogow vs Arka Gdynia?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.